by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 17, 2023
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bucs +12, 49ers -12; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bucs +12, 49ers -12; Over/Under: 42 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bucs +11.5, 49ers -11.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Season Record
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 4-5 (2nd place, NFC South)
San Francisco 49ers: 6-3 (1st place, NFC West)
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Recent Form
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: won their last game at home against the Tennessee Titans 20-6.
San Francisco 49ers: won their last game on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars 34-3.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers Preview and Analysis
The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 4-5 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-3 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Tennessee Titans 20-6. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 18/29 passes for 278 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Rachaad White led the team in rushing yards with 51. Mike Evans led the receivers with 143 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Antoine Winfield Jr. led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Shaquil Barrett, Devin White, Vita Vea, and YaYa Diaby each led the defense in sacks with 1. Antoine Winfield Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The 49ers are entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Jacksonville Jaguars 34-3. Brock Purdy was the starting QB and he completed 19/26 passes for 296 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Christian McCaffrey led the team in rushing yards with 95. George Kittle led the receivers with 116 receiving yards on 3 receptions and 1 TD. Dre Greenlaw led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Javon Hargrave and Nick Bosa each led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Talanoa Hufanga and Fred Warner each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Buccaneers vs 49ers Prediction
The current betting odds have the 49ers listed as a 12 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The 49ers have looked really good this season with their 6-3 record overall and their 3-1 home record. They were starting to stumble in their games as the injuries were piling up for them, losing 3 games in a row after starting the season 5-0, but they came out of their bye week last week really healthy again and bounced back with a big road win over the Jaguars who were red hot. Now the 49ers are back at home and the Bucs haven't looked great in their games this season. The Buccaneers are coming off a win against the Titans last week but the Bucs are still just 4-5 overall this season. Their offense has been struggling a lot to put up points in their games and the 49ers have one of the best defenses they are going to see all year. This is going to be another road game that the Bucs offense struggles in and the 49ers defense has also been playing a lot better too, giving them a big edge on both sides of the ball in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the 49ers to cover the spread in this game.
Buccaneers 49ers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 19, 2023 (4:05 pm ET start time) is 49ers 35 Buccaneers 14.
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NFL Betting Trends
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 4-9 ATS off a home win. 1-6 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games. 4-8 ATS after a win by 10 or more points. 28-18 UNDER in all games. 14-7 UNDER in road games. 23-10 UNDER against conference opponents.
San Francisco 49ers: 30-18 ATS in all games. 24-15 ATS as a favorite. 16-7 ATS in home games. 12-6 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 6-1 UNDER as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points. 14-8 UNDER after gaining 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game.
Key Injuries
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: J. Hayes (DB) Prob Sun - Concussion. M. Evans (WR) Prob Sun - Quadricep. M. Feiler (G) Prob Sun - Knee. C. Davis III (CB) Prob Sun - Toe. D. White (LB) Ques Sun - Foot. L. Goedeke (OT) Ques Sun - Foot. R. Neal (S) Ques Sun - Hand. B. Mayfield (QB) Prob Sun - Thumb. R. Jensen (C) I-R - Knee. R. Gage (WR) I-R - Knee.
San Francisco 49ers: C. McKivitz (OL) Ques Sun - Ankle. N. Zakelj (OL) I-R - Bicep. R. Beal Jr. (DL) Ques Sun - Hamstring. S. Womack III (CB) Ques Sun - Knee. D. Flannigan-Fowles (LB) Ques Sun - Ankle. A. Banks (OL) Ques Sun - Toe. D. Jackson (DL) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Gray (WR) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Luter Jr. (CB) Out indefinitely - Knee. C. Latu (TE) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“It's a lot of weight off your shoulders. Four in a row is tough, especially with our talent and what we believe we can do. We definitely believe we can be a contender and a playoff team.” - Mike Evans after their win against the Titans in their last game.
“Eighteen games in a row is a big record. If we had a chance to do it, I was going to try to do it for him. It’s a little nerve-racking. Last thing I want to do is get him hurt. ... We got close. Wish we could have done it for him, but I think that was a pretty big accomplishment to do it for 17 games straight." - Kyle Shanahan after his team’s win against the Jags in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WR EVANS, MIKE
WR Godwin, Chris
WR Palmer, Trey
TE Otton, Cade
QB Mayfield, Baker
RB White, Rachaad
San Francisco 49ers
WR Aiyuk, Brandon
WR Samuel, Deebo
WR Jennings, Jauan
TE Kittle, George
QB Purdy, Brock
RB McCaffrey, Christian
FB JUSZCZYK, KYLE
Statistical Leaders
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing: B. Mayfield (2143)
Rushing: R. White (429)
Receiving: M. Evans (737)
Touchdowns: M. Evans (6)
San Francisco 49ers
Passing: B. Purdy (2329)
Rushing: C. McCaffrey (747)
Receiving: B. Aiyuk (675)
Touchdowns: C. McCaffrey (13)
Coaches:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (2nd season)
San Francisco 49ers: Kyle Shanahan (7th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
