Tennessee Volunteers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/21/2023

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Oct 17, 2023
Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 21, 2023
Venue:  Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Tennessee +9, Alabama -9; Over/Under:  49 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Tennessee +8.5, Alabama -8.5; Over/Under:  49 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Tennessee +8.5, Alabama -8.5; Over/Under:  49 points

Season Record

Tennessee Volunteers:  5-1 (2-1) (4th place, SEC East)
Alabama Crimson Tide:  6-1 (4-0) (1st place, SEC West)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in CFB as he is 87-46 his last 133 CFB Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Recent Form
Tennessee Volunteers:  won their last game at home against the Texas A&M Aggies 20-13.
Alabama Crimson Tide:  won their last game at home against the Arkansas Razorbacks 24-21.


Tennessee Volunteers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Preview and Analysis


Tennessee is entering this game with a 5-1 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Texas A&M 20-13. Joe Milton was the starting QB and he completed 11/22 passes for 100 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jaylen Wright led the team in rushing yards with 136. Chas Nimrod led the receivers with 31 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Elijah Herring and Aaron Beasley each led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while James Pearce Jr. and Tyler Baron each led the defense in sacks with 1. Kamal Hadden and Gabe Jeudy each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
Alabama is entering this game with a 6-1 record overall and they have a 4-0 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Arkansas 24-21. Jalen Milroe was the starting QB and he completed 10/21 passes for 238 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jase McClellan led the team in rushing yards with 83. Kobe Prentice led the receivers with 93 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Caleb Downs led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Terrion Arnold, Trezmen Marshall, and Jah-Marien Latham each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


Tennessee vs Alabama Prediction

The current betting odds have Alabama listed as a 9 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama looked terrible in their loss to Texas near the beginning of the season but they have really responded well over the last few weeks as they are 6-1 overall and still a perfect 4-0 in conference play. Alabama has struggled on offense with their passing game this season but they do have a very good running game along with a deep threat in the passing game and their defense has also been really good with shutting teams down. Tennessee has also been good this season with their 5-1 record overall but they are 2-1 in conference games with a loss to Florida on the road. Tennessee is coming off a win against Texas A&M in their last game but they were very fortunate to win that game at home as they had to come back really late and they are going to have a much tougher challenge in Tuscaloosa here. Tennessee is going to struggle to move the ball on this Alabama defense while the Alabama offense puts up enough points on Tennessee's defense to pull away in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on Alabama to cover the spread in this game. 

Tennessee Alabama Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 21, 2023 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Alabama 28 Tennessee 13.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Tennessee Volunteers Alabama Crimson Tide prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.

NCAAF Betting Trends


Tennessee Volunteers: 3-6 ATS as an underdog. 1-4 ATS as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points. 18-10 UNDER after gaining 125 or less passing yards in the last game. 15-8 UNDER after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread.

Alabama Crimson Tide: 9-4 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points. 28-19 ATS after a win by 6 or less points. 21-9 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 10-3 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 

Key Injuries


Tennessee Volunteers:  A. Karic (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. D. Bishop (RB) Late Oct - Ankle. C. Charles (DB) Out indefinitely - Ankle. B. McCoy (WR) out for season - Ankle. K. Garland (LB) out for season - Undisclosed. K. Pili (LB) Out indefinitely - Upper Body.

Alabama Crimson Tide:  M. Moore (DB) Ques Sat - Ankle. C. Dippre (TE) Ques Sat - Leg.

Notable Quotes


“Dee's punt return changed the game. We had 10 guys competing their butts off to get him into the end zone. It was a huge turning point.” - Josh Heupel after his team’s win against Texas A&M in their last game. 


“We had the resilience to take the clock at the end of the game and not give them the ball back. Hopefully we can learn how to beat the other team, not just win the game but beat the other team.” - Nick Saban after his team’s win against Arkansas in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Tennessee Volunteers
WR Nimrod, Chas  
WR Keyton, Ramel 
WR White, Squirrel 
TE Warren, Jacob 
QB Milton III, Joe 
RB Wright, Jaylen 

Alabama Crimson Tide
WR Benson, Malik  
WR Burton, Jermaine
WR Bond, Isaiah 
TE Dippre, CJ 
QB Milroe, Jalen 
RB McClellan, Jase 

Statistical Leaders


Tennessee Volunteers
Passing: J. Milton III (1264)
Rushing: J. Wright (571)
Receiving: S. White (305)
Touchdowns: D. Sampson (7)

Alabama Crimson Tide
Passing: J. Milroe (1397)
Rushing: J. MccLellan (454)
Receiving: J. Burton (446)
Touchdowns: J. Milroe (5)

Coaches:
Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (3rd season)
Alabama Crimson Tide: Nick Saban (17th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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