Tennessee Volunteers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Game Preview and Prediction - 10/23/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 23, 2021
Venue:  Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Tennessee +25, Alabama -25; Over/Under:  67.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Tennessee +25.5, Alabama -25.5; Over/Under:  67 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Tennessee +25.5, Alabama -25.5; Over/Under:  67 points
 

Season Record

Tennessee Volunteers:  4-3 (3rd place, SEC East)
Alabama Crimson Tide:  6-1 (1st place, SEC West)
 
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Tennessee Volunteers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Tennessee Volunteers:  lost at home on Oct. 16 against the Ole Miss Rebels 31-26.
Alabama Crimson Tide:  won on the road on Oct. 16 against the Mississippi State Bulldogs 49-9.
 
 
 

Tennessee Volunteers Analysis

Tennessee is coming into this game with a 4-3 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 5th conference matchup of the year and they are not in a good spot with a 2-2 record in their conference games this season. Their 2 wins came against the Missouri Tigers and the South Carolina Gamecocks while their 2 losses came against the Florida Gators and against Ole Miss in their last game. That loss broke a 2 game winning streak that they were on. Hendon Hooker played alright in that game as he completed 17/26 passes for 233 yards and 1 touchdown. He also led the team in rushing in that game with 108 yards and 1 touchdown on 23 carries while Jabari Small had a good day on the ground as well with 92 yards and 1 TD on 21 carries. Velus Jones Jr. led the receivers in that game with 93 yards on 6 receptions while Cedric Tillman had 84 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 receptions. Jeremy Banks led the defense with 9 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Matthew Butler led the defense in sacks with 2 while Banks, Aaron Beasley, and Omari Thomas all had 1 sack each in that game. Trevon Flowers came away with the only interception in that game for the defense. They have scored 275 points in their 7 games this season averaging 39.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 160 points against them allowing 22.9 PPG. Their offense is averaging 472.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 368 YPG.
 
 

Alabama Crimson Tide Analysis

Alabama is coming into this game with a 6-1 record overall and they are 3-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 5th conference matchup on their schedule and they are in a good position with a 3-1 record in their conference games this season. Their 1 loss came against the Texas A&M Aggies while their 3 wins came against the Florida Gators, the Ole Miss Rebels and against Mississippi State in their last game. They won that game 49-9 in a game they had complete control of from start to finish. Bryce Young had a very good game as he completed 20/28 passes for 348 yards and 4 touchdowns. Roydell Williams led the team in rushing with 78 yards on 11 carries while Brian Robinson Jr. led the team in carries with 19 for 73 yards and 2 touchdowns. John Metchie had a very nice day as he led the team in receiving with 117 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 receptions while Jameson Williams also had a nice day with 77 yards and 1 touchdown on 2 receptions. Traeshon Holden had 70 yards and 1 TD on 3 receptions while Robinson Jr. made 5 catches for 68 yards and 1 TD as well. Henry To'oto'o led the defense with 7 solo tackles and 6 assisted ones along with 1 sack while Josh Jobe was right behind him with 6 solo tackles and 1 interception in that game. Will Anderson Jr. led the defense in sacks with 4 while Jordan Battle came away with 2 interceptions himself. They have scored 315 points in their 7 games this season averaging 45 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 141 points against them allowing 20.1 PPG. Their offense is averaging 482.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 300.6 YPG.
 

 

Tennessee vs Alabama Prediction

Alabama is coming into this game as a 25 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Alabama had to come back strong in their last game after  getting knocked off byTexas A&M in their game prior to that one. They responded to their loss with a huge 40 point win over Mississippi State where the offense was great and the defense was as well. Alabama will need to keep winning games like that in order to give themselves a chance at the college football playoffs. The best bet to place in this game is on Alabama to cover the spread here as they will keep on rolling.
 
Tennessee Alabama Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 23, 2021 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Alabama 52 Tennessee 21.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Tennessee Volunteers Alabama Crimson Tide prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Tennessee Volunteers: 171-180 ATS in all games. 55-62 ATS as an underdog. 142-148 O/U in all games. 55-63 O/U as an underdog. 96-101 O/U against conference opponents.
Alabama Crimson Tide: 35-19 ATS as a favorite of 21.5 to 31 points. 192-180 ATS in all games. 155-152 ATS as a favorite. 129-119 ATS against conference opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Tennessee Volunteers:  C. Mays (OL) Ques Sat - Leg injury. H. Hooker (QB) Ques Sat - Leg injury. K. Harris (OL) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.
Alabama Crimson Tide:  D. Sanders (LB) Ques Sat - Hand injury. J. MccLellan (RB) out for season - Knee injury. C. Allen (LB) out for season - Foot injury. X. Williams (WR) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
Tennessee Volunteers: Velus Jones Jr. is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in receiving yards this season. He is coming off of a game where he led his team in receiving yards but was just shy of the 100 yard mark. He will be looking to get over that hump in this one in such a big game here so look for him to play well.
 
Alabama Crimson Tide: Brian Robinson Jr. is one player to watch in this one. He leads his team in rushing yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He is coming off of a game where he did not lead the team in rushing but he had 2 touchdowns on the ground and caught 1 touchdown pass as well. He is a big part of this offense so look for them to get the ball in his hands and get in the end zone in this game.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I'm disappointed in the way the game ended with things being thrown from the crowd. I know that's very few of our crowd members. For the most part of the game, what an unbelievable atmosphere to see Vol Nation show out the way they did." - Josh Heupel after the violent ending to their game against Ole Miss in their last one when the crowd started throwing objects on the field and at people.
 
 
"I definitely have learned how much it means to our alumni, our fan base, everyone. It’s something you don’t take lightly. It’s a rivalry." - Bryce Young on Alabama’s rivalry with Tennessee.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Tennessee Volunteers
WR Jones Jr., Velus 
WR Tillman, Cedric 
WR Hyatt, Jalin 
TE Warren, Jacob 
QB Hooker, Hendon 
RB Evans, Tiyon 
 
Alabama Crimson Tide
WR Metchie III, John 
WR Williams, Jameson 
WR Bolden, Slade 
TE Latu, Cameron 
QB Young, Bryce 
RB Robinson Jr., Brian 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Tennessee Volunteers
Passing: H. Hooker (1296)
Rushing: T. Evans (482)
Receiving: V. Jones Jr. (435)
Touchdowns: T. Evans (6)
Sacks: J. Banks (4.5)
Tackles: J. Banks (27)
 
Alabama Crimson Tide
Passing: B. Young (2082)
Rushing: B. Robinson Jr. (599)
Receiving: J. Williams (587)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson Jr. (8)
Sacks: W. Anderson Jr. (7)
Tackles: D. Hellams (24)
 
Coaches:
Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (1st season)
Alabama Crimson Tide: Nick Saban (15th season)
 

Weather Forecast

81 degrees F sunny, 66% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 5 mph wind speeds SE.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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