TCU Horned Frogs vs Baylor Bears Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/19/2022

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 19, 2022

Venue:  Ferrell Center, Waco, TX

Where to Watch:  ESPN2

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TCU +11.5, Baylor -11.5; Over/Under:  137.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  TCU +11.5, Baylor -11.5; Over/Under:  137.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TCU +11.5, Baylor -11.5; Over/Under:  137.5 points

 

TCU Horned Frogs:  16-7 (6th place, Big 12)

Baylor Bears:  21-5 (2nd place, Big 12)

 

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TCU Horned Frogs:  2-3 last 5

Baylor Bears:  3-2 last 5

 

 

 

TCU is coming into this game with a 16-7 record overall and they are 4-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 12th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 5-6 in their conference games this season. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Their last win was against the Oklahoma State Cowboys while their 3 losses in that span came against the Kansas State Wildcats, the Texas Tech Red Raiders, and the Iowa State Cyclones in their last game. Eddie Lampkin Jr. led the team in points in that game with 16 while Emanuel Miller was next on the team with 14 points. Mike Miles led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Charles O'Bannon Jr. and Lampkin Jr. both led the team in rebounds with 9 each. They were 35.7% from the field, 16.7% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 68.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 63.4 PPG against them. TCU has an ATS record of 12-9-2 this season and their O/U record is 11-11-1.

 

 

Baylor is coming into this game with a 21-5 record overall and they are 12-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 14th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 9-4 in their conference games this season. They have won 2 of their last 3 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 2 game winning streak that they were on. Their 2 wins in that span were against the Kansas State Wildcats and the Texas Longhorns while their loss came against the Texas Tech Red Raiders in their last game. James Akinjo led the team in points in that game with 18 while Adam Flagler was next on the team with 14 points. Akinjo also led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Jeremy Sochan led the team in rebounds off the bench with 10. They were 43.9% from the field, 37.9% from 3-point range, and 57.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 63 PPG against them. Baylor has an ATS record of 14-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 14-11-1.

 

TCU has not been playing well in their recent games as they have lost 3 of their last 4 games and have lost 2 straight coming into this one. They have been good on the road though as they are 4-2 this season and have won 2 of their last 3 games on the road. They have struggled against conference opponents all season though and they are going up against a Baylor side that is 9-4 against conference opponents and is a solid 12-2 at home this season. Baylor has won 2 of their last 3 games but they are coming off of a loss on the road by 10 points to TT and they will be hungry for a bounce back win here at home. Baylor is a lot better than TCU and they are ranked number 7 in the nation. Baylor will get their bounce back win here at home by TCU has not been awful on the road so Baylor will likely only win by single digits.

 

TCU Baylor Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 19, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Baylor 72 TCU 63.

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TCU Horned Frogs: 22-50 ATS after allowing 55 points or less. 8-19 ATS after playing a game as a home favorite. 8-1 OVER after a combined score of 115 points or less.

Baylor Bears: 51-34 ATS in all games. 26-16 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. 20-12 OVER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.

 

 

TCU Horned Frogs:  M. Evans (G) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury.

Baylor Bears:  J. Tchamwa Tchatchoua (F) out for season - Knee injury. L. Cryer (G) Late Feb - Foot injury. L. Love (G) out for season - Knee injury.

 

 

“We have to do a better job of protecting our home court and we have not done that this year. This was a must-win game for us. Now we have to figure out a way to win on the road.” - Jamie Dixon after his team’s loss against ISU.

 

 

"Really played well the first half and then second half turned it over. We didn't rebound, we didn't get stops, we didn't get in transition." - Scott Drew on his team’s loss against Texas Tech.

 

 

 

D. Baugh 

E. Lampkin 

M. Miles 

E. Miller 

C. O'Bannon

 

J. Akinjo 

K. Brown 

A. Flagler 

M. Mayer 

F. Thamba

 

 

PPG: M. Miles (14.8)

APG: M. Miles (4)

Reb/G: E. Miller (6.3)

 

PPG: L. Cryer (13.5)

APG: J. Akinjo (5.7)

Reb/G: J. Tchamwa Tchatchoua (6.8)

 

Coaches:

TCU Horned Frogs: Jamie Dixon (6th season)

Baylor Bears: Scott Drew (19th season)