Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 12/31/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Dec 30, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 31, 2023
Venue:  NRG Stadium, Houston, TX 
Where to Watch:  FOX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Titans +4, Texans -4; Over/Under:  44 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Titans +4, Texans -4; Over/Under:  44 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Titans +4, Texans -4; Over/Under:  44 points

Season Record

Tennessee Titans:  5-10 (4th place, AFC South)
Houston Texans:  8-7 (3rd place, AFC South)

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Recent Form
Tennessee Titans:  lost their last game at home against the Seattle Seahawks 20-17.
Houston Texans:  lost their last game at home against the Cleveland Browns 36-22.


Tennessee Titans vs Houston Texans Preview and Analysis


The Titans are entering this game with a 5-10 record overall and they have a 0-4 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-3 in their home games, 1-6 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Seattle Seahawks 20-17. Ryan Tannehill was the starting QB and he completed 18/26 passes for 152 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Derrick Henry led the team in rushing yards with 88 and 1 TD. Chigoziem Okonkwo led the receivers with 63 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Roger McCreary led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Arden Key and Harold Landry III each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
 
 
 
The Texans are entering this game with an 8-7 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 5-3 in their home games, 3-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Cleveland Browns 36-22. Case Keenum was the starting QB and he completed 11/17 passes for 62 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions before getting replaced by Davis Mills who completed 15/32 passes for 149 yards and 2 TDs. Devin Singletary led the team in rushing yards with 44. Dalton Schultz led the receivers with 61 receiving yards on 8 receptions. DeAndre Houston-Carson led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Jerry Hughes led the defense in sacks with 1. DeAndre Houston-Carson and Derek Stingley Jr. each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.


Titans vs Texans Prediction

The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans have looked really good this season with their 8-7 record overall considering how they have a rookie QB and a head coach in his 1st year coaching the team. DeMeco Ryans has turned this team around in less than a season and now they are in a position to even make a run at the playoffs. Their playoff hopes took a hit over the last week as they were without CJ Stroud once again in their loss to the Browns, but now he will be back and this team will be motivated to win this game with playoffs on the line and the AFC South still up for grabs too. They have looked a lot better in their home games all season with their 5-3 home record and they will be looking to bounce back here after getting embarrassed at home last week. Meanwhile, the Titans have looked terrible in their games this season with their 5-10 record overall and they have looked especially bad in their road games with their 1-6 road record. They are also 0-4 in the division this season which isn't good considering that this is a divisional game and the Titans have nothing left to play for this year either. The Texans have not only been the better team all year but they actually need to win this game with something to play for still and they will get the bad taste out of their mouth from last week's loss. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game. 

Titans Texans Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 31, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Texans 24 Titans 13.
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NFL Betting Trends


Tennessee Titans: 9-5 ATS off 2 or more consecutive unders. 15-7 ATS after gaining 150 or less passing yards in 3 straight games. 32-18 UNDER in all games. 10-4 UNDER off 2 or more consecutive unders. 5-1 UNDER revenging a home loss against an opponent.

Houston Texans: 1-6 ATS as a favorite. 1-4 ATS after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game. 21-12 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 10-1 UNDER after allowing 300 or more passing yards in their last game. 

Key Injuries


Tennessee Titans:  J. Whyle (TE) Ques Sun - Knee. T. Wesco (TE) Prob Sun - Shin. K. Wallace (S) Prob Sun - Quadricep. T. Avery (CB) Prob Sun - Knee. C. Dowell (WR) Ques Sun - Hip. K. Philips (WR) Prob Sun - Hamstring. T. McLendon Jr. (DE) Prob Sun - Shoulder. W. Levis (QB) Prob Sun - Ankle. J. Duncan (OT) Prob Sun - Wrist. C. Moore (WR) Ques Sun - Ribs. M. Davidson (DT) Ques Sun - Groin. A. Brewer (G) Ques Sun - Ankle. S. Murphy-Bunting (CB) Ques Sun - Hip. D. Brunskill (OL) Ques Sun - Ankle. C. Murphy (LB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. J. Simmons (DT) I-R - Knee. L. Gifford (LB) I-R - Hamstring. J. Gibbens (LB) I-R - Back. A. Hooker (DB) I-R - Knee. N. Westbrook-Ikhine (WR) I-R - Hand. J. Jones (LB) Out indefinitely - Finger. K. Peko (DT) I-R - Calf. K. Fulton (CB) I-R - Hamstring. R. Stonehouse (P) I-R - Knee. C. Hubbard (OL) I-R - Bicep. C. Campbell (LB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. N. Petit-Frere (OL) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Haskins (RB) I-R - Upper Body. J. Chestnut (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Jackson (WR) Out indefinitely - Ankle. C. Farley (CB) Out indefinitely - Back. S. Brown (DT) I-R - Ankle.

Houston Texans:  A. Beck (FB) Ques Sun - Calf. N. Brown (WR) Prob Sun - Knee. S. Mason (G) Prob Sun - Calf. A. Amos (DB) Prob Sun - Personal. J. Greenard (DE) Out Sun - Ankle. L. Tunsil (OT) Prob Sun - Knee. N. Collins (WR) Prob Sun - Calf. C. Stroud (QB) Prob Sun - Concussion. D. Perryman (LB) Ques Sun - Ankle. S. Rankins (DT) Ques Sun - Ankle. S. Nelson (CB) Ques Sun - Foot. M. Collins (DT) Ques Sun - Hip. J. Ward (S) I-R - Quadricep. B. Cashman (LB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. W. Anderson Jr. (DE) Ques Sun - Ankle. D. Horton (DE) Out indefinitely - Illness. T. Thomas (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Dell (WR) I-R - Leg. T. Howard (OT) I-R - Knee. G. Arnold (S) Out indefinitely - Calf. M. Stewart (S) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. H. Ridgeway (DT) Out indefinitely - Achilles. T. Quitoriano (TE) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Patterson (C) Out indefinitely - Ankle. E. Murray (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Green (C) I-R - Knee. K. Green (G) I-R - Shoulder. K. Zierer (OT) I-R - Ankle. T. Hairston (FB) I-R - Back. J. Matthews (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Scaife Jr. (OT) I-R - Leg. S. Quessenberry (C) I-R - Knee.

Notable Quotes


“There are no moral victories in life. There are no moral victories in professional football.” - Mike Vrabel after his team’s loss against the Seahawks in their last game. 


“We just didn’t do enough today. We got our butts kicked and that’s never fun. I hadn’t had it like that in a while.” - Case Keenum after their loss against the Browns in their last game. 


Starting Lineups


Tennessee Titans
WR Hopkins, Deandre 
WR Burks, Treylon 
WR Moore, Chris
TE Okonkwo, Chigoziem 
QB Levis, Will 
RB Henry, Derrick 

Houston Texans
WR Collins, Nico 
WR Brown, Noah  
WR Woods, Robert 
TE Schultz, Dalton 
QB Stroud, C.J. 
RB Singletary, Devin 
FB Beck, Andrew 

Statistical Leaders


Tennessee Titans
Passing: W. Levis (1792)
Rushing: D. Henry (972)
Receiving: D. Hopkins (939)
Touchdowns: D. Henry (11)

Houston Texans
Passing: C. Stroud (3631)
Rushing: D. Singletary (755)
Receiving: N. Collins (1022)
Touchdowns: T. Dell (7) 

Coaches:
Tennessee Titans: Mike Vrabel (6th season)
Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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