Tennessee Titans vs Miami Dolphins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/11/2023

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Monday, December 11, 2023

Venue:  Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Titans +13, Dolphins -13; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Titans +13, Dolphins -13; Over/Under:  46.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Titans +13.5, Dolphins -13.5; Over/Under:  46.5 points

Tennessee Titans:  4-8 (4th place, AFC South)

Miami Dolphins:  9-3 (1st place, AFC East)

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Tennessee Titans:  lost their last game at home against the Indianapolis Colts in overtime 31-28.

Miami Dolphins:  won their last game on the road against the Washington Commanders 45-15.

The Titans are entering this game with a 4-8 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 0-6 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Indianapolis Colts 31-28 in OT. Will Levis was the starting QB and he completed 16/33 passes for 224 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 102 and 2 TDs. DeAndre Hopkins led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Jack Gibbens led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Azeez Al-Shaair and Denico Autry each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Dolphins are entering this game with a 9-3 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Washington Commanders 45-15. Tua Tagovailoa was the starting QB and he completed 18/24 passes for 280 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. De’Von Achane led the team in rushing yards with 73 and 2 TDs. Tyreek Hill led the receivers with 157 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. David Long Jr. led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Zach Sieler led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Andrew Van Ginkel came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Dolphins listed as a 13 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dolphins have looked really good this season with their 9-3 record overall and they have been especially good against teams with losing records. They are 5-0 in their home games this season and they just blew out another bad team in the Commanders last week, beating them 45-15. Meanwhile, the Titans have looked terrible this season with their 4-8 record overall and all of their wins have been at home this season too. They are 0-6 in their road games this year and that doesn't include the 1 game they played in England and lost. They have been letting their rookie QB Will Levis run the show lately and their offense has improved with him but their defense has been an even bigger issue lately and they aren't going to be able to keep this Dolphins offense off the board. The Dolphins will be looking to put on another show at home in a prime time game so look for the Dolphins here to blow out another team with a losing record. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dolphins to cover the spread in this game. 

Titans Dolphins Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Monday, December 11, 2023 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Dolphins 38 Titans 14.

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Tennessee Titans: 6-11 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points. 12-26 ATS after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points. 30-17 UNDER in all games. 12-4 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs. 13-5 UNDER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game.

Miami Dolphins: 8-4 ATS in all games. 7-1 ATS as a favorite. 9-3 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 26-15 UNDER against AFC South division opponents. 24-12 UNDER after a win by 21 or more points. 11-4 UNDER after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored.

Tennessee Titans:  D. Henry (RB) Prob Mon - Head. J. Whyle (TE) Ques Mon - Knee. T. Edmunds (S) Ques Mon - Shoulder. R. Stonehouse (P) out for season - Knee. J. Simmons (DT) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Hubbard (OL) I-R - Bicep. C. Campbell (LB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. N. Petit-Frere (OL) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Haskins (RB) I-R - Upper Body.  J. Chestnut (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Jackson (WR) Out indefinitely - Ankle. C. Farley (CB) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Brown (DT) I-R - Ankle.

Miami Dolphins:  R. Hunt (OL) Doub Mon - Hamstring. J. Baker (LB) Ques Mon - Leg. T. Armstead (T) Ques Mon - Ankle. J. Holland (S) Ques Mon - Knee. R. Jones (OL) Ques Mon - Knee. C. Brooks (RB) Ques Mon - Ankle. J. Phillips (LB) I-R - Achilles. S. Ahmed (RB) Out indefinitely - Foot. I. Wynn (OL) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. E. Ezukanma (WR) Out indefinitely - Neck. K. Crossen (DB) I-R - Undisclosed. Z. Vandenburgh (LB) I-R - Undisclosed.

“Proud of the way that we fought, and we lost.” - Mike Vrabel after his team’s loss against the Colts in their last game. 

“To be that aggressive while having that burden of frustration was exactly what you hope for from your starting quarterback.” - Mike McDaniel after his team’s win against the Commanders in their last game. 

WR Hopkins, Deandre 

WR Burks, Treylon 

WR Westbrook-Ikhine, Nick 

TE Okonkwo, Chigoziem 

QB Levis, Will 

RB Henry, Derrick 

WR Waddle, Jaylen 

WR Hill, Tyreek 

WR Berrios, Braxton 

TE Smythe, Durham 

QB Tagovailoa, Tua 

RB Mostert, Raheem 

FB Ingold, Alec

Passing: W. Levis (1266)

Rushing: D. Henry (841)

Receiving: D. Hopkins (774)

Touchdowns: D. Henry (8)

Passing: T. Tagovailoa (3457)

Rushing: R. Mostert (828)

Receiving: T. Hill (1481)

Touchdowns: R. Mostert (16)

Coaches:

Tennessee Titans: Mike Vrabel (6th season)

Miami Dolphins: Mike McDaniel (2nd season)