Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/19/2024

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Jun 18, 2024
Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Wednesday, June 19, 2024
Venue:  Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  BSN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +140, Twins -166; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +140, Twins -165; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +140, Twins -165; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Tampa Bay Rays:  34-38 (5th place, AL East)
Minnesota Twins:  40-32 (3rd place, AL Central)

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Recent Form
Tampa Bay Rays:  3-7 last 10
Minnesota Twins:  7-3 last 10



Tampa Bay Rays vs Minnesota Twins Preview and Analysis


The Rays are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Atlanta Braves 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-38 record overall and have a road record of 15-15. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Twins on Wednesday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .661 OPS. Aaron Civale is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Taj Bradley is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 2-4 with a 4.23 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 11 Ks on 3 hits through 7 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Twins are entering this series off a win and completed the sweep in their 4-game series against the Oakland Athletics 4-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-32 record overall and have a home record of 22-14. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Rays on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 8th in the MLB with a .727 OPS. Pablo López is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Joe Ryan is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 5-5 with a 3.24 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 5 strikeouts on 3 hits through 7 innings played against the Oakland Athletics.


Rays vs Twins Prediction

The current betting odds have the Twins listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Twins have looked good in their games this season with their 40-32 record overall, but that record only has them in 3rd place of the AL Central, trailing behind the Cleveland Guardians and the Kansas City Royals. They have looked a lot better in their home games though, going 22-14 in their home games this season. Meanwhile, the Rays haven't looked good in their games this season with their 34-38 record overall which has them struggling in the AL East. They haven't looked in their road games either with their 15-15 road record. They are going to have Bradley on the mound in this game and he is 2-4 with a 4.23 ERA. He is coming off a good start in which he gave up no runs in, but the team has still lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting. The Rays have also struggled a lot more in their road games this year and just like his team has struggled, Bradley has also struggled more in his road starts. The Twins are going with Ryan in this game and he hasn't looked bad this year. He is 5-5 with a 3.24 ERA and coming off a start which he gave up 2 earned runs in. His team has also lost 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but the Twins have looked a lot better in their home games this season so Ryan will have a better start here, and the Twins also have the better offense to help him out. The best way to place a bet here is on the Twins to win this game. 

Rays Twins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, June 19, 2024 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Twins 4 Rays 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Tampa Bay Rays: 34-38 (-12 units) on the moneyline in all games. 4-8 (-8.7 units) on the moneyline against AL Central opponents. 22-31 (-15.5 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. TAJ BRADLEY is 6-1 UNDER in all games, 4-1 UNDER as an underdog of +100 or higher, and 4-0 UNDER in night games.

Minnesota Twins: 29-16 (+5.9 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 22-14 (+3 units) on the moneyline in home games. JOE RYAN is 35-20 (+5.6 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 13-7 UNDER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. JOE RYAN is 5-1 UNDER when the total is 8 to 8.5.

Key Injuries


Tampa Bay Rays:  J. Caballero (2B) Ques Tues - Calf. T. Walls (SS) Ques Tues - Illness. R. Lovelady (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. J. Waguespack (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Franco (SS) Out indefinitely - Poss. Suspension. J. Springs (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. D. Rasmussen (RP) Mid Aug - Elbow. S. McClanahan (SP) out for season - Elbow.

Minnesota Twins:  Z. Weiss (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Topa (RP) Out indefinitely - Knee. B. Stewart (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Duarte (RP) out for season - Elbow. A. DeSclafani (SP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“Wins are tough to come by. We are feeling it right now. Up 6-2, normally you are feeling pretty good, but the reality is, teams are playing us tough. Pleased with the effort for sure today.” - Kevin Cash after his team’s win against the Braves in their game on Sunday.


“It’s more than I’ve ever seen. It’s not fluky, he’s really very talented, he’s got a very good swing that stays on plane. He can hit fastballs, he can hit breaking balls, he always has a chance to do something. There’s a dangerous nature about him at the plate. When he’s on your side, you can’t help but smile when he’s doing it.” - Rocco Baldelli after his team’s win against the A’s in game 2 of their double-header on Sunday.


Starting Lineups


Tampa Bay Rays
Yandy Díaz (R) DH
Brandon Lowe (L) 2B
Isaac Paredes (R) 1B
Josh Lowe (L) RF
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Richie Palacios (L) 3B
Jose Siri (R) CF
Ben Rortvedt (L) C
Amed Rosario (R) SS

Minnesota Twins
Willi Castro (S) 2B
Trevor Larnach (L) DH
Royce Lewis (R) 3B
Max Kepler (L) RF
Carlos Correa (R) SS
Carlos Santana (S) 1B
Manuel Margot (R) LF
Christian Vázquez (R) C
Austin Martin (R) CF

Statistical Leaders


Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  Amed Rosario (.299)
Hits:  Yandy Díaz (73)
Home Runs:  Isaac Paredes (10)
RBI:  Isaac Paredes (38)
Stolen Bases:  José Caballero (22)
Wins:  Garrett Cleavinger (4)
Saves:  Pete Fairbanks (10)
ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Minnesota Twins
Batting Average:  Royce Lewis (.390)
Hits:  Willi Castro (64)
Home Runs:  Ryan Jeffers (12)
RBI:  Ryan Jeffers (36)
Stolen Bases:  Willi Castro (8)
Wins:  Pablo López (6)
Saves:  Jhoan Duran (11)
ERA:  Josh Staumont (0.00)

Managers:
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (10th season)
Minnesota Twins: Rocco Baldelli (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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