Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, Odds and Preview - 09/15/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 3:07 pm ET, Wednesday, September 15, 2021
Venue:  Rogers Centre, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch:  Sportsnet


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +145, Blue Jays -165; Over/Under:  9.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under:  NL runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  NL; Over/Under:  NL runs

Season Record

Tampa Bay Rays:  89-55 (1st place, AL East)
Toronto Blue Jays:  81-63 (2nd place, AL East)
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Tampa Bay Rays:  5-5 last 10
Toronto Blue Jays:  9-1 last 10

Offensive Analysis

The Tampa Bay Rays are ranked 13 in the league for batting average (.241), 3 in the league for RBI (731), 8 in the league for hits (1186), and they are ranked 13 in the league for OBP (.319). The Toronto Blue Jays are ranked 2 in the league for batting average (.268), 1 in the league for RBI (737), 2 in the league for hits (1309), and they are ranked 2 in the league for OBP (.334).

Defensive Analysis

The Tampa Bay Rays are ranked 8 in the league for ERA (3.81), 11 in the league for saves (38), 8 in the league for strikeouts (1333), and they are ranked 5 in the league for WHIP (1.20). The Toronto Blue Jays are ranked 11 in the league for ERA (3.87), 25 in the league for saves (28), 12 in the league for strikeouts (1300), and they are ranked 10 in the league for WHIP (1.23).


Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction

The Tampa Bay Rays are taking on the Toronto Blue Jays in the series finale of a three-game series on Wednesday. The 2nd game of the series is still to be played on Tuesday with that result pending. The Rays are currently on a 2 game losing streak after losing on Monday night in the series opener of this series. The Blue Jays are currently on a 4 game winning streak as they have been crushing the ball recently.

The Rays are coming into this game after losing on Monday night 8-1 to the Jays. Their troubles stretch back a little further as they lost their last series to the Detroit Tigers over the weekend, losing on Friday, winning on Saturday, then losing on Sunday. Drew Rasmussen will be getting the nod for Tuesday's game while Michael Wacha will be the starting pitcher on the mound for this game on Wednesday. Wacha is 3-4 with a 5.37 ERA this season. His team has won 2 of the last 3 games that he has started in recently. In his last start, he allowed 1 ER, that one being a HR, and 0 BB with 6 Ks on 3 hits through 5 IP. He has faced this Jays lineup once this season back in May, he played just 2 innings in that game and did not allow any runs as his team went on to win that game. The Rays had put up 7 runs in each of their games on Saturday and Sunday before only putting up just the 1 on Monday. Their offense has cooled off since coming to Toronto and at a bad time as the Jays are easily the team that has scored the most runs in the last week.

The Blue Jays are coming into this game after winning the series opener on Monday 8-1. They have won 12 of their last 13 games only losing the 1 game in September so far. Jose Berrios will be the starter on Monday while Robbie Ray will be throwing the first pitch for the Jays in this game on Tuesday. Ray is 11-5 with a 2.69 ERA this season. The team has won 3 of his last 4 starts with that 1 loss coming in his last outing. In that game, he allowed 3 ER, 2 of them being homers, and 2 BB with 8 Ks on 8 hits through 4.1 innings of work against the Baltimore Orioles. This will be his 5th time facing this Rays lineup this season and he is 1-1 against them while the team is 1-3 in the games he played in. Two of those games were no-decisions as Ray has not allowed more than 3 runs against them in any of those 4 games. The Jays have scored 8 or more runs in each of their last 4 games for a combined total of 52 runs scored in 4 games but 3 days as their was a double-header on Saturday. 

This Blue Jays offense has been hot in their recent games, easily the hottest in the league right now. They are crushing the ball and continued that trend on Monday as they made the Rays pay. The only bet here is on the Jays to win the game as no one wants to step in front of this hot offense right now.

Rays Blue Jays Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, Sep 15, 2021 (3:07 pm ET start time) is Blue Jays 9 Rays 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

Tampa Bay Rays: 20-12 (+13.4 units) on the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 44-29 (+14.8 units) on the money line in road games.
Toronto Blue Jays: 55-37 (-8.7 units) on the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher. 49-46 (-13.4 units) on the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10.

Key Injuries

Tampa Bay Rays:  B. Lowe (2B) Ques Mon - Lower Body injury. C. Archer (SP) Out indefinitely - Hip injury. W. Franco (SS) Late Sept - Hamstring injury.
Toronto Blue Jays:  A. Kay (RP) Out indefinitely - Illness. C. Biggio (2B) Out indefinitely - Elbow injury. S. Espinal (2B) Out indefinitely - Hip Flexor injury.

Players to Watch

Tampa Bay Rays: Randy Arozarena is one player to watch here. He leads his team in hits and had a great rookie year last season. He was even better in the playoffs and as they lurk just around the corner, he will need to start getting into form. He will need to produce a lot of offense for his team here if they want to keep up with the Jays the way they are hitting right now.
Toronto Blue Jays: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in batting average, hits, RBI, and home runs. He has been a focal point of this offense all year and on Monday night he hit a home run that put him in the lead for most HRs in the MLB. Watch for him to keep putting on a show as the Jays keep rolling here. 

Notable Quotes

"Tonight, in all facets of the game, the Blue Jays just dominated us." - Kevin Kiermaier after the Blue Jays won the series opener.
"I think the third baseman jumped. I thought it was going to hit the wall — there was no way it was going out. When it went out I went, ‘Oh my God.' Not many people can do that." - Charlie Montoyo on Guerrero’s low flying home run which gave him the lead for homers in the MLB.

Starting Lineups

Tampa Bay Rays
B. Phillips (RF)
A. Meadows (LF)
N. Cruz (DH)
J. Choi (1B)
Y. Diaz (3B)
J. Wendle (2B)
T. Walls (SS)
K. Kiermaier (CF)
F. Mejia (C)
Toronto Blue Jays
G. Springer (DH)
M. Semien (2B)
V. Guerrero Jr. (1B)
B. Bichette (SS)
T. Hernandez (RF)
A. Kirk (C)
L. Gurriel Jr. (LF)
R. Grichuk (CF)
B. Valera (3B)

Statistical Leaders

Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  W. Franco (.285)
Hits:  Randy Arozarena (129)
Home Runs:  Brandon Lowe (33)
RBI:  Austin Meadows (99)
Stolen Bases:  Brett Phillips (14)
Wins:  S. McClanahan (9)
Saves:  Andrew Kittredge (6)
ERA:  C. McHugh (1.40)
Toronto Blue Jays
Batting Average:  V. Guerrero Jr. (.318)
Hits:  V. Guerrero Jr. (171)
Home Runs:  V. Guerrero Jr. (45)
RBI:  V. Guerrero Jr. (103)
Stolen Bases:  B. Bichette (22)
Wins:  H. Ryu (13)
Saves:  J. Romano (17)
ERA:  D. Phelps (0.87)
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (7th season)
Toronto Blue Jays: Charlie Montoyo (3rd season)

Weather Forecast

69 degrees F cloudy, 72% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 6 mph wind speeds N.

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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