by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 21, 2023
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Friday, November 24, 2023
Venue: Gaylord Family - Oklahoma Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: TCU +10, OU -10; Over/Under: 63.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: TCU +10, OU -10; Over/Under: 63.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: TCU +10.5, OU -10.5; Over/Under: 63.5 points
Season Record
TCU Horned Frogs: 5-6 (3-5) (9th place, Big 12)
Oklahoma Sooners: 9-2 (6-2) (2nd place, Big 12)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a HOT STREAK in the NCAAF as he is 97-64 his last 161 CFB plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
TCU Horned Frogs: won their last game at home against the Baylor Bears 42-17.
Oklahoma Sooners: won their last game on the road against the BYU Cougars 31-24.
TCU Horned Frogs vs Oklahoma Sooners Preview and Analysis
TCU is entering this game with a 5-6 record overall and they have a 3-5 record in their conference games too. They are 4-3 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Baylor 42-17. Josh Hoover was the starting QB and he completed 24/29 passes for 412 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Emani Bailey led the team in rushing yards with 53 and 2 TDs. Jared Wiley led the receivers with 178 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Shadrach Banks led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Damonic Williams led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Oklahoma is entering this game with a 9-2 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-0 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against BYU 31-24. Dillon Gabriel was the starting QB and he completed 13/21 passes for 191 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Gavin Sawchuk led the team in rushing yards with 107 and 1 TD. Jayden Gibson led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 2 receptions and 1 TD. Billy Bowman led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Danny Stutsman led the defense in sacks with 1. Billy Bowman came away with the only interception for them in that game.
TCU vs Oklahoma Prediction
The current betting odds have Oklahoma listed as a 10 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oklahoma has looked really good in their games this season with their 9-2 record overall and they are also 6-2 in conference play too. They looked terrible in their 2 losses and have definitely shown some weaknesses in their road games this season, but they have looked really good at home with their 5-0 home record and they have also blown out a lot of teams in those games. They struggled to beat BYU on the road last week but they will be looking to have a better performance at home this week, especially since they are still alive to get to the Big 12 Championship but need to win this game. Meanwhile, TCU hasn't looked great this season with their 5-6 record overall and they have really taken a step back from last year. They have struggled a lot more against Big 12 opponents this season with their 3-5 conference record and they have also been terrible in their road games with their 1-3 road record. TCU needs to win this game to become bowl eligible but going into Norman to try and win is a lot different than beating OU at home and Oklahoma will be focused on ending their regular season with the best possible record after their debacle last season. The best way to place a bet here is on Oklahoma to cover the spread in this game.
TCU Oklahoma Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, November 24, 2023 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Oklahoma 45 TCU 21.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this TCU Horned Frogs Oklahoma Sooners prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
NCAAF Betting Trends
TCU Horned Frogs: 1-6 ATS as a road underdog. 8-17 ATS after gaining 375 or more passing yards in last game. 8-3 UNDER in all games. 9-5 UNDER when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 6-0 UNDER after playing a game at home.
Oklahoma Sooners: 19-10 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points 28-19 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 63. 8-2 UNDER after a game where they committed no turnovers. 8-5 UNDER after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games.
Key Injuries
TCU Horned Frogs: C. Curtis (TE) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. J. Hodges (LB) out for season - Undisclosed. D. Wright (WR) out for season - Undisclosed. W. Thompson (WR) out for season - Undisclosed.
Oklahoma Sooners: D. Gabriel (QB) Ques Fri - Upper Body. T. Guyton (OL) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. B. Smith (TE) Ques Fri - Undisclosed. M. Major (RB) Ques Fri - Shoulder. K. Helms (TE) out for season - Knee. A. Anthony (WR) out for season - Knee. K. McIntyre (TE) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. J. Rowe (DB) out for season - Undisclosed. P. Picciotti (LB) out for season - Undisclosed. D. Graham II (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“It’s been a disappointing year for them, just like it has for us. Man, it feels good to get a win. It’s been a while it seems like.” - Sonny Dykes after his team’s win against Baylor in their last game.
“He was in a great position. Exactly where he was supposed to be. Fantastic play. Showed his speed.” - Brent Venables after his team’s win against BYU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
TCU Horned Frogs
WR Williams, Savion
WR Robinson, Jaylon
WR Richardson, JP
TE Wiley, Jared
QB Hoover, Josh
RB Bailey, Emani
Oklahoma Sooners
WR Anthony, Andrel
WR Farooq, Jalil
WR Stoops, Drake
TE Stogner, Austin
QB Gabriel, Dillon
RB Sawchuk, Gavin
Statistical Leaders
TCU Horned Frogs
Passing: J. Hoover (1866)
Rushing: E. Bailey (1059)
Receiving: S. Williams (525)
Touchdowns: E. Bailey (7)
Oklahoma Sooners
Passing: D. Gabriel (3260)
Rushing: G. Sawchuk (480)
Receiving: D. Stoops (755)
Touchdowns: D. Gabriel (11)
Coaches:
TCU Horned Frogs: Sonny Dykes (2nd season)
Oklahoma Sooners: Brent Venables (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
