TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/07/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Feb 06, 2023
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 7, 2023
Venue:  Bramlage Coliseum, Manhattan, KS
Where to Watch:  ESPNU


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TCU +3, KSU -3; Over/Under:  146.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  TCU +3, KSU -3; Over/Under:  146.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TCU +3, KSU -3; Over/Under:  146.5 points

Season Record

TCU Horned Frogs:  17-6 (6-4) (6th place, Big 12)
Kansas State Wildcats:  18-5 (6-4) (3rd place, Big 12)

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Recent Form
TCU Horned Frogs:  3-2  last 5
Kansas State Wildcats:  2-3  last 5


TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Preview and Analysis


TCU is coming into this game with a 17-6 record overall and they are 2-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 6-4 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Oklahoma State Cowboys in their last game. Emanuel Miller led the team in points in that game with 17 while JaKobe Coles was next on the team with 15 points. Damion Baugh led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Damion Baugh led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 41.9% from the field, 27.3% from 3-point range, and 88.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66 PPG against them. TCU has an ATS record of 13-9-1 this season and their O/U record is 14-9.


Kansas State is coming into this game with an 18-5 record overall and they are 12-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 6-4 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Kansas Jayhawks and the Texas Longhorns in their last game. Keyontae Johnson led the team in points in that game with 16 while Desi Sills was next on the team with 11 points. Markquis Nowell and Desi Sills each led the team in assists in that game with 3 while Markquis Nowell and Abayomi Iyiola each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 44% from the field, 31.6% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.3 PPG against them. Kansas State has an ATS record of 16-7 this season and their O/U record is 13-10.



TCU vs Kansas State Prediction

The current betting odds have Kansas State listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Kansas State has been going through a bit of a rough patch lately but overall they have been having a great year with their 18-5 record and 6-4 conference record that is also one of the better ones in the Big 12 this season. They have been a really good home team this year only losing 1 game there as they are 12-1 in home games and they have lost 2 games in a row now, both against ranked teams, which means they will be looking to bounce back in this game on their home court against another ranked team. TCU is 17-6 overall this year and they are also 6-4 in their conference games. They have been missing some key players in their lineup lately though and they haven't been a very good road team either with their 2-4 road record. They have been struggling even more without their key players and they are going to have a very tough time on the road here against a good team looking to bounce back after 2 losses. The best way to place a bet here is on Kansas State to cover the spread in this game.

TCU Kansas State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 7, 2023 (9:00 pm ET start time) is KSU 72 TCU 66.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this TCU Horned Frogs Kansas State Wildcats prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAB predictions and previews.

NCAAB Betting Trends


TCU Horned Frogs: 8-18 ATS after a game where they made 88% of their free throws or better. 24-15 UNDER after 2 consecutive conference games. 22-14 UNDER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.
Kansas State Wildcats: 15-7 ATS in all games. 10-3 ATS as a favorite. 22-13 UNDER as a favorite.

Key Injuries


TCU Horned Frogs:  E. Lampkin Jr. (C) Ques Tues - Ankle. M. Miles Jr. (G) Out indefinitely - Knee.
Kansas State Wildcats:  J. Colbert (C) out for season - Redshirt. A. Thomas (G) out for season - Redshirt. T. Manning (F) out for season - Redshirt.

Notable Quotes


“We’ve got to guard better. I thought we had worked on it a lot going into this game and we had a plan in place, but we didn’t get it done. Obviously, we were down a couple of guys, but they were down a guy, too. We were in a position to win the game, but we didn’t get it done and that’s on me.” - Jamie Dixon after his team’s loss against Oklahoma State in their last game.


"They just came out and were way more physical than we were, and more aggressive than we were. I don't know what the mindset was, but we talked about coming out and owning the paint again, because in the first half it was, I think, 14-8, and in the second half it was flipped the other way. I think it was (22-9)." - Jerome Tang after his team’s loss against Texas in their last game.


Starting Lineups


TCU Horned Frogs
D. Baugh 
E. Lampkin 
M. Miles 
E. Miller 
C. O'Bannon

Kansas State Wildcats
C. Carter 
K. Johnson 
D. N'Guessan 
M. Nowell 
N. Tomlin

Statistical Leaders


TCU Horned Frogs
PPG: M. Miles Jr. (18.1)
APG: D. Baugh (5.2)
Reb/G: E. Lampkin Jr. (6.5)

Kansas State Wildcats
PPG: K. Johnson (18.1)
APG: M. Nowell (7.8)
Reb/G: K. Johnson (7.7)

Coaches:
TCU Horned Frogs: Jamie Dixon (7th season)
Kansas State Wildcats: Jerome Tang (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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