Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/01/2023

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Jul 31, 2023
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, August 1, 2023
Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY
Where to Watch:  TBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -112, Yankees -108; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -110, Yankees -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -112, Yankees -108; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Tampa Bay Rays:  64-44 (2nd place, AL East)
New York Yankees:  55-50 (5th place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Tampa Bay Rays:  4-6 last 10
New York Yankees:  5-5 last 10



Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Preview and Analysis


The Rays are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 64-44 record overall and have a road record of 27-25. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .773 OPS. Tyler Glasnow is their starting pitcher on Monday while Zach Eflin is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 11-6 with a 3.64 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 3 Ks on 7 hits through 4 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Yankees are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Baltimore Orioles 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 55-50 record overall and have a home record of 32-24. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Rays on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .707 OPS. Domingo Germán is their starting pitcher on Monday while Carlos Rodón is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-3 with a 5.75 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 4 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5.2 innings played against the New York Mets.


Rays vs Yankees Prediction

The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rays have slipped down to 2nd place in the AL East but they have been getting hot again in their games lately. Their pitching has been good and their offense has been getting better in their last few games, they will be able to take advantage of the scoring opportunities they get in this game since the Yankees pitching staff hasn't been great lately and just got lit up by the Orioles in their last series. The Yankees also have Rodon starting here and even though he is coming off a good start in his last one, he hasn't been good in his 4 starts this year as he has given up quite a few runs and will get himself into trouble here now that the Rays offense is getting hot again. The Rays are going with Eflin in this game and he has been a really reliable starter for them this season since he hasn't been giving up many runs in his starts and even when he does give up some runs, he usually doesn't give up a ton. The Yankees have been struggling on offense all season and haven't been putting up a ton of runs in their games lately either. The Rays have a much better offense than the Yankees now that they are getting hot again and they also have the better pitching matchup here with a better pitching staff in general. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rays to win this game.

Rays Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, August 1, 2023 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Rays 5 Yankees 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


Tampa Bay Rays: 56-28 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 14-5 (+8.3 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. ZACH EFLIN is 11-6 UNDER on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 and 9-3 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

New York Yankees: 16-27 (-12 units) on the moneyline when the money line is +125 to -125. 23-28 (-10 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. CARLOS RODON is 21-12 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 and 16-10 UNDER as a home underdog of +100 or higher.

Key Injuries


Tampa Bay Rays:  Z. Eflin (SP) Ques Tues - Knee. T. Walls (SS) Out indefinitely - Oblique. J. Fleming (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. F. Mejia (C) Early Sept - Knee. D. Rasmussen (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. Kittredge (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. G. Cleavinger (RP) out for season - Knee. J. Springs (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Baz (SP) out for season - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  J. Trevino (C) out for season - Wrist. F. Montas (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. L. Gil (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. J. Donaldson (3B) out for season - Calf. N. Cortes Jr. (RP) Mid Aug - Shoulder. J. Loaisiga (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. J. Cordero (RP) out for season - Suspension. R. Weber (RP) Mid Aug - Forearm. L. Trivino (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Effross (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“We had some big at-bats with some guys on base. Probably none bigger than Josh’s. Coming up there, it could have been somewhat frustrating had we not capitalized in that moment, but Josh got a pitch he could drive and cleared the bases.” - Kevin Cash after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Sunday. 


“I kind of look at it as, hopefully he's in a position to start nine or 10 of them. Forget the toe. He hasn't come close to playing games for almost two months. As much as I want him in there, we've got to be smart here a little bit, especially in this run.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Orioles in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Tampa Bay Rays
Yandy Diaz (R) 1B
Wander Franco (S) SS
Brandon Lowe (L) 2B
Isaac Paredes (R) 3B
Luke Raley (L) LF
Harold Ramirez (R) DH
Josh Lowe (L) RF
Jose Siri (R) CF
Rene Pinto (R) C

New York Yankees
Jake Bauers (L) RF
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH
Anthony Rizzo (L) 1B
Isiah Kiner-Falefa (R) 3B
Harrison Bader (R) CF
Greg Allen (S) LF
Anthony Volpe (R) SS
Kyle Higashioka (R) C

Statistical Leaders


Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  Yandy Diaz (.315)
Hits:  Yandy Diaz (106)
Home Runs:  Jose Siri (20)
RBI:  Randy Arozarena (62)
Stolen Bases:  Wander Franco (29)
Wins:  Shane McClanahan (11)
Saves:  Pete Fairbanks (13)
ERA:  Chase Anderson (0.00)

New York Yankees
Batting Average:  Aaron Judge (.298)
Hits:  Gleyber Torres (101)
Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (20)
RBI:  Gleyber Torres (44)
Stolen Bases:  Anthony Volpe (19)
Wins:  Gerrit Cole (9)
Saves:  Clay Holmes (14)
ERA:  Randy Vasquez (1.17)

Managers:
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (9th season)
New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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