TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/20/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, Mar 19, 2022
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Sunday, March 20, 2022
Venue:  Viejas Arena, San Diego, CA 
Where to Watch:  TBS

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TCU +9.5, Arizona -9.5; Over/Under:  143 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  TCU +9.5, Arizona -9.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TCU +9.5, Arizona -9.5; Over/Under:  143.5 points
 

Season Record

TCU Horned Frogs:  21-12 (5th place, Big 12)
Arizona Wildcats:  32-3 (1st place, Pac-12)
 
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TCU Horned Frogs vs Arizona Wildcats Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
TCU Horned Frogs:  2-3 last 5
Arizona Wildcats:  5-0 last 5
 
 
 

TCU Horned Frogs Analysis

TCU is coming into this game with a 21-12 record overall and they are 5-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 2 of their last 3 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Kansas Jayhawks while their 2 wins in that span came against the Texas Longhorns and the Seton Hall Pirates in their last game. Mike Miles led the team in points in that game with 21 while Damion Baugh was next on the team with 14 points. Damion Baugh led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Charles O'Bannon Jr. led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 50.9% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 78.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 68.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 64.3 PPG against them. TCU has an ATS record of 19-11-3 this season and their O/U record is 14-18-1.
 
 

Arizona Wildcats Analysis

Arizona is coming into this game with a 32-3 record overall and they are 6-0 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 16 of their last 17 games and are coming into this one on a 7 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Colorado Buffaloes while their last 5 wins came against the California Golden Bears, the Stanford Cardinal, Colorado, the UCLA Bruins, and the Wright State Raiders in their last game. Bennedict Mathurin led the team in points in that game with 18 while Christian Koloko was next on the team with 17 points. Koloko and Justin Kier both led the team in assists in that game with 6 each while Koloko led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 55% from the field, 55% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.6 PPG against them. Arizona has an ATS record of 19-14-2 this season and their O/U record is 20-15.
 

 

TCU vs Arizona Prediction

Arizona is coming into this game as a 9.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Arizona has been playing very well all year and they are one of the best teams in the nation currently with just 3 losses all season. They kicked off their tourney with a bang as they smashed Wright State in round 1 by 17 points. They were leading that game by double digits at halftime and they had complete control for the entire game. They are going up against a TCU team that also had a great start in round 1 with a win over SHU by close to 30 points. TCU played very well in that game jumping out to an early lead and never looking back but they had lost 3 of their last 4 games prior to that win and neither of those teams, TCU and SHU, really belong in the NCAA tourney this year and they will meet their fate in this game. Arizona is a powerhouse and they have the talent on their team to make a very deep run and even win the whole tourney. TCU even faced the number 1 seed Kansas in their Big 12 tourney and they lost that game by double digits when it really mattered. They will get blown out in this game by a much better team. Arizona will cover the spread in this game.
 
TCU Arizona Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, March 20, 2022 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Arizona 93 TCU 69.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
TCU Horned Frogs: 23-50 ATS after allowing 55 points or less. 11-17 ATS after a combined score of 125 points or less. 25-14 OVER after a game where they covered the spread.
Arizona Wildcats: 13-3 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 20-14 OVER in all games. 20-12 OVER as a favorite.
 

Key Injuries

 
TCU Horned Frogs:  M. Evans (G) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury.
Arizona Wildcats:  K. Kriisa (G) Ques Sun - Ankle injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"Man, it's been 35 years -- 35 years. That's crazy. It's crazy. It's been a long time coming. I think this program is slowly shifting the culture of TCU basketball. I think we're showing what TCU basketball is all about. I think one through 12 and the coaches are showing that we're capable of competing with anyone in the country." - Emanuel Miller on their win against Seton Hall in round 1.
 
 
"It feels amazing. You come to Arizona to play in the NCAA Tournament. This is my third year. And this is my first time playing in this tournament. I hope we'll get the win on Sunday, too." - Christian Koloko after their win against Wright State in round 1.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
TCU Horned Frogs
D. Baugh 
E. Lampkin 
M. Miles 
E. Miller 
C. O'Bannon
 
Arizona Wildcats
Christian Koloko 
K. Kriisa 
B. Mathurin 
D. Terry 
A. Tubelis
 

Statistical Leaders

 
TCU Horned Frogs
PPG: M. Miles (15.1)
APG: D. Baugh (4.2)
Reb/G: E. Miller (6.2)
 
Arizona Wildcats
PPG: B. Mathurin (17.3)
APG: K. Kriisa (4.9)
Reb/G: C. Koloko (7)
 
Coaches:
TCU Horned Frogs: Jamie Dixon (6th season)
Arizona Wildcats: Tommy Lloyd (1st season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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