Tennessee Titans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/12/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Nov 11, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 12, 2023
Venue:  Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Titans +2, Bucs -2; Over/Under:  39 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Titans +2, Bucs -2; Over/Under:  39 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Titans +2, Bucs -2; Over/Under:  39.5 points

Season Record

Tennessee Titans:  3-5 (4th place, AFC South)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  3-5 (3rd place, NFC South)

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Recent Form
Tennessee Titans:  lost their last game on the road against the Pittsburgh Steelers 20-16.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  lost their last game on the road against the Houston Texans 39-37.


Tennessee Titans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Preview and Analysis


The Titans are entering this game with a 3-5 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Pittsburgh Steelers 20-16. Will Levis was the starting QB and he completed 22/39 passes for 262 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 75 and 1 TD. Kyle Philips led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Amani Hooker led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 3-5 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Houston Texans 39-37. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 21/30 passes for 265 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rachaad White led the team in rushing yards with 73 and 2 TDs. Mike Evans led the receivers with 87 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Lavonte David led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Devin White, Calijah Kancey, and Shaquil Barrett each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.


Titans vs Buccaneers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Buccaneers listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucs are only 3-5 overall this season and haven't looked great in their games lately but they looked a lot better in their last game despite losing, specifically on offense. They scored 37 points in their road loss to the Texans and their defense blew a really late lead with less than 1 minute left on the clock, but now they are coming back home after that heartbreaking loss and will bounce back with a win here. The Titans haven't been any better this season with their 3-5 record overall and their 0-4 road record. They also announced Will Levis as their starter now and he got his 1st start of his career on the road in Pittsburgh last week, but now they are on the road for a 2nd straight week and still haven't won a game away from their home stadium all year. The Bucs offense finally looked good last week as they have been improving each week and they will explode once again in this game. The defense will also be looking to have a better performance at home and they will edge out the Titans for the win here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Buccaneers to cover the spread in this game. 

Titans Buccaneers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 12, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Buccaneers 31 Titans 17.
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NFL Betting Trends


Tennessee Titans: 16-9 ATS as an underdog. 8-4 ATS in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 15-6 ATS against NFC South division opponents. 28-15 UNDER in all games. 14-7 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 9-3 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 4-11 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 8-20 ATS off 2 consecutive road losses. 1-6 ATS after allowing 30 points or more last game. 27-18 UNDER in all games. 11-5 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 16-6 UNDER after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games.

Key Injuries


Tennessee Titans:  A. Al-Shaair (LB) Prob Sun - Ankle. L. Gifford (LB) Prob Sun - Shoulder. N. Petit-Frere (OL) Out Sun - Shoulder. D. Brunskill (OL) Out Sun - Ankle. M. Brown (S) Out Sun - Lower Body. S. Murphy-Bunting (CB) Out Sun - Thumb. T. Burks (WR) Out Sun - Concussion. C. Hubbard (OL) Prob Sun - Concussion. J. Gibbens (LB) Prob Sun - Shoulder. R. McCreary (CB) Prob Sun - Hamstring. W. Levis (QB) Prob Sun - Foot. A. Kendall (CB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. R. Tannehill (QB) Ques Sun - Ankle. H. Haskins (RB) I-R - Upper Body. T. Stallworth (DT) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Chestnut (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Jackson (WR) Out indefinitely - Ankle. C. Farley (CB) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Brown (DT) I-R - Ankle.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  C. Kancey (DL) Ques Sun - Quadricep. J. Hayes (DB) Out Sun - Concussion. M. Feiler (G) Doub Sun - Knee. T. Palmer (WR) Prob Sun - Neck. V. Vea (NT) Prob Sun - Groin. D. Thompkins (WR) Prob Sun - Personal. L. Goedeke (T) Ques Sun - Foot. C. Davis III (CB) Ques Sun - Toe. L. Hall (DL) Ques Sun - Groin. J. Dean (CB) Ques Sun - Concussion. R. Jensen (C) I-R - Knee. R. Gage (WR) I-R - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“Losing sucks, especially at this level. It’s so hard to win games and you have an opportunity like that to win it at the end, and it doesn’t happen, it makes you feel a whole lot worse. Credit to (Pittsburgh). They made the plays when they needed to and we didn’t.” - Will Levis after their loss against the Steelers in their last game. 


“It’s a devastating loss, no doubt about it. We’ve got to eat it. All of us feel the same way, especially me. I’ve been coaching a long time, I haven’t been involved in too many of these where it’s been back and forth like that and came down on the other end with a few things happening.” - Todd Bowles after his team’s loss against the Texans in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Tennessee Titans
WR HOPKINS, DEANDRE 
WR Burks, Treylon 
WR Westbrook-Ikhine, Nick 
TE Okonkwo, Chigoziem 
QB Levis, Will 
RB Henry, Derrick 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WR EVANS, MIKE 
WR Godwin, Chris 
WR Palmer, Trey
TE Otton, Cade 
QB Mayfield, Baker 
RB White, Rachaad

Statistical Leaders


Tennessee Titans
Passing: R. Tannehill (1128)
Rushing: D. Henry (601)
Receiving: D. Hopkins (564)
Touchdowns: D. Henry (4)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing: B. Mayfield (1865)
Rushing: R. White (378)
Receiving: M. Evans (594)
Touchdowns: M. Evans (5)

Coaches:
Tennessee Titans: Mike Vrabel (6th season)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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