by Rod Pearson
Monday, Nov 14, 2022
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 19, 2022
Venue: McLane Stadium, Waco, TX
Where to Watch: Fox
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: TCU -2, Baylor +2; Over/Under: 56.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: TCU -3, Baylor +3; Over/Under: 56.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: TCU -3, Baylor +3; Over/Under: 56.5 points
Season Record
TCU Horned Frogs: 10-0 (7-0) (1st place, Big 12)
Baylor Bears: 6-4 (4-3) (4th place, Big 12)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Kyle Hunter is on a RUN of 17-3 last 20 College Football Plays! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
TCU Horned Frogs: won their last game on the road against the Texas Longhorns 17-10.
Baylor Bears: lost their last game at home against the Kansas State Wildcats 31-3.
TCU Horned Frogs vs Baylor Bears Preview and Analysis
TCU is entering this game with a 10-0 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th road game of the season here as they are 5-0 in their road games this year. This will also be their 8th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 7-0. They won against the Texas Longhorns in their last game on the road 17-10. Max Duggan started that game at QB and he completed 19/29 passes for 124 yards and 1 touchdown. Kendre Miller led the team in rushing with 138 yards and 1 TD on 21 rushing attempts. Quentin Johnston led the team in receiving with 66 yards and 1 TD on 3 receptions. Johnny Hodges led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles. Dylan Horton and Tymon Mitchell each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Trevius Hodges-Tomlinson came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Baylor is entering this game with a 6-4 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th home game of the season as they are 3-2 in their home games this year. This will also be the 8th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 4-3. They lost against the Kansas State Wildcats in their last game at home 31-3. Blake Shapen started that game at QB and he completed 22/38 passes for 203 yards and 2 interceptions. Richard Reese led the team in rushing with 54 yards on 9 carries. Josh Cameron led the team in receiving with 83 yards on 6 receptions. Al Walcott led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles. Matt Jones and Garmon Randolph each led the defense in sacks with 0.5 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
TCU vs Baylor Prediction
The current betting odds have TCU listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. TCU has been having a great year as they are one of the only undefeated teams left in the country and they just pulled off a huge upset on the road in Texas as a 7 point underdog despite being ranked the number 4 team in the country. They are already going to the Big 12 Conference Championship as they have clinched their spot but they have much higher hopes this season as they are currently in a spot to go to the college football playoffs and they will be really focused on winning this game and keeping their record undefeated. Baylor started off the season playing very well but they have been slipping as the season went on and have not looked very good in their games lately, even coming off a huge loss at home to KSU in their last game. TCU is on a mission this year as week after week they have been disrespected but they finally have their college football playoff spot and they will not be letting go of it. The best way to place a bet here is on TCU to cover the spread in this game.
TCU Baylor Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 19, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is TCU 31 Baylor 28.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this TCU Horned Frogs Baylor Bears prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
NCAAF Betting Trends
TCU Horned Frogs: 8-1 ATS in all games. 6-0 ATS as a road favorite. 12-6 ATS after 8 or more consecutive straight up wins. 27-17 OVER off 3 straight wins against conference rivals.
Baylor Bears: 16-25 ATS off a home loss by 14 or more points. 7-3 OVER in all games. 6-1 OVER against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
TCU Horned Frogs: Q. Brown (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Baylor Bears: D. Dabney (TE) out for season - Leg. T. McWilliams (RB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
"Nobody expected this kind of game. We have tremendous confidence in our ability to take over the game late." - Sonny Dykes after his team’s win against Texas in their last game.
"Obviously everybody knows what was on the line tonight, probably too much. You just box it and move on. It's really hard to do, but it's the same thing with life." - Dillon Doyle after their loss against KSU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
TCU Horned Frogs
WR Johnston, Quentin
WR Williams, Savion
WR Spivey, Geor'Quarius
WR Barber, Taye
TE Wiley, Jared
QB Duggan, Max
RB Miller, Kendre
Baylor Bears
WR Presley, Hal
WR Holmes, Gavin
WR Baldwin, Monaray
TE Dabney, Drake
TE Sims, Ben
QB Shapen, Blake
RB McWilliams, Taye
Statistical Leaders
TCU Horned Frogs
Passing: M. Duggan (2531)
Rushing: K. Miller (1147)
Receiving: Q. Johnston (716)
Touchdowns: K. Miller (13)
Baylor Bears
Passing: B. Shapen (2154)
Rushing: R. Reese (852)
Receiving: G. Holmes (474)
Touchdowns: R. Reese (13)
Coaches:
TCU Horned Frogs: Sonny Dykes (1st season)
Baylor Bears: Dave Aranda (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
