TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/30/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 30, 2021
Venue:  Bill Snyder Family Stadium, Manhattan, KS
Where to Watch:  ESPNU

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TCU +3, KSU -3; Over/Under:  58.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  TCU +3, KSU -3; Over/Under:  58.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TCU +3, KSU -3; Over/Under:  58.5 points
 

Season Record

TCU Horned Frogs:  3-4 (8th place, Big 12)
Kansas State Wildcats:  4-3 (7th place, Big 12)
 
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Ben Burns is on an 11-3 (10*) FOOTBALL RUN! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

 

TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
TCU Horned Frogs:  lost at home on Oct. 23 against the West Virginia Mountaineers 29-17.
Kansas State Wildcats:  won on the road on Oct. 23 against the Texas Tech Red Raiders 25-24.
 
 
 

TCU Horned Frogs Analysis

TCU is coming into this game with a 3-4 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 5th conference matchup of the year and they are already way behind the mark with a 1-3 record in their conference games this season. Their 1 win came against the Texas Tech Red Raiders while their 3 losses came against the Texas Longhorns, the Oklahoma Sooners, and against WVU in their last game. They kept that game against WVU a close one in the first half but once they got to the second half they did not score another point in that game letting WVU run away with it. Max Duggan struggled in that game as he completed 16/26 passes for 244 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Zach Evans led the team in rushing with 62 yards on 18 carries. Quentin Johnston had a nice day as he led the team in receiving with 113 yards on 5 receptions while Taye Barber caught the only touchdown pass for them  in that game. Dee Winters led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones while Dylan Horton was right behind with 6 solo tackles. Corey Bethley had the only sack in that game for them while no one on the defense was able to come away with an interception. They have scored 240 points in their 7 games this season averaging 34.3 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 221 points against them allowing 31.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 450.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 451.3 YPG.
 
 

Kansas State Wildcats Analysis

KSU is coming into this game with a 4-3 record overall and they are 2-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 5th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they have already fallen behind the mark with a 1-3 record in their conference games this season. Their 3 losses came against the Oklahoma State Cowboys, the Iowa State Cyclones, and the Oklahoma Sooners while their 1 win came against Texas Tech in their last game. That win snapped a 3 game losing streak that they were on. They won that game in a second half comeback after trailing by 14 points at halftime but then shutting out Texas Tech in the second half to get the win by 1 point. Skylar Thompson played alright in that game as he completed 24/30 passes for 296 yards and 1 touchdown. Deuce Vaughn led the team in rushing with 52 yards and 2 touchdowns on 15 carries but they did not really get much of a running game going in that one. Vaughn also led the receivers with 68 yards and 1 touchdown on 7 receptions. Landry Weber had 49 receiving yards on 3 receptions while Phillip Brooks III had 5 catches for 37 yards. Cody Fletcher led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted one. Felix Anudike, Nate Matlack, and Tyrone Taleni all had 1 sack each in that game while Russ Yeast came away with the only interception for them. They have scored 189 points in their 7 games this season averaging 27 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 172 points against them allowing 24.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 360.1 YPG while their defense is allowing 349.9 YPG.
 

 

TCU vs Kansas State Prediction

TCU is coming into this game as a 3 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Both of these teams have been awful in their conference games this season with both of these teams getting their only conference wins against the same team, the low hanging fruit Texas Tech. The difference is KSU had to come back in the 2nd half down 14 points to win by 1 while TCU smashed them on the road by 30 points. TCU has a much better offense than KSU does and they should be able to overpower them in this game. The best bet to place in this game is on TCU to cover the spread here and win the game straight up on the moneyline as they are the stronger team.
 
TCU Kansas State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 30, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is TCU 38 KSU 31.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this TCU Horned Frogs Kansas State Wildcats prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
TCU Horned Frogs: 121-118 O/U in all games. 20-18 O/U when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 43-32 O/U as an underdog. 24-18 O/U as a road underdog. 54-51 O/U in road games. 36-28 O/U in games played on turf.
Kansas State Wildcats: 31-18 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 187-149 ATS in all games. 33-19 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 105-94 ATS as a favorite. 70-54 ATS as a home favorite. 102-73 ATS in home games. 140-100 ATS against conference opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
TCU Horned Frogs:  J. Spielman (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. B. Clark (S) out for season - Undisclosed injury. M. Barkley (WR) Out indefinitely - Foot injury.
Kansas State Wildcats:  W. Howard (QB) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. B. Massie (DE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed injury. K. Duke (DE) out for season - Leg injury. J. Rubley (QB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
TCU Horned Frogs: Quentin Johnston is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in receiving yards this season. He is coming off of a good game where he led his team in receiving yards with over 100 but he did not find the end zone in that game. He is their best WR out there so look for him to get a lot of ball thrown his way and make some big catches down field in this game.
 
Kansas State Wildcats: Deuce Vaughn is one player to watch here. He leads his team in rushing yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He is coming off of a very good game where he was their entire offense leading the team in both rushing yards and in receiving yards in that game and he scored a touchdown on the ground and through the air. Look for him to be a massive presence in this offense once again here.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"You've got to play good defense. You can't turn the ball over. You've to manage the game, and defensively you've got to get those stops." - Gary Patterson on his team’s performance in their loss to WVU in their last game.
 
 
"We didn't change that many calls; we just played them better." - Chris Klieman on their win over TT in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
TCU Horned Frogs
WR Brown, Quincy 
WR Johnston, Quentin 
WR Davis, Derius 
WR Conwright, Blair 
TE DiNunzio, Dominic 
QB Duggan, Max 
RB Evans, Zach 
 
Kansas State Wildcats
WR Knowles, Malik 
WR Brooks, Phillip 
WR Weber, Landry 
TE Lenners, Nick 
QB Thompson, Skylar 
RB Vaughn, Deuce 
FB Dineen, Jax 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
TCU Horned Frogs
Passing: M. Duggan (1593)
Rushing: Z. Evans (648)
Receiving: Q. Johnston (468)
Touchdowns: K. Miller (6)
Sacks: D. Horton (2)
Tackles: T. Carter (32)
 
Kansas State Wildcats
Passing: S. Thompson (1062)
Rushing: D. Vaughn (583)
Receiving: P. Brooks (316)
Touchdowns: D. Vaughn (7)
Sacks: F. Anudike (6)
Tackles: D. Green (29)
 
Coaches:
TCU Horned Frogs: Gary Patterson (22nd season)
Kansas State Wildcats: Chris Klieman (3rd season)
 

Weather Forecast

64 degrees F sunny, 65% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 5 mph wind speeds W.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

© 2021 Al McMordie's BigAl.com. All Rights Reserved.