Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/16/2022

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 16, 2022

Venue:  Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA

Where to Watch:  Fox

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucs -8, Steelers +8; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucs -8, Steelers +8; Over/Under:  44.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucs -8.5, Steelers +8.5; Over/Under:  45 points

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  3-2 (1st place, NFC South)

Pittsburgh Steelers:  1-4 (4th place, AFC North)

 

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  won their last game at home against the Atlanta Falcons 21-15.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  lost their last game on the road against the Buffalo Bills 38-3.

 

The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they are playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 2-0 in their road games this year. Their offense is averaging 337.6 YPG and 20.6 PPG while their defense is allowing 309 YPG and 16.6 PPG against them. They won their last game at home against the Atlanta Falcons 21-15. Tom Brady was the starting quarterback in that game and he completed 35/52 passes for 351 yards and 1 touchdown. Leonard Fournette led the team in rushing with 56 yards and 1 TD on 14 rushing attempts. Leonard Fournette led the team in receiving with 83 yards and 1 TD on 10 receptions. Antoine Winfield Jr. led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Antoine Winfield Jr., Deadrin Senat, Logan Hall, Vita Vea, and Joe Tryon each led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

The Steelers are entering this game with a 1-4 record overall and they are playing their 3rd home game of the season here as they are 0-2 in their home games this year. Their offense is averaging 295.8 YPG and 15.4 PPG while their defense is allowing 416.8 YPG and 25.6 PPG against them. They lost their last game on the road against the Buffalo Bills 38-3. Kenny Pickett was the starting QB in that game and he completed 34/52 passes for 327 yards and 1 interception. Jaylen Warren led the team in rushing with 24 yards on 5 carries. George Pickens led the team in receiving with 83 yards on 6 catches. James Pierre led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Levi Wallace came away with the only interception for them while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one.

 

The current betting odds have the Bucs listed as an 8 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucs finally got a win at home last week beating the Falcons in a divisional matchup, but they have been playing a lot better on the road this year as they are perfect in road games. The Steelers are having a very rough season as they are still searching for their answer under center but they just got blasted on the road against the Bills in their last game. The Steelers only scored 3 points against the Bills and they are not getting an easier opponent here with how well the Bucs defense has been playing. Their defense will make it very hard on Pickett and the Steelers offense to move the ball here while Tom Brady does enough with his offense to take an early lead here and never look back. The best way to place a bet here is on the Buccaneers to cover the spread in this game.

 

Buccaneers Steelers Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 16, 2022 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Buccaneers 28 Steelers 13.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 13-24 ATS off a close wins by 7 points or less over a division rival. 22-10 UNDER against AFC North division opponents. 11-6 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread.

Pittsburgh Steelers: 14-5 ATS against NFC South division opponents. 26-15 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points. 12-5 UNDER after a loss by 21 or more points.

 

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  S. Murphy-Bunting (CB) Ques Sun - Quadricep. M. Evans (WR) Ques Sun - Undisclosed. G. Bernard (RB) Out indefinitely - Ankle.

Pittsburgh Steelers:  P. Freiermuth (TE) Ques Sun - Concussion. L. Ogunjobi (DT) Ques Sun - Back. M. Fitzpatrick (S) Ques Sun - Knee.

 

 

"I saw that one being called. I saw it against Tua (Tagovailoa). I saw it in the London game this morning. I think they are starting to crack down on some of the things like slinging quarterbacks. Right now, the way they are calling it, I think a lot of people would have gotten that call." - Todd Bowles after his team’s win against the Falcons in their last game.

 

 

"We just got smashed today. There's nothing mystical about it. We know it's capable of happening. Just disappointed that we didn't coach well enough or play well enough to prevent if from happening. We need to absorb the position that we are in, what transpired today. And we've got to know that there's going to be better days." - Mike Tomlin after his team’s loss against the Bills in their last game.

 

 

 

WR Evans, Mike

WR Godwin, Chris 

WR Gage, Russell 

TE BRATE, CAMERON

QB BRADY, TOM

RB Fournette, Leonard 

 

WR Johnson, Diontae

WR Pickens, George

WR Claypool, Chase 

TE Freiermuth, Pat

QB Pickett, Kenny

RB Harris, Najee

FB Watt, Derek 

 

 

Passing: T. Brady (1409)

Rushing: L. Fournette (280)

Receiving: M. Evans (316)

Touchdowns: M. Evans (3)

 

Passing: M. Trubisky (653)

Rushing: N. Harris (222)

Receiving: D. Johnson (267)

Touchdowns: K. Pickett (2)

 

Coaches:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (1st season)

Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (16th season)