Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/03/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jun 02, 2023
Game Time: 1:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 3, 2023
Venue:  Fenway Park, Boston, MA
Where to Watch:  NESN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -155, Red Sox +135; Over/Under:  10.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -155, Red Sox +135; Over/Under:  10.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -155, Red Sox +135; Over/Under:  10.5 runs

Season Record

Tampa Bay Rays:  40-18 (1st place, AL East)
Boston Red Sox:  29-27 (5th place, AL East)

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Recent Form
Tampa Bay Rays:  6-4 last 10
Boston Red Sox:  3-7 last 10



Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Preview and Analysis


The Rays are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 40-18 record overall and have a road record of 14-12. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Red Sox on Saturday and game 1 of a double-header with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .829 OPS. Tyler Glasnow is their starting pitcher on Friday while Josh Fleming is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 1-0 with a 4.62 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 8 ER, 5 HR, and 2 BB with 3 Ks on 12 hits through 6 IP against the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Red Sox are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 29-27 record overall and have a home record of 16-13. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Rays on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 5th in the MLB with a .769 OPS. Garrett Whitlock is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tanner Houck is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-4 with a 5.30 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers, and 0 BB with 4 strikeouts on 6 hits through 4 innings played against the Arizona Diamondbacks.


Rays vs Red Sox Prediction

The current betting odds have the Rays listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is going to be game 1 of a double-header between these two and the starters for both teams here haven't been good this season. Houck is up for the Red Sox here and he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts lately while Fleming is up for the Rays and he hasn't been as bad this season, but he also gave up 8 runs in his last start. Both of these teams have top 5 offenses in the MLB this year but the Rays still have the best offense in the league and they also have a much better pitching staff. The Red Sox have been terrible all year with their starters and their bullpen which is going to be a big problem when facing the best offense in the league. Fleming may have a bad start here but he has a great bullpen behind him to pick up the slack while the Red Sox really lack a good bullpen and will have no answers if their starter starts getting blown up here. The Rays will also be trying to secure a win in this 1st game of the double-header and they have the better offense along with the better pitching. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rays to win this game, game 1 of the double-header.

Rays Red Sox Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 3, 2023 (1:10 pm ET start time) is Rays 7 Red Sox 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Tampa Bay Rays: 40-18 (+17.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 31-15 (+12 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 34-21 OVER in all games. 14-6 OVER against division opponents.

Boston Red Sox: 78-93 (-17.7 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 135-133 (-8.7 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 20-8 OVER in home games. 12-2 OVER against division opponents.

Key Injuries


Tampa Bay Rays:  W. Franco (SS) Ques Fri - Shoulder. D. Rasmussen (RP) Early Aug - Elbow. P. Fairbanks (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. Z. Littell (RP) Mid June - Shoulder. S. Armstrong (RP) Mid June - Neck. G. Cleavinger (RP) out for season - Knee. J. Springs (RP) out for season - Elbow. S. Baz (SP) out for season - Elbow. A. Kittredge (RP) Late July - Elbow.

Boston Red Sox:  C. Sale (SP) day-to-day - Shoulder. A. Duvall (LF) Prob June 9 - Wrist. C. Kluber (SP) Out indefinitely - Personal. T. Story (2B) Late July - Elbow. Y. Chang (3B) Mid June - Wrist. R. Bleier (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. W. Mills (RP) Mid June - Elbow. C. Arroyo (3B) Mid June - Hamstring. J. Schreiber (RP) Out indefinitely - Back. Z. Kelly (RP) Early Sept - Elbow. A. Mondesi (SS) Out indefinitely - Knee.


Notable Quotes


“I don't want to go 3-2, but in the end, it's two outs and I got a save. That's pretty cool.” - Jalen Beeks after their win against the Cubs in their game on Wednesday.


“I cannot be irresponsible. We know each other. Obviously, it’s not easy with everything he has gone through, but I’ve got to take care of him.” - Alex Cora on Chris Sale after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Tampa Bay Rays
Yandy Diaz (R) 1B
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Harold Ramirez (R) DH
Isaac Paredes (R) 3B
Manuel Margot (R) RF
Brandon Lowe (L) 2B
Christian Bethancourt (R) C
Taylor Walls (S) SS
Jose Siri (R) CF

Boston Red Sox
Alex Verdugo (L) RF
Rafael Devers (L) 3B
Justin Turner (R) DH
Masataka Yoshida (L) LF
Jarren Duran (L) CF
Enrique Hernandez (R) SS
Triston Casas (L) 1B
Connor Wong (R) C
Enmanuel Valdez (L) 2B

Statistical Leaders


Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  Yandy Diaz (.310)
Hits:  Wander Franco (65)
Home Runs:  Yandy Diaz (12)
RBI:  Randy Arozarena (40)
Stolen Bases:  Wander Franco (20)
Wins:  Shane McClanahan (8)
Saves:  Jason Adam (7)
ERA:  Chase Anderson (0.00)

Boston Red Sox
Batting Average:  Adam Duvall (.455)
Hits:  Alex Verdugo (60)
Home Runs:  Rafael Devers (13)
RBI:  Rafael Devers (48)
Stolen Bases:  Jarren Duran (7)
Wins:  Chris Sale (5)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (11)
ERA:  Justin Garza (1.17)

Managers:
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (9th season)
Boston Red Sox: Alex Cora (5th season, 3rd consecutive)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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