TCU Horned Frogs vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/05/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Feb 24, 2023
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 25, 2023
Venue:  United Supermarkets Arena, Lubbock, TX 
Where to Watch:  ESPN2


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TCU +2, TTU -2; Over/Under:  144.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  TCU +2, TTU -2; Over/Under:  144.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TCU +2, TTU -2; Over/Under:  144.5 points

Season Record

TCU Horned Frogs:  18-10 (7-8) (6th place, Big 12)
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  16-12 (5-10) (9th place, Big 12)

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Recent Form
TCU Horned Frogs:  1-4  last 5
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  4-1  last 5


TCU Horned Frogs vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview and Analysis


TCU is coming into this game with an 18-10 record overall and they are 2-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 7-8 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Kansas Jayhawks in their last game. Mike Miles led the team in points in that game with 13 while JaKobe Coles was next on the team with 12 points. Damion Baugh led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Eddie Lampkin Jr. led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 30.3% from the field, 27.8% from 3-point range, and 61.9% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.1 PPG against them. TCU has an ATS record of 14-13-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-13.


Texas Tech is coming into this game with a 16-12 record overall and they are 11-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 5-10 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Kansas State Wildcats, the Texas Longhorns, the West Virginia Mountaineers, and the Oklahoma Sooners in their last game. Fardaws Aimaq led the team in points in that game with 19 while Jaylon Tyson was next on the team with 18 points. De'Vion Harmon led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Fardaws Aimaq led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 61.7% from the field, 58.3% from 3-point range, and 64.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.2 PPG against them. Texas Tech has an ATS record of 13-14-1 this season and their O/U record is 16-10-2.



TCU vs Texas Tech Prediction

The current betting odds have TCU listed as a 2 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. TCU enters this game as a ranked team and they are 18-10 overall this season. They haven't been great in their road games with a 2-6 road record and they have even been struggling in the Big 12 with a 7-8 conference record, but they just got out of a big slump after playing a few games without their 2 best players, and now that they are back they should get back on a roll here. Texas Tech hasn't been a good team at all this year. They have won 4 games in a row now as they are really starting to get hot but they have still been a bad team all season as they are only 16-12 overall and have been struggling in the Big 12. They are 11-4 in their home games but they are 5-10 in their conference games which makes them one of the worst teams in the Big 12, and they were the worst team for most of the season before Oklahoma took over. Texas Tech has been good lately but they are not going to sustain this kind of play while TCU is going to be looking to get back on a roll again now that they are fully healthy. The best way to place a bet here is on TCU to cover the spread in this game. 

TCU Texas Tech Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 25, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is TCU 76 TTU 72.
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NCAAB Betting Trends


TCU Horned Frogs: 11-20 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick. 10-5 ATS after scoring 60 points or less. 16-9 OVER after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite. 
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 25-15 ATS after 3 consecutive conference games. 26-12 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road underdog. 7-1 OVER when the line is +3 to -3.

Key Injuries


TCU Horned Frogs:  R. Walker (G) Ques Sat - Arm.
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  D. Batcho (F) Ques Sat - Lower Body.

Notable Quotes


“It’s disappointing how we played and how we executed and how we handled the situation. Obviously played good in our last game, excited about having our guys back. But we just didn’t carry it over.” - Jamie Dixon after his team’s loss against Kansas in their last game. 


“Yeah, a little surprised. So appreciative of our players. There’s so many teams that when you start off 0-8 that you just throw in the towel, and this team hasn’t done that. We’ve seen improvement even though we were 0-8. Guys were getting better, it just wasn’t showing up in the win-loss column. Now it is, and our challenge is to keep growing.” - Mark Adams on his team still having a chance to make the NCAA Tournament in March.


Starting Lineups


TCU Horned Frogs
D. Baugh 
E. Lampkin 
M. Miles 
E. Miller 
C. O'Bannon

Texas Tech Red Raiders
D. Batcho 
D. Harmon 
P. Isaacs 
K. Obanor 
J. Tyson

Statistical Leaders


TCU Horned Frogs
PPG: M. Miles Jr. (17.7)
APG: D. Baugh (5.8)
Reb/G: E. Miller (6.2)

Texas Tech Red Raiders
PPG: K. Obanor (14.7)
APG: D. Harmon (3.5)
Reb/G: F. Aimaq (7.3)

Coaches:
TCU Horned Frogs: Jamie Dixon (7th season)
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Mark Adams (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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