TCU Horned Frogs vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Game Preview and Prediction - 10/09/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 9, 2021
Venue:  Jones AT&T Stadium, Lubbock, TX
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TCU -1.5, TT +1.5; Over/Under:  61.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  TCU -1.5, TT +1.5; Over/Under:  61 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TCU -1.5, TT +1.5; Over/Under:  60.5 points

Season Record

TCU Horned Frogs:  2-2 (7th place, Big 12)
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  4-1 (5th place, Big 12)
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TCU Horned Frogs vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
TCU Horned Frogs:  lost at home on Oct. 2 against the Texas Longhorns 32-27.
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  won on the road on Oct. 2 against the West Virginia Mountaineers 23-20.

TCU Horned Frogs Analysis

TCU is coming into this game with a 2-2 record overall and this will be their first true road game of the season. This will also be their 2nd conference matchup of the year and they are already behind with a 0-1 record in their conference games this season. They started their season off on the right foot with 2 wins in a row over the Duquesne Dukes and the California Golden Bears but that quickly turned around as they lost their last 2 games against the SMU Mustangs and against Texas in their last game. Max Duggan played a good game in their last one as he completed 20/28 passes for 182 yards and 1 touchdown. Zach Evans led the team in rushing with 113 yards and 1 touchdown on 15 carries but he was basically their entire running game in that one. Taye Barber and Quentin Johnston both led the receivers with 37 yards each on 3 receptions each in what was a very quiet day for the receiving corps. Trevius Hodges-Tomlinson led the defense with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones while Nook Bradford was right behind him with 6 solo tackles, 2 assisted ones, and 1 interception. He had the only interception for his team in that game and Dylan Horton recorded the only 2 sacks for his team in that one. They have scored 140 points in their first 4 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 109 points against them. Their offense is averaging 433.3 YPG while their defense is allowing 397.3 YPG.

Texas Tech Red Raiders Analysis

Texas Tech is coming into this game with a 4-1 record overall and they are 2-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 3rd conference game on their schedule this year and they are 1-1 in their conference games this season so far. They started their season off great on a 3 game winning streak after wins against the Houston Cougars, the SFA Lumberjacks. and the FIU Panthers but that was halted after suffering a loss to the Texas Longhorns. They bounced back in their last game though with a win over WVU. Henry Colombi played well in that game as he completed 23/34 passes for 266 yards, zero touchdowns and zero interceptions. Kaylon Geiger also threw a single pass in that game that was intercepted. SaRodorick Thompson led the team in rushing with 48 yards and 2 touchdowns on 12 carries but they did not really get much of a run game going in that one. Kaylon Geiger led the receivers with 82 yards on 7 receptions and should probably stick to catching passes instead of throwing them after giving up the only interception for them in that game. Other than him, it was overall a pretty quiet day for the receiving corps and the offense in general for yards gained. Colin Schooler led the defense with 9 solo tackles and 6 assisted ones in that one. He also had 1 sack in that game along with Jaylon Hutchings who had the other sack for them but no one on this defense came away with an interception here. They have scored 178 points in their first 5 games and they have allowed their opponents to score 154 points against them. Their offense is averaging 438 YPG while their defense is allowing 386.8 YPG.


TCU vs Texas Tech Prediction

The Texas Tech offense has been moving the ball well this year and scoring a lot of points too as they have scored over 20 points in every game this season. Their defense has not been that good though, as they have allowed their opponents to score over 20 points against them as well in every single game this year. TCU's offense has also looked good this year and has been scoring a lot of points. They have scored over 30 points in all of their games except for their last one where they still scored 27 on Texas. Their defense has been gassed this season as well as they have allowed their opponents to score over 30 points against them in their last 3 games, so all FBS opponents they have faced. Both of these teams are going to score on offense with ease here and both defenses are going to struggle to get stops in this game and get off the field. The best bet to place in this game is on the over as it will be a high scoring game.
TCU Texas Tech Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 9, 2021 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Texas Tech 35 TCU 31.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

TCU Horned Frogs: 77-85 O/U as a favorite. 76-85 O/U against conference opponents.
Texas Tech Red Raiders: 179-158 ATS in all games. 79-75 ATS as an underdog. 92-64 ATS in home games. 127-109 ATS against conference opponents.

Key Injuries

TCU Horned Frogs:  N. Daniels (CB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. K. Coleman (DE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. M. Barkley (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot injury.
Texas Tech Red Raiders:  C. Townsend (RB) out for season - Chest injury. T. Brooks (RB) Ques Sat - Leg injury. E. Ezukanma (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury.

Players to Watch

TCU Horned Frogs: Zach Evans is one player to watch here. He leads his team in rushing yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He is coming off of a big game where he had over 100 rushing yards and he will be looking to carry that great play over into this game. Look for him to get some touches here and have a good game as he helps his team look for a win here.
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Henry Colombi is one player to watch in this game. He is the starting quarterback for them now and it will be up to him to lead this offense to victory. Look for him to make the big plays in this game and make some good throws down the field as he looks to bring home the win.

Notable Quotes

"I was really proud of the guys stopping them on fourth down on the goal line. I think if you want to know if kids have heart, there you go. Outside of that, we've got to tackle and can't turn the ball over." - Gary Patterson on his team’s performance against Texas in their loss in their last game.
"We wanted to capitalize on our opportunities this week. We had a great week of practice. And I'm real proud of the guys." - Henry Colombi after their win against WVU in their last game.

Starting Lineups

TCU Horned Frogs
WR Williams, Savion 
WR Johnston, Quentin 
WR Davis, Derius 
WR Conwright, Blair 
TE Ware, Carter 
QB Duggan, Max 
RB Evans, Zach 
Texas Tech Red Raiders
WR Geiger Sr., Kaylon 
WR Ezukanma, Erik 
WR Mannix, McLane 
TE Koontz, Travis 
QB Colombi, Henry 
RB Thompson, SaRodorick 

Statistical Leaders

TCU Horned Frogs
Passing: M. Duggan (899)
Rushing: Z. Evans (443)
Receiving: T. Barber (198)
Touchdowns: Z. Evans (3)
Sacks: D. Horton (2)
Tackles: T. Hodges-Tomlinson (17)
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Passing: T. Shough (872)
Rushing: T. Brooks (284)
Receiving: E. Ezukanma (406)
Touchdowns: T. Brooks (4)
Sacks: J. Hutchings (3)
Tackles: C. Schooler (29)
TCU Horned Frogs: Gary Patterson (22nd season)
Texas Tech Red Raiders: Matt Wells (3rd season)

Weather Forecast

94 degrees F sunny, 31% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 17 mph wind speeds SW.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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