TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/09/2023

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Mar 08, 2023
Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Thursday, March 9, 2023
Venue:  T-Mobile Center, Kansas City, MO
Where to Watch:  ESPN Networks


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TCU -2.5, KSU +2.5; Over/Under:  147 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  TCU -2.5, KSU +2.5; Over/Under:  147 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TCU -2.5, KSU +2.5; Over/Under:  147 points

Season Record

TCU Horned Frogs:  20-11 (9-9) (6th place, Big 12)
Kansas State Wildcats:  23-8 (11-7) (3rd place, Big 12)

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Recent Form
TCU Horned Frogs:  3-2  last 5
Kansas State Wildcats:  4-1  last 5


TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Preview and Analysis


TCU is coming into this game with a 20-11 record overall and they are 4-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 9-9 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Oklahoma Sooners in their last game. Mike Miles led the team in points in that game with 17 while Damion Baugh was next on the team with 13 points. Damion Baugh led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Damion Baugh led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 37.7% from the field, 36.8% from 3-point range, and 63.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68 PPG against them. TCU has an ATS record of 15-15-1 this season and their O/U record is 16-15.


Kansas State is coming into this game with a 23-8 record overall and they are 3-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 11-7 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game off of a loss against the West Virginia Mountaineers in their last game. Keyontae Johnson and Markquis Nowell each led the team in points in that game with 24 while Cam Carter was next on the team with 13 points. Markquis Nowell led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Keyontae Johnson and Tykei Greene each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 44.8% from the field, 42.9% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 75.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.7 PPG against them. Kansas State has an ATS record of 21-10 this season and their O/U record is 16-15.



TCU vs Kansas State Prediction

The current betting odds have Kansas State listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kansas State enters this game as the higher seed in the Big 12 Tournament and for good reason as they were a very good team all year. They finished the regular season with a 23-8 record overall and they were one of the best teams in the Big 12 all season with their 11-7 conference record. TCU also had a good season with their 20-11 record overall but they struggled a lot more in the Big 12 with a 9-9 conference record. TCU has been dealing with injuries to some of their key players all season though and there is a chance they are still going to be missing one in this game. Both teams were also great on neutral sites with TCU going 4-0 and Kansas State going 3-0, but Kansas State also had the best ATS record in the Big 12 all season and it is hard to bet against them here when they are getting points even though they could easily win this game outright. The best way to place a bet here is on Kansas State to cover the spread in this game. 

TCU Kansas State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, March 9, 2023 (9:30 pm ET start time) is KSU 76 TCU 72.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this TCU Horned Frogs Kansas State Wildcats prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


TCU Horned Frogs: 16-5 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 30-17 ATS after playing a home game. 14-4 OVER when the line is +3 to -3. 
Kansas State Wildcats: 22-13 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 15-8 ATS in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 82-51 UNDER off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival.

Key Injuries


TCU Horned Frogs:  E. Lampkin Jr. (C) Ques Thurs - Undisclosed.
Kansas State Wildcats:  J. Colbert (C) out for season - Redshirt. A. Thomas (G) out for season - Redshirt. T. Manning (F) out for season - Redshirt.

Notable Quotes


“We dug a hole, did some things better as the game went on, but obviously the hole was too substantial.” - Jamie Dixon after his team’s loss against Oklahoma in their final game of the regular season.


“I thought in the first half, we turned the ball over and there’s just no defense for turnovers. When we played in the halfcourt, and we limited them to just halfcourt possessions in the first half, we did a really good job guarding them. Now in the second half, we turned our feet and gave up too many straight-line drives. They’re different when they do things without the big fella in there and makes them more versatile. But I thought it was more our mistakes on defense than anything else.” - Jerome Tang after his team’s loss against WVU in their final game of the season.


Starting Lineups


TCU Horned Frogs
D. Baugh 
E. Lampkin 
M. Miles 
E. Miller 
C. O'Bannon

Kansas State Wildcats
C. Carter 
K. Johnson 
D. N'Guessan 
M. Nowell 
N. Tomlin

Statistical Leaders


TCU Horned Frogs
PPG: M. Miles Jr. (17.2)
APG: D. Baugh (6)
Reb/G: E. Miller (6.5)

Kansas State Wildcats
PPG: K. Johnson (17.8)
APG: M. Nowell (7.7)
Reb/G: K. Johnson (7)

Coaches:
TCU Horned Frogs: Jamie Dixon (7th season)
Kansas State Wildcats: Jerome Tang (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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