Tennessee Titans vs. Indianapolis Colts Preview, Picks, Prediction & Odds -- 10/31/2021

by Chuck Sommers

Game time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Where to watch: CBS

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks


DraftKings: Colts -3; O/U 51
BetMGM: Colts -2.5; O/U 50.5
Caesars: Colts -2.5; O/U 51

Season record
Titans: 5-2 (1st place, AFC South)
Colts: 3-4 (2nd place, AFC South)

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Titans - Colts preview and analysis


Last week
Titans: won 27-3 vs. Chiefs
Colts: won 30-18 at 49ers

Imagine putting the whooping on the Kansas City Chiefs the way the Tennessee Titans did, and coming into this week as underdogs.

Perhaps it’s the way the Indianapolis Colts have played in the last four games, but even that shouldn’t be enough to say they’ll take down the top team in the AFC South on Sunday.

The Titans have won three straight after their overtime loss to the New York Jets almost a month ago. The Jacksonville Jaguars? That was easy. But to defeat the Buffalo Bills by putting up 34 on that defense, and then to hold the Chiefs to three points? That’s where things are fun.

The constant behind all of that has been Derrick Henry’s quest for world domination. The top back in the league had 102 yards from scrimmage after rushing for 125 and a touchdown in his previous three games.

As a result, the Titans are likely the top team in the AFC at the moment and are looking hard to defend on both sides.

“He’s a beast. You see it, he’s really raising the level, the standard for running backs," Colts running back Jonathan Taylor said. “You need to be a dominant presence on the ground so all of us backs look at him (Henry) and try to figure out how can I become a dominant presence on the ground each and every single week?"

The Titans are coming off one of the more shocking wins of the season; not because the Chiefs are struggling, but the fact the defense held Kansas City to just three points. It’s weird to say Ryan Tannehill was the best quarterback of those two after he threw for 270 yards and a touchdown.

This week might be a challenge, though. Julio Jones, who has been lackluster this season as a whole, will not play due to a hamstring injury, while A.J. Brown is questionable after not being spotted during practice on Friday.

If both can’t go, it’s deja vu to that Jets game before where the Titans made it to overtime only to lose at New York. The Colts are not the Jets, but this matchup does look a little more competitive than it did a few weeks ago.

Indy has won back-to-back games against the Houston Texans and San Francisco 49ers; both don’t move the needle but then take into account the Colts were one blown lead away from winning four straight. The Baltimore Ravens are thanked every day.

The Carson Wentz era continues to be a weird one, but he threw two touchdowns in a rainy Levi’s Stadium to win on Sunday Night Football. He may not be the Wentz of four years ago, but at least there’s some comfort with Frank Reich believing in his quarterback.

"I felt like something about learning the lesson from the Ravens game," he said. "We had a third-and-8 and I called a run. I told the guys, ‘I'm not doing that again. I'm throwing a pass.' I don't care what anybody says. It really comes from trusting your quarterback and trusting your receivers."

The Colts’ offense is still somewhat of a work-in-progress averaging 24.1 points per game, but the defense has settled a bit by allowing just over 15 per game.and 17 if you count the Miami Dolphins win from October 3.

Prediction


If Brown can’t go, that’s going to be a major blow for the Tennessee offense. My thing is, is it that drastic to throw the Titans as road dogs against this Colts team? Indianapolis has yet to win a game against a team like this, and hasn’t had that regular season-type of statement. It doesn’t happen this week. Titans by 6

Betting trends


The Titans are 7-4 ATS the past three seasons as a road underdog.

The Titans are also 7-19 ATS since 1992 coming off an upset win by 10 points ore more.

The Colts are 8-2 ATS in the past three seasons following a win by 10 points or more.

Players to watch


Titans: Look for more targets to tight end Mycole Pruitt this week with Jones out of the lineup. He had a touchdown reception last week and could see more targets his way.

Colts: Marlon Mack has found the end zone in two of the past three games against the Titans. Him and Taylor will split the carries well enough to tire out the Titans defense.

Statistical leaders


Titans:
Passing: Ryan Tannehill -- 1,737 yards, 7 TD, 5 INT
Rushing: Derrick Henry -- 869 yards, 10 TD
Receiving: A.J. Brown -- 354 yards, 2 TD
Defense: Harold Landry -- 7.5 sacks

Colts:
Passing: Carson Wentz -- 1,695 yards, 11 TD, 1 INT
Rushing: Jonathan Taylor -- 579 yards, 5 TD
Receiving: Michael Pittman -- 508 yards, 2 TD
Defense: Darius Leonard -- 2 INT

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Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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