Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/23/2026

Game Time: 3:07 pm ET, Thursday, July 23, 2026

Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -120, Blue Jays +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -120, Blue Jays +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -120, Blue Jays +100; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Tampa Bay Rays:  58-42 (1st place, AL East)

Toronto Blue Jays:  46-55 (5th place, AL East)

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Tampa Bay Rays:  4-6 last 10

Toronto Blue Jays:  4-6 last 10

The Rays are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 4-game series against the Boston Red Sox 4-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 58-42 record overall and have a road record of 23-27. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Blue Jays on Thursday with the 3rd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Rays won the series opener on Monday and the 2nd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 6th in the MLB with a .739 OPS. Griffin Jax is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Ian Seymour is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 6-2 with a 4.79 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HR, and 2 BB with 4 SO on 2 hits through 3 IP against the Boston Red Sox.

The Blue Jays are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-55 record overall and have a home record of 25-29. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Rays on Thursday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Blue Jays lost the 1st game of this series on Monday and the 2nd game on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 30th in the MLB with a .683 OPS. Braydon Fisher is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Shane Bieber is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 1-1 with a 5.70 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 6 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings pitched against the Chicago White Sox.

The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rays have looked great in their games this season with their 58-42 record overall which has them right at the top of the AL East with one of the best records in MLB. They haven't been a great road team though with their 23-27 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays haven't looked good in their games this season with their 46-55 record overall which has them right at the bottom of the AL East. They haven't looked great in their own ballpark either with their 25-29 home record this season. The Rays are 4-6 in their last 10 games and haven't looked great lately, getting swept by the Red Sox out of the All-Star break, but they have looked a lot better in this series and have been one of the best teams in MLB all season. The Blue Jays are also 4-6 in their last 10 games and they were still in the Wild Card race for most of the season, but lately they have looked terrible and have entered a big slump. They are going with Bieber in this one and he hasn't looked great this season either. He is 1-1 with a 5.70 ERA and he has missed quite a bit of time this season due to injury. He looked a lot better in his last start, giving up no runs, and the team has won 2 games in a row now with him starting too, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year. The Blue Jays don't have a great bullpen to help him out either and their offense has looked terrible all season. The Rays are going with Seymour in this one and he hasn't looked great this season either. He is 6-2 with a 4.79 ERA and he hasn't been keeping teams off the board. He gave up 3 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him and the team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting too, but the Rays still have the more reliable bullpen which will be a factor in this game, and they also have the better offense to take advantage of this matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rays to win this game. 

Rays Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 23, 2026 (3:07 pm ET start time) is Rays 9 Blue Jays 4.

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Tampa Bay Rays: 58-42 (+12.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 29-14 (+11.8 units) on the moneyline when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 38% to 46%). 21-12 (+10.3 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 26-19 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 4.4 or less runs/game on the season.

Toronto Blue Jays: 46-55 (-17.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 25-29 (-12.3 units) on the moneyline in home games. 27-36 (-14.6 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse. 24-17 OVER when playing against a team with a winning record.

Tampa Bay Rays:  S. Matz (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Ankle. J. Heasley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Lux (LF) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Scholtens (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Wrist. J. Fraley (RF) Ten Day IL - Groin. R. Pepiot (SP) Sixty Day IL - Hip. E. Uceta (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. S. Wilson (RP) Sixty Day IL - Back. M. Rodriguez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

Toronto Blue Jays:  J. Sanchez (RF) Ten Day IL - Ankle. M. Scherzer (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Back. J. Mantiply (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. L. Sosa (2B) Ten Day IL - Wrist. J. Berrios (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Barger (RF) Ten Day IL - Elbow. C. Ponce (SP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. A. Santander (RF) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. Y. Garcia (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Francis (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“A lot of impressive at-bats, and I think Yandy's at-bat was very impressive.” - Kevin Cash after his team’s win against the Blue Jays in their game on Tuesday.  

“We need to start impacting the baseball way more than we are right now. That’s about it. We’ve got to play tighter on defence. It’s a fine line of these guys playing tight. They’ve just got to go do it. It’s easier said than done. This league is tough. This league will chew you up and spit you out.” - John Schneider after his team’s loss against the Rays in their game on Tuesday.

Yandy Díaz (R) DH

Jonathan Aranda (L) 1B

Junior Caminero (R) 3B

Cedric Mullins (L) CF

Jonny DeLuca (R) RF

Chandler Simpson (L) LF

Ben Williamson (R) 2B

Taylor Walls (S) SS

Nick Fortes (R) C

Nathan Lukes (L) RF

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (R) 1B

Ernie Clement (R) 2B

George Springer (R) DH

Daulton Varsho (L) CF

Kazuma Okamoto (R) 3B

Brandon Valenzuela (S) C

Andrés Giménez (L) SS

Myles Straw (R) LF

Batting Average:  Yandy Díaz (.312)

Hits:  Yandy Díaz (116)

Home Runs:  Junior Caminero (29)

RBI:  Jonathan Aranda (65)

Stolen Bases:  Chandler Simpson (24)

Wins:  Nick Martinez (9)

Saves:  Bryan Baker (25)

ERA:  Michael Grove (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ernie Clement (.300)

Hits:  Ernie Clement (113)

Home Runs:  Kazuma Okamoto (22)

RBI:  Kazuma Okamoto (62)

Stolen Bases:  Andrés Giménez (11)

Wins:  Dylan Cease (6)

Saves:  Louis Varland (20)

ERA:  Simeon Woods Richardson (0.00)

Managers:

Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (12th season)

Toronto Blue Jays: John Schneider (5th season)