Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/13/2026

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Oct 12, 2026
Game Time: 7:15 pm ET, Tuesday, October 13, 2026
Venue:  Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Lightning -162, Rangers +136; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Lightning -160, Rangers +135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Lightning -160, Rangers +135; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Season Record

Tampa Bay Lightning:  4-1-0 (1st place, Atlantic Division)
New York Rangers:  5-2-0 (2nd place, Metropolitan Division)

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Recent Form
Tampa Bay Lightning:  4-1-0 last 5
New York Rangers:  5-2-0 last 7



Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Rangers Preview and Analysis


The Lightning are entering this game with 8 points, a 4-1-0 record overall, and they are 1-1-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the New York Islanders in their last game, winning that one on the road 5-3. Brandon Hagel led the team in goals scored with 3 as he recorded the hattrick while Jake Guentzel scored 2 goals for them in that one. Maxwell Crozier and Nikita Kucherov each led the team in assists with 2 while Brandon Hagel led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Andrei Vasilevskiy was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 23 shots with 20 saves and a .870 save percentage. Their offense has scored 16 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 12 goals against them allowing 2.4 goals per game.



The Rangers are entering this game with 10 points, a 5-2-0 record overall, and they are 4-0-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Vancouver Canucks in their last game, winning that one at home 6-2. Tye Kartye and Will Cuylle each led the team in goals scored with 2 while Alexis Lafrenière and Gabe Perreault each scored 1 goal for them in that one. J. T. Miller and Mika Zibanejad each led the team in assists with 2 while Mika Zibanejad, Tye Kartye, and Will Cuylle each led the team in shots on net in that game with 3. Dylan Garand was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 21 shots with 19 saves and a .905 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 23 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 13 goals against them allowing 1.9 goals per game.


Lightning vs Rangers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Lightning listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lightning have looked great in their games this season with their 4-1-0 record overall which has them right near the top of their division in the East. They haven't been a great road team though with their 1-1-0 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Rangers have looked good in their games this season with their 5-2-0 record overall which has them right near the top of their division in the East. They have looked great on home ice too with their 4-0-0 home record this season. The Rangers are off to a hot start this season and looking to bounce back after a terrible year, but that hot start could be coming to an end soon. Their defense has been great along with having one of the best goaltenders in the NHL making a big comeback this season, but Shesterkin is now injured and that could spell trouble for this Rangers team. They are coming off a 6-2 win over the Canucks in their first game without him, but the Canucks are also one of the worst teams in the NHL and this isn't a game that the Rangers will be able to score their way out of it. The Lightning have also had a really hot start to the season with a great defense and one of the best goalies in the NHL who has been shutting the door on teams for years. The Lightning are coming off a 5-3 win over the Islanders in their last one and their offense has been rolling lately too. The injury to Shesterkin is going to start taking a toll on the Rangers and the Lightning have a lot of momentum on their side. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lightning to win this game. 

Lightning Rangers Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, October 13, 2026 (7:15 pm ET start time) is Lightning 3 Rangers 1.
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NHL Betting Trends


Tampa Bay Lightning: 64-40 (+8.1 units) on the moneyline off a win in their previous game. 25-13 (+8.2 units) on the moneyline after a 3 game winning streak. 23-15 (+7.2 units) on the moneyline against good defensive teams - opponents average 26.5 shots on goal or less. 19-9 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals/game. 26-12 UNDER against poor offensive teams - averaging 26.5 shots on goal per game or less.

New York Rangers: 78-93 (-31.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 37-49 (-27.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 27-46 (-13 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +200. 19-8 UNDER as a home underdog of +100 to +200. 27-16 UNDER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game.

Key Injuries


Tampa Bay Lightning:  E. Lilleberg (D) Out - Undisclosed. Y. Gourde (C) Out - Hip.

New York Rangers:  I. Shesterkin (G) Out For Season - Lower Body J. Veleno (C) Out - Lower-Body. J. Korpisalo (G) Out - Lower-Body. A. Sykora (LW) Out - Lower-body. A. Thompson (C) Out - Undisclosed.


Notable Quotes


“That was a good road game for us. We came out, got the lead. I didn't love our second, obviously, giving up three kind of the way we did it. We were probably a little unlucky on the power-play goal against. It was a great block, and then the shot breaks the stick, and they make a play. But now you're going into the third period, tied on the road, and I thought we bent but didn't break. And then one of our playmakers made a play. It was good for us.” - Jon Cooper after his team’s win against the Islanders in their game on Saturday.


"I think there's a maturity to this group. These guys, they haven't lost any level of enthusiasm. I think they believe in the team game we're trying to build here and I think they will continue to compete. At the end of the day, that's our challenge and that's the discussion we had. Expectations don't change. It's the next man up mentality. It's going to provide opportunities for others -- take advantage of it." - Mike Sullivan after his team’s win against the Canucks in their game on Sunday. 


Starting Lineups


Tampa Bay Lightning
LW Gage Goncalves
C Brayden Point
RW Nikita Kucherov
LD Janis Jérôme Moser
RD John Carlson
G Andrei Vasilevskiy

New York Rangers
LW Gabe Perreault
C Mika Zibanejad
RW Pavel Dorofeyev
LD Vladislav Gavrikov
RD Adam Fox
G Dylan Garand

Statistical Leaders


Tampa Bay Lightning
Points: Nikita Kucherov (8)
Goals: Brandon Hagel (4)
Assists: Nikita Kucherov (7)
GAA: Dennis Hildeby (2.01)

New York Rangers
Points: Alexis Lafreniere (8)
Goals: Alexis Lafreniere (5)
Assists: Mika Zibanejad (6)
GAA: Dylan Garand (1.20)

Coaches:
Tampa Bay Lightning: Jon Cooper (15th season)
New York Rangers: Mike Sullivan (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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