Tampa Bay Rays vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/01/2023

Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Saturday, July 1, 2023

Venue:  T-Mobile Park, Seattle, WA 

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -120, Mariners +100; Over/Under:  6.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -120, Mariners +100; Over/Under:  6.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -120, Mariners +100; Over/Under:  6.5 runs

Tampa Bay Rays:  56-28 (1st place, AL East)

Seattle Mariners:  38-41 (4th place, AL West)

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Tampa Bay Rays:  5-5 last 10

Seattle Mariners:  4-6 last 10

The Rays are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 56-28 record overall and have a road record of 22-18. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .796 OPS. Shane McClanahan is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tyler Glasnow is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-1 with a 4.45 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 12 Ks on 4 hits through 5 IP against the Kansas City Royals.

The Mariners are entering this series on a 2 game losing streak and lost their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 38-41 record overall and have a home record of 22-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Rays on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 24th in the MLB with a .693 OPS. Rookie pitcher Bryce Miller is their starting pitcher on Friday while George Kirby is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 6-7 with a 3.26 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits through 6.1 innings played against the Baltimore Orioles.

The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rays have been rolling all season with the best record in the entire MLB and they have also had one of the best offenses in the league all year. They haven't been as good in their road games this season but they still have a winning road record and just won 2 road games in a row against a really good D-Backs team. The Rays also have good pitching though which has made them such a tough team to beat on any night and it won't be any easier here for the Mariners with Glasnow on the mound. Glasnow has been great in his starts lately, he had a rough start when he came back from his injury but he has been nothing but great since then, not giving up many runs in any of his starts lately. The team has also been finding success with him on the mound and the Mariners haven't really been a team with a good offense this season. They will struggle to put up runs in this game and the Rays won't struggle as much since they have been putting up runs all year. The Mariners also have Kirby starting here and even though he hasn't been giving up a ton of runs in his starts, he still has 7 losses this season which is more than he has wins and a big part of that has been due to a lack of offense. The Mariners don't have the offense to compete with the Rays in this series and the Rays can match the Mariners with pitching no matter who they throw out on the mound. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rays to win this game.

Rays Mariners Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, July 1, 2023 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Rays 3 Mariners 1.

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Tampa Bay Rays: 56-28 (+17.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 44-24 (+9.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 35-23 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5. 10-4 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher.

Seattle Mariners: 38-41 (-13.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 30-33 (-13.7 units) on the moneyline when the total is 7 to 8.5. GEORGE KIRBY is 10-4 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175. 

Tampa Bay Rays:  T. Walls (SS) Ques Fri - Back. S. McClanahan (SP) Prob Fri - Back. B. Lowe (2B) Mid July - Back. J. Fleming (SP) Late July - Elbow. A. Kittredge (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. D. Rasmussen (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. G. Cleavinger (RP) out for season - Knee. J. Springs (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Baz (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Seattle Mariners:  M. Gonzales (SP) Mid July - Forearm. P. Murfee (SP) out for season - Elbow. R. Ray (SP) out for season - Forearm. E. McGee (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. White (1B) Mid Aug - Thigh.

“It felt like that momentum from last night carried over into today's early ballgame.” - Kevin Cash after his team’s win against the D-Backs in their game on Thursday.

“We do have a momentum-driven team and it's not going our way right now. And it's spiraling a little bit. We've got to turn it off. Turn off the faucet a little bit because it's running against us.” - Scott Servais after his team’s loss against the Nationals in their game on Wednesday.

Yandy Diaz (R) 1B

Wander Franco (S) SS

Luke Raley (L) LF

Harold Ramirez (R) DH

Isaac Paredes (R) 3B

Josh Lowe (L) RF

Francisco Mejia (S) C

Manuel Margot (R) CF

Vidal Brujan (S) 2B

J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Julio Rodriguez (R) CF

Ty France (R) 1B

Teoscar Hernandez (R) RF

Eugenio Suarez (R) 3B

Tom Murphy (R) C

AJ Pollock (R) DH

Dylan Moore (R) LF

Jose Caballero (R) 2B

Batting Average:  Yandy Diaz (.318)

Hits:  Wander Franco (87)

Home Runs:  Jose Siri (15)

RBI:  Randy Arozarena (54)

Stolen Bases:  Wander Franco (25)

Wins:  Shane McClanahan (11)

Saves:  Jason Adam (11)

ERA:  Chase Anderson (0.00)

Batting Average:  Ty France (.273)

Hits:  Ty France (84)

Home Runs:  Teoscar Hernandez (15)

RBI:  Eugenio Suarez (47)

Stolen Bases:  Julio Rodriguez (18)

Wins:  George Kirby (6)

Saves:  Paul Sewald (14)

ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Managers:

Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (9th season)

Seattle Mariners: Scott Servais (8th season)