by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Oct 08, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 13, 2024
Venue: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Buccaneers -2.5, Saints +2.5; Over/Under: 42 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Buccaneers -2.5, Saints +2.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Buccaneers -2.5, Saints +2.5; Over/Under: 42.5 points
Season Record
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 3-2 (2nd place, NFC South)
New Orleans Saints: 2-3 (3rd place, NFC South)
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Recent Form
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: lost their last game on the road against the Atlanta Falcons 36-30 in overtime.
New Orleans Saints: lost their last game on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs 26-13.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Preview and Analysis
The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 36-30 in OT. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 19/24 passes for 180 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rachaad White led the team in rushing yards with 72. Chris Godwin led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Tykee Smith led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Logan Hall led the defense in sacks with 2. Lavonte David came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Saints are entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Kansas City Chiefs 26-13. Derek Carr was the starting QB and he completed 18/28 passes for 165 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception before leaving injured and getting replaced by Jake Haener who completed 2/7 passes for 17 yards. Alvin Kamara led the team in rushing yards with 26. Rashid Shaheed led the receivers with 86 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Anfernee Orji led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Bryan Bresee and Chase Young each led the defense in sacks with 1. Khalen Saunders came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Buccaneers vs Saints Prediction
The current betting odds have the Buccaneers listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Buccaneers have looked good in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall, but they are coming off a loss in their last one. They lost a tight divisional game with the Falcons in a game which they blew a late lead and lost in OT. They will be looking to bounce back though and they have had some extra time to prepare since they last played on Thursday night. Meanwhile, the Saints haven't looked great in their games this season with their 2-3 record overall. They are coming off a loss in their last one, losing to the Chiefs on the road, and they are at a disadvantage here since they also played that game on Monday night. The Saints didn't look great on offense against the Chiefs, and they also lost Carr near the end of the game. The Bucs have looked a lot better in their games this season and they will be looking to bounce back here with a divisional win after losing their first NFC South game this year. The Saints have been a lot better on defense, but the Bucs have been the more consistent team on offense and they will be able to edge the Saints out with the rest advantage. The best way to place a bet here is on the Buccaneers to cover the spread in this game.
Buccaneers Saints Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 13, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Buccaneers 23 Saints 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 6-11 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 2-7 ATS off a road loss. 4-9 ATS vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24 or more points/game. 16-6 UNDER as a favorite. 13-5 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 9-4 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more.
New Orleans Saints: 6-0 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 5-3 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 24-15 UNDER in all games. 15-8 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 14-5 UNDER after playing their last game on the road. 8-3 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 350 yards/game or more.
Key Injuries
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: T. Palmer (WR) Out - Concussion. J. McMillan (WR) Out - Hamstring. G. Gaines (DL) Injured - Ankle. G. Barton (C) Injured - Ankle. M. Evans (WR) Injured - Knee. V. Vea (NT) Injured - Knee. T. Wirfs (T) Injured - Knee. K. Kieft (TE) Injured - Ankle. A. Winfield (SAF) Out - Foot. L. Goedeke (T) Out - Concussion. L. Hall (DL) Injured - Foot. W. Gholston (DL) Injured - Knee. C. Kancey (DL) Out - Calf. K. Johnson (WR) Injured - Ankle. S. Dennis (LB) Injured - Shoulder.
New Orleans Saints: D. Davis (LB) Injured - Hamstring. P. Werner (LB) Questionable - Hamstring. L. Patrick (OL) Questionable - Groin. T. Fuaga (OT) Injured - Back. A. Kamara (RB) Injured - Hip. T. Hill (TE) Out - Rib. C. Wilson (WR) Injured - Ankle. B. Grupe (K) Injured - Hip. P. Turner (DE) Out - Knee. C. Ruiz (OL) Out - Knee. W. Gay (LB) Out - Hand. S. Lemieux (G) Out - Ankle. J. Johnson (TE) Injured - Forearm. C. Olave (WR) Injured - Hamstring. B. Bresee (DT) Injured - Ankle. K. Miller (RB) Injured - Hamstring. A. Perry (WR) Injured - Hamstring.
Notable Quotes
“All I care about is wins. I've got to find a way to finish that game out on offense.” - Baker Mayfield after their loss against the Falcons in their last game.
“We got outplayed. We really couldn't get a whole lot going on either side of the ball.” - Dennis Allen after his team’s loss against the Chiefs in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WR Evans, Mike
WR Shepard, Sterling
WR Godwin, Chris
TE Otton, Cade
QB Mayfield, Baker
RB White, Rachaad
New Orleans Saints
WR Olave, Chris
WR Tipton, Mason
WR Shaheed, Rashid
TE Moreau, Foster
QB Carr, Derek
RB Kamara, Alvin
FB Prentice, Adam
Statistical Leaders
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing: B. Mayfield (1164)
Rushing: B. Irving (247)
Receiving: C. Godwin (386)
Touchdowns: M. Evans (5)
New Orleans Saints
Passing: D. Carr (989)
Rushing: A. Kamara (388)
Receiving: R. Shaheed (338)
Touchdowns: A. Kamara (6)
Coaches:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (3rd season)
New Orleans Saints: Dennis Allen (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
