Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/10/2026

Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 10, 2026

Venue:  Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA

Where to Watch:  ESPN+

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Lightning -155, Flyers +130; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Bet365:  Moneyline:  Lightning -155, Flyers +130; Over/Under:  6 goals

BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Lightning -150, Flyers +125; Over/Under:  6 goals

Tampa Bay Lightning:  26-13-3 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Philadelphia Flyers:  22-12-8 (3rd place, Metropolitan Division)

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Tampa Bay Lightning:  8-2-0 last 10

Philadelphia Flyers:  5-3-2 last 10

The Lightning are entering this game with 55 points, a 26-13-3 record overall, and they are 14-4-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Colorado Avalanche in their last game, winning that one at home 4-2. Brandon Hagel, Anthony Cirelli, Jake Guentzel, and Zemgus Girgensons each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Darren Raddysh and Nikita Kucherov each led the team in assists with 2 while Darren Raddysh led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Andrei Vasilevskiy was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 33 shots with 31 saves and a .939 save percentage. Their offense has scored 146 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 112 goals against them allowing 2.7 goals per game.

The Flyers are entering this game with 52 points, a 22-12-8 record overall, and they are 12-5-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Toronto Maple Leafs in their last game, losing that one at home 2-1 in overtime. Travis Konecny scored 1 goal for them in that one. Christian Dvorak and Rasmus Ristolainen each led the team in assists with 1 while Christian Dvorak, Owen Tippett, and Sean Couturier each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Dan Vladar was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 23 shots with 21 saves and a .913 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 130 goals this season averaging 3.1 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 120 goals against them allowing 2.9 goals per game.

The current betting odds have the Lightning listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lightning have looked really good in their games this season with their 26-13-3 record overall which has them right near the top of their division in the East. They have been a great road team too with their 14-4-3 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Flyers have looked good in their games this season with their 22-12-8 record overall which has them right near the top of their division in the East. They have looked good on home ice too with their 12-5-5 home record this season. The Flyers haven't looked that great lately though, going 5-3-2 in their last 10 games, and they are off a home loss to the Maple Leafs in their last one too. As good as they have been this season, they are also benefiting from a much weaker Eastern Conference that is really tight in the standings, and they could easily drop with their consistency. The Lightning have been rolling in their games lately though, going 8-2-0 in their last 10 games, and they have a ton of momentum on their side with 8 wins in a row now. They are off a win over the Avalanche in their last one, the Avalanche with the best record in the entire NHL, and the Lightning have also looked a lot better defensively lately. They haven't given up a ton of goals this season, and they also have the better offense. The Flyers are a really up and down team and they aren't going to be the ones to snap this Lightning winning streak. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lightning to win this game. 

Lightning Flyers Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, January 10, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Lightning 5 Flyers 2.

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Tampa Bay Lightning: 67-39 (+13.3 units) on the moneyline after playing a home game. 34-25 (+6.5 units) on the moneyline when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%). 18-13 (+4.7 units) on the moneyline against good defensive teams - opponents average 26.5 shots on goal or less. 22-15 UNDER after a 3 game winning streak.

Philadelphia Flyers: 93-113 (-13.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 20-34 (-9.3 units) on the moneyline as a home underdog of +100 to +200. 18-32 (-13.9 units) on the moneyline revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more. 30-19 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game.

Tampa Bay Lightning:  S. Sabourin (RW) Out - Undisclosed. R. McDonagh (D) Out - Undisclosed. E. Lilleberg (D) Out - Undisclosed. V. Hedman (D) Out - Elbow.

Philadelphia Flyers:  T. Konecny (RW) Day To Day - Upper Body. B. Brink (RW) Day To Day - Upper Body. J. Drysdale (D) Day To Day - Undisclosed. T. Foerster (RW) Out - Arm.

"In the end, I thought we defended pretty well, when adversity hit we responded, the power play scored, the penalty kill was great. All the little areas that could've been a chink in the armor, the boys stood strong. That's a really good team and you see why they have the record they have." - Jon Cooper after his team’s win against the Avalanche in their game on Tuesday.

"Something was bugging him, I guess, from early on. I think he fell or something. I don't know all the details." - Rick Tocchet after his team’s loss against the Maple Leafs in their game on Thursday.

LW Gage Goncalves

C Brayden Point

RW Nikita Kucherov

LD Janis Jérôme Moser

RD Darren Raddysh

G Andrei Vasilevskiy

LW Trevor Zegras

C Christian Dvorak

RW Travis Konecny

LD Cameron York

RD Travis Sanheim

G Dan Vladar

Points: Nikita Kucherov (61)

Goals: Nikita Kucherov (20)

Assists: Nikita Kucherov (41)

GAA: Andrei Vasilevskiy (2.34)

Points: Trevor Zegras (41)

Goals: Trevor Zegras (17)

Assists: Trevor Zegras (24)

GAA: Aleksei Kolosov (1.62)

Coaches:

Tampa Bay Lightning: Jon Cooper (14th season)

Philadelphia Flyers: Rick Tocchet (1st season)