by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Jun 15, 2023
Game Time: 9:40 pm ET, Friday, June 16, 2023
Venue: Petco Park, San Diego, CA
Where to Watch: SDPA
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Rays -115, Padres -105; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Rays -115, Padres -105; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Rays -115, Padres -105; Over/Under: 7.5 runs
Season Record
Tampa Bay Rays: 49-22 (1st place, AL East)
San Diego Padres: 33-34 (4th place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Tampa Bay Rays: 7-3 last 10
San Diego Padres: 7-3 last 10
Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres Preview and Analysis
The Rays are entering this game off of a win in their last game and won their 3-game series against the Texas Rangers 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 49-22 record overall and have a road record of 18-15. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Padres on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Oakland Athletics still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .808 OPS. Taj Bradley is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Shane McClanahan is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 10-1 with a 2.18 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 4 hits through 7 IP against the Texas Rangers.
The Padres are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Colorado Rockies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 33-34 record overall and have a home record of 17-18. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Rays on Friday with the 3rd game of their series against the Cleveland Guardians still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 20th in the MLB with a .715 OPS. Ryan Weathers is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Yu Darvish is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 5-4 with a 4.30 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 6 strikeouts on 5 hits through 5.1 innings played against the Colorado Rockies.
Rays vs Padres Prediction
The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rays are entering this series with the best record in the entire MLB and they also have the best offense too. They have been on a roll lately but the Padres have also been on a roll lately winning more games now. The Padres have been better lately but their offense still hasn't been great and even though the Rays have struggled more in their road games this season, the Padres actually have a losing record in their home games themselves. The Padres are also going with Yu Darvish on the mound and he hasn't been the same starter he was last season as he has been giving up a lot more runs in his starts this season. The Rays have the offense in the MLB and they are going to put up runs here while the Padres have struggled more on offense all season and now have to face the Rays ace McClanahan here. McClanhan not only leads the Rays starters in wins but he also has the most 0 or 1 run performances this season too. He has been a consistent starter all season and will lead the Rays to another win here as they continue rolling. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rays to win this game.
Rays Padres Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 16, 2023 (9:40 pm ET start time) is Rays 4 Padres 1.
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MLB Betting Trends
Tampa Bay Rays: 49-22 (+20 units) on the moneyline in all games. 38-19 (+12.5 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. SHANE MCCLANAHAN is 12-4 UNDER when the money line is +125 to -125. 23-15 UNDER in night games.
San Diego Padres: 33-34 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 15-18 (-12.3 units) on the moneyline in home games. 43-22 UNDER in all games. 12-1 UNDER in an inter-league game.
Key Injuries
Tampa Bay Rays: P. Fairbanks (RP) Late June - Hip. J. Fleming (SP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. A. Kittredge (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. B. Lowe (2B) Late June - Back. C. Faucher (RP) Out indefinitely - Elbow. D. Rasmussen (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. G. Cleavinger (RP) out for season - Knee. J. Springs (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Baz (SP) out for season - Elbow.
San Diego Padres: N. Crismatt (RP) Late June - Hip. S. Lugo (RP) Late June - Calf. R. Suarez (SP) Late June - Arm. L. Campusano (C) Late July - Thumb. D. Pomeranz (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. E. Rosario (3B) Mid July - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“It was really encouraging. We started out of the gates swinging the bat well.” - Kevin Cash after his team’s win against the A’s in their game on Wednesday.
“With the talent that these guys have, you get it in the air and it is going to go. He (Wacha) is spoiling us, really.” - Bob Melvin after his team’s win against the Guardians in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
Tampa Bay Rays
Josh Lowe (L) RF
Wander Franco (S) SS
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Harold Ramirez (R) DH
Luke Raley (L) 1B
Isaac Paredes (R) 3B
Taylor Walls (S) 2B
Manuel Margot (R) CF
Francisco Mejia (S) C
San Diego Padres
Fernando Tatis Jr. (R) RF
Juan Soto (L) LF
Manny Machado (R) 3B
Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
Jake Cronenworth (L) 1B
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Matt Carpenter (L) DH
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Trent Grisham (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average: Harold Ramirez (.314)
Hits: Wander Franco (77)
Home Runs: Yandy Diaz (12)
RBI: Isaac Paredes (45)
Stolen Bases: Wander Franco (22)
Wins: Shane McClanahan (10)
Saves: Jason Adam (11)
ERA: Chase Anderson (0.00)
San Diego Padres
Batting Average: Alfonso Rivas (.286)
Hits: Xander Bogaerts (61)
Home Runs: Fernando Tatis (14)
RBI: Fernando Tatis (34)
Stolen Bases: Ha-Seong Kim (11)
Wins: Michael Wacha (7)
Saves: Josh Hader (16)
ERA: Ray Kerr (0.00)
Managers:
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (9th season)
San Diego Padres: Bob Melvin (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
