TCU Horned Frogs vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/04/2023

Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 4, 2023

Venue:  Lloyd Noble Center, Norman, OK

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TCU -2, Oklahoma +2; Over/Under:  143 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  TCU -2, Oklahoma +2; Over/Under:  143 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TCU -2, Oklahoma +2; Over/Under:  143 points

TCU Horned Frogs:  20-10 (9-8) (5th place, Big 12)

Oklahoma Sooners:  14-16 (4-13) (10th place, Big 12)

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TCU Horned Frogs:  3-2  last 5

Oklahoma Sooners:  2-3  last 5

TCU is coming into this game with a 20-10 record overall and they are 3-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 9-8 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Texas Longhorns in their last game. Damion Baugh led the team in points in that game with 24 while Emanuel Miller was next on the team with 20 points. Damion Baugh led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Emanuel Miller led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 46.4% from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range, and 78.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.8 PPG against them. TCU has an ATS record of 15-14-1 this season and their O/U record is 16-14.

Oklahoma is coming into this game with a 14-16 record overall and they are 8-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 4-13 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Kansas State Wildcats in their last game. Milos Uzan led the team in points in that game with 20 while Otega Oweh was next on the team with 18 points. Milos Uzan led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Jalen Hill and Tanner Groves each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 43.1% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 84.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 68.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.1 PPG against them. Oklahoma has an ATS record of 13-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 16-13-1.

The current betting odds have TCU listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. TCU enters this game as a ranked team with their 20-10 record overall and they have been a really good team this year when fully healthy. They are only 9-8 in their conference games this season and they haven't been great on the road either with a 3-6 road record, but they also went through a rough patch during the season where they were missing key players but are all back to being healthy now and have won 2 games in a row too. Oklahoma has been terrible this season with their losing 14-16 record overall and they are the worst team in the Big 12 this season with a 4-13 conference record. They haven't even been that good at home with an 8-7 home record and they just lost another game in their last one after a win which snapped a long losing streak for them. Oklahoma isn't going to be able to compete with TCU here now that TCU is fully healthy again with their starters and TCU will be looking to extend their winning streak to 3 as they carry that momentum over into their conference tournament. The best way to place a bet here is on TCU to cover the spread in this game. 

TCU Oklahoma Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 4, 2023 (3:00 pm ET start time) is TCU 69 Oklahoma 62.

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TCU Horned Frogs: 12-7 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 6-1 ATS in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5. 25-16 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

Oklahoma Sooners: 2-8 ATS after allowing 80 points or more. 16-29 ATS after one or more consecutive overs. 42-23 UNDER off a road loss by 10 points or more.

TCU Horned Frogs:  S. Doumbia (C) Ques Sat - Concussion. R. Walker (G) Out indefinitely - Arm.

Oklahoma Sooners:  Y. Keita (F) out for season - Shin.

“We’ve got balanced scoring. I know Mike stands out a lot, but we’ve played a lot without him obviously. It just wasn’t his day, but he kept playing, played hard on defense. ... Good to win a game when not everybody plays their best game.” - Jamie Dixon after his team’s win against Texas in their last game. 

“It definitely wasn't intentional. It was an unfortunate play. I don't think it was malicious. I know the kid; that's not who he is. It was a high-elbow play. An unfortunate play.” - Porter Moser after his team’s loss against Kansas State in their last game.

D. Baugh 

E. Lampkin 

M. Miles 

E. Miller 

C. O'Bannon

J. Groves 

T. Groves 

J. Hill 

G. Sherfield

M. Uzan

PPG: M. Miles Jr. (17.2)

APG: D. Baugh (6.1)

Reb/G: E. Miller (6.5)

PPG: G. Sherfield (16)

APG: G. Sherfield (3.3)

Reb/G: T. Groves (6.9)

Coaches:

TCU Horned Frogs: Jamie Dixon (7th season)

Oklahoma Sooners: Porter Moser (2nd season)