by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 17, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Titans +7, Jaguars -7; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Titans +7, Jaguars -7; Over/Under: 40 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Titans +6.5, Jaguars -6.5; Over/Under: 40 points
Season Record
Tennessee Titans: 3-6 (4th place, AFC South)
Jacksonville Jaguars: 6-3 (1st place, AFC South)
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Recent Form
Tennessee Titans: lost their last game on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-6.
Jacksonville Jaguars: lost their last game at home against the San Francisco 49ers 34-3.
Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Preview and Analysis
The Titans are entering this game with a 3-6 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 0-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20-6. Will Levis was the starting QB and he completed 19/39 passes for 199 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 24. Kyle Philips led the receivers with 61 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Elijah Molden led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Harold Landry III, Denico Autry, and Teair Tart each led the defense in sacks with 1. Roger McCreary came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Jaguars are entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 3-0 in their road games, and they are also 2-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the San Francisco 49ers 34-3. Trevor Lawrence was the starting QB and he completed 17/29 passes for 185 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 35. Christian Kirk led the receivers with 104 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Devin Lloyd led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Foyesade Oluokun led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Titans vs Jaguars Prediction
The current betting odds have the Jaguars listed as a 7 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Jaguars are 6-3 overall this season and they were one of the hottest teams in the NFL before losing at home to the 49ers last week. They have looked really good in their games and will be looking to bounce back at home after that embarrassing loss there last week. The Titans haven't looked great at all this season with their 3-6 record overall and they have been terrible in their road games too with their 0-5 road record this year, also losing their only game on a neutral site too. They are rolling out Will Levis once again as the starter here and he wasn't terrible in his last 2 appearances but this is still a really tough start for him since the Titans are playing their 3rd road game in a row and still haven't won outside of their home building this season. The Jags have a much better offense and a much better defense that will be looking to bounce back with a better performance as they are a lot better than the team that played the 49ers last week. This is a terrible spot for rookie QB Will Levis and the Titans. The best way to place a bet here is on the Jaguars to cover the spread in this game.
Titans Jaguars Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 19, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Jaguars 28 Titans 16.
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NFL Betting Trends
Tennessee Titans: 9-4 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders. 24-13 ATS after scoring 9 points or less last game. 29-15 UNDER in all games. 11-6 UNDER as a road underdog. 10-3 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 10-3 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive unders.
Jacksonville Jaguars: 1-5 ATS as a home favorite. 18-24 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of -3 or worse. 27-18 UNDER in all games. 13-7 UNDER in home games. 10-5 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive unders. 11-2 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game.
Key Injuries
Tennessee Titans: R. Tannehill (QB) Prob Sun - Ankle. L. Gifford (LB) Prob Sun - Shin. J. Gibbens (LB) Prob Sun - Shoulder. E. Garror (DB) Prob Sun - Neck. A. Kendall (CB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. A. Dillard (OT) Ques Sun - Concussion. C. Campbell (LB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. W. Levis (QB) Prob Sun - Foot. M. Brown (S) Ques Sun - Lower Body. T. Burks (WR) Ques Sun - Concussion. D. Brunskill (OL) Ques Sun - Ankle. S. Murphy-Bunting (CB) Ques Sun - Thumb. N. Petit-Frere (OL) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Haskins (RB) I-R - Upper Body. J. Chestnut (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Jackson (WR) Out indefinitely - Ankle. C. Farley (CB) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Brown (DT) I-R - Ankle.
Jacksonville Jaguars: T. Lawrence (QB) Prob Sun - Knee. R. Robertson-Harris (DL) Ques Sun - Ankle. A. Harrison (OT) Ques Sun - Back. P. Washington (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. T. Campbell (CB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. Z. Jones (WR) Doub Sun - Knee. Y. Abdullah (LB) Ques Sun - Illness. J. Agnew (WR) Ques Sun - Shoulder. C. Braswell (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. L. Taylor (TE) I-R - Undisclosed. C. Hodges (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. V. Miller (LB) I-R - Achilles.
Notable Quotes
“We didn’t run it very well. The first drive, there was some good stuff going on there, just didn’t finish that drive off. And whether it’s pressure or (various breakdowns) trying to get the football off, it was a struggle.” - Mike Vrabel after his team’s loss against the Bucs in their last game.
"This was definitely a humbling experience." - Doug Pederson after his team’s loss against the 49ers in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Tennessee Titans
WR HOPKINS, DEANDRE
WR Burks, Treylon
WR Westbrook-Ikhine, Nick
TE Okonkwo, Chigoziem
QB Levis, Will
RB Henry, Derrick
Jacksonville Jaguars
WR Ridley, Calvin
WR Jones, Zay
WR Kirk, Christian
TE Engram, Evan
QB Lawrence, Trevor
RB Etienne Jr., Travis
Statistical Leaders
Tennessee Titans
Passing: R. Tannehill (1128)
Rushing: D. Henry (625)
Receiving: D. Hopkins (591)
Touchdowns: D. Henry (4)
Jacksonville Jaguars
Passing: T. Lawrence (2120)
Rushing: T. Etienne Jr. (618)
Receiving: C. Kirk (624)
Touchdowns: T. Etienne Jr. (8)
Coaches:
Tennessee Titans: Mike Vrabel (6th season)
Jacksonville Jaguars: Doug Pederson (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
