Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/14/2025

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 14, 2025

Venue:  Citi Field, Flushing, NY 

Where to Watch:  SNY

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +112, Mets -137; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +110, Mets -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +115, Mets -140; Over/Under:  7 runs

Tampa Bay Rays:  36-32 (3rd place, AL East)

New York Mets:  45-24 (1st place, NL East)

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Tampa Bay Rays:  6-4 last 10

New York Mets:  8-2 last 10

The Rays are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 36-32 record overall and have a road record of 13-12. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .700 OPS. Taj Bradley is their starting pitcher on Friday while Drew Rasmussen is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-4 with a 2.22 ERA this season. His team won their last 5 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 3 SO on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Mets are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 45-24 record overall and have a home record of 27-7. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Rays on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .759 OPS. Clay Holmes is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tylor Megill is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-4 with a 3.76 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 walks with 5 strikeouts on 3 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Colorado Rockies.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets have looked great in their games this season with their 45-24 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with one of the best records in the entire MLB. They have also looked great in their ballpark with their 27-7 home record this year. Meanwhile, the Rays have looked good in their games this season with their 36-32 record overall which has them in the middle of the AL East. They haven't been a great road team though with their 13-12 road record. The Rays have looked good lately and they have a solid starter on the mound here, but the Mets have also been red hot as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games and have been a tough team to beat. They are going to have a solid starter on the mound too. Holmes is going for the Mets and he is 5-4 with a 3.76 ERA this season. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him this year. The team has also been finding success with him lately, winning 3 of the last 4 games he started in. The Rays are going with Rasmussen in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 5-4 with a 2.22 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs lately either. He is coming off a start in which he gave up 2 earned runs and the team has won 5 games in a row now with him starting too. As good as he has been this year, the Mets are still the much better team with the better offense and they should be able to edge out the Rays in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.  

Rays Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 14, 2025 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 3 Rays 1.

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Tampa Bay Rays: 214-179 (+7.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 96-90 (+5.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. 55-43 (+10.5 units) on the moneyline vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better. 25-17 OVER against NL East opponents.

New York Mets: 54-59 (-14.3 units) on the moneyline in an inter-league game. 46-52 (-15.4 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse. 34-38 (-11.4 units) on the moneyline vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start. 9-5 OVER at home vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 or better. 

Tampa Bay Rays:  M. Rodriguez (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. J. DeLuca (CF) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. H. Kim (SS) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. H. Bigge (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Lat. S. McClanahan (SP) Sixty Day IL - Triceps. R. Palacios (LF) Ten Day IL - Knee. A. Faedo (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. N. Lavender (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

New York Mets:  K. Senga (SP) Day To Day - Hamstring. M. Vientos (3B) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. J. Winker (LF) Ten Day IL - Side. D. Young (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Minter (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. F. Montas Jr. (SP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. B. Raley (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. S. Manaea (SP) Sixty Day IL - Oblique. J. Siri (CF) Ten Day IL - Shin. C. Scott (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. N. Madrigal (3B) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. D. Smith (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“We want him to throw strikes. I know most teams come in with a pretty aggressive approach, because he throws so many strikes. He left a couple balls middle-in that didn't get missed. But [I would] like to think that offensively we can overcome the solo runs. We just didn't tonight.” - Kevin Cash after his team’s loss against the Red Sox in their game on Wednesday.

“It’s hard for me to speculate, but obviously we know he’s going to be down. As soon as he goes down like that, he grabs the hamstring -- we saw it last year, unfortunately. But we’ve got to wait till tomorrow and see what we’re dealing with here.” - Carlos Mendoza on the injury to Kodai Senga after his team’s win against the Nationals in their game on Thursday.

Josh Lowe (L) RF

Brandon Lowe (L) 2B

Yandy Díaz (R) DH

Jonathan Aranda (L) 1B

Junior Caminero (R) 3B

Jake Mangum (S) LF

Matt Thaiss (L) C

Kameron Misner (L) CF

Taylor Walls (S) SS

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Brandon Nimmo (L) LF

Juan Soto (L) RF

Pete Alonso (R) 1B

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Starling Marte (R) DH

Brett Baty (L) 3B

Tyrone Taylor (R) CF

Francisco Alvarez (R) C

Batting Average:  Richie Palacios (.750)

Hits:  Yandy Díaz (65)

Home Runs:  Junior Caminero (15)

RBI:  Junior Caminero (41)

Stolen Bases:  Chandler Simpson (25)

Wins:  Zack Littell (6)

Saves:  Pete Fairbanks (12)

ERA:  Joe Boyle (0.00)

Batting Average:  Pete Alonso (.298)

Hits:  Pete Alonso (77)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (17)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (63)

Stolen Bases:  Francisco Lindor (13)

Wins:  Clay Holmes (7)

Saves:  Edwin Díaz (15)

ERA:  José Castillo (0.00)

Managers:

Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (11th season)

New York Mets: Carlos Mendoza (2nd season)