Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/08/2025

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Feb 07, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 8, 2025
Venue:  Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI 
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Lightning -135, Red Wings +114; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Lightning -135, Red Wings +115; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Lightning -135, Red Wings +115; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Season Record

Tampa Bay Lightning:  29-20-4 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)
Detroit Red Wings:  28-21-5 (5th place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Tampa Bay Lightning:  5-4-1 last 10
Detroit Red Wings:  7-2-1 last 10



Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings Preview and Analysis


The Lightning are entering this game with 62 points, a 29-20-4 record overall, and they are 11-13-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Ottawa Senators in their last game, winning that one at home 5-1. Brayden Point, Erik Černák, Mitchell Chaffee, Jake Guentzel, and Brandon Hagel each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Brayden Point and Nikita Kucherov each led the team in assists with 2 while Brayden Point led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Andrei Vasilevskiy was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 28 shots with 27 saves and a .964 save percentage. Their offense has scored 186 goals this season averaging 3.5 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 147 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.


The Red Wings are entering this game with 61 points, a 28-21-5 record overall, and they are 15-11-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Seattle Kraken in their last game, winning that one on the road 5-4 in a shootout. Jonatan Berggren, Lucas Raymond, Moritz Seider, and Elmer Söderblom each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Andrew Copp, Alex DeBrincat, Simon Edvinsson, Marco Kasper, Dylan Larkin, and Joe Veleno each led the team in assists with 1 while Lucas Raymond led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Cam Talbot was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 27 shots with 23 saves and a .852 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 157 goals this season averaging 2.9 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 165 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.


Lightning vs Red Wings Prediction

The current betting odds have the Red Wings listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Red Wings have looked good in their games this season with their 28-21-5 record overall which has them in 5th place of their division in the East. They are in the last Wild Card spot in the East at the moment and they have looked better on home ice this year with their 15-11-2 home record. Meanwhile, the Lightning have looked good in their games this season with their 29-20-4 record overall which has them in 3rd place of their division in the East. They haven't been a good road team though with their 11-13-2 road record. They are in a playoff spot in their division at the moment, but they have been up and down in the standings over the last few weeks and are by no means safe in their spot. They are tied for points with the Senators who they just beat two games in a row, the Senators being the first Wild Card team in the East, but the Lightning haven't looked that good lately with their 5-4-1 record in their last 10 games. Both of those wins over the Senators were at home too where they have looked a lot better this season. The Red Wings are going to be motivated in this game since they just missed the playoffs last year and are right on the cusp again, but they have also improved a lot and are now getting hot at the right time. They are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games and have a ton of momentum on their side with 7 wins in a row now. They just got back from a road trip which they won every game on, and their last game was on Tuesday so they have had plenty of time to rest for this game. The Red Wings are the much hotter team right now and they can take advantage of the Lightning who have been a different team in road games this season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Red Wings to win this game. 

Lightning Red Wings Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Saturday, February 8, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Red Wings 4 Lightning 3.
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NHL Betting Trends


Tampa Bay Lightning: 122-105 (-16.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 26-28 (-11.8 units) on the moneyline as a road favorite of -200 or less. 51-51 (-11.2 units) on the moneyline revenging a loss versus opponent. 19-10 OVER off a win against a division rival.

Detroit Red Wings: 33-30 (+11.8 units) on the moneyline as a home underdog of +100 to +200. 26-19 (+11.6 units) on the moneyline off a road win. 42-53 (+6.9 units) on the moneyline when playing against a team with a winning record. 16-9 OVER after a 3 game winning streak.

Key Injuries


Tampa Bay Lightning:  A. Cirelli (C) Day To Day - Upper-body. J. Johansson (G) Out - Lower Body. J. Moser (D) Out - Lower-body.

Detroit Red Wings:  J. Compher (LW) Out - Upper Body. J. Petry (D) Out - Undisclosed.


Notable Quotes


"It was a massive two games for us. We had this five-game homestand, we dropped the first one to Chicago, but for us to get seven out of the next eight [points] was pivotal. Especially against a division rival that we're neck-and-neck with. And they were hot coming in." - Jon Cooper after his team’s win against the Senators in their game on Thursday.


"To go home with eight points in the bank, I'm not sure we thought we would get that when we left, but we chipped away and chipped away. The spirit and the belief system have gone up. They're playing to the structure that we put in. It's easy when you're winning, you can get people to believe in things a lot simpler than if you're losing." - Todd McLellan after his team’s win against the Kraken in their game on Tuesday.


Starting Lineups


Tampa Bay Lightning
LW Jake Guentzel
C Brayden Point
RW Nikita Kucherov
LD Victor Hedman
RD Darren Raddysh
G Andrei Vasilevskiy

Detroit Red Wings
LW Marco Kasper
C Dylan Larkin
RW Lucas Raymond
LD Ben Chiarot
RD Moritz Seider
G Alex Lyon

Statistical Leaders


Tampa Bay Lightning
Points: N. Kucherov (79)
Goals: B. Point (29)
Assists: N. Kucherov (54)
GAA: A. Vasilevskiy (2.28)

Detroit Red Wings
Points: L. Raymond (58)
Goals: D. Larkin (23)
Assists: L. Raymond (37)
GAA: A. Lyon (2.58)

Coaches:
Tampa Bay Lightning: Jon Cooper (13th season)
Detroit Red Wings: Todd McLellan (Interim)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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