Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/01/2023

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 1, 2023

Venue:  Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucs +3, Saints -3; Over/Under:  40 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucs +3, Saints -3; Over/Under:  39.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucs +3, Saints -3; Over/Under:  39.5 points

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  2-1 (3rd place, NFC South)

New Orleans Saints:  2-1 (2nd place, NFC North)

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  lost their last game at home against the Philadelphia Eagles 25-11.

New Orleans Saints:  lost their last game on the road against the Green Bay Packers 18-17.

The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Philadelphia Eagles 25-11. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 15/25 passes for 146 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Rachaad White led the team in rushing yards with 38. Mike Evans led the receivers with 60 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Lavonte David led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Lavonte David led the defense in sacks with 1. Devin White and Dee Delaney each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Saints are entering this game with a 2-1 record overall and they have a 1-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Green Bay Packers 18-17. Derek Carr was the starting QB and he completed 13/18 passes for 103 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions before leaving injured and getting replaced by Jameis Winston who completed 10/16 passes for 101 yards. Kendre Miller led the team in rushing yards with 34. Chris Olave led the receivers with 104 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Pete Werner led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Alontae Taylor led the defense in sacks with 1. Lonnie Johnson Jr came away with the only interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Buccaneers listed as a 3 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Buccaneers are on a shorter week here after playing on Monday night but they didn't look good at all in that game. They lost at home to the Eagles and were never really in the game from the start. They weren't able to run the ball at all but they did have some success with passing and their defense did a good job to hold the Eagles offense down as much as they could. They are on the road in this game now with it being the 1st division game of the season for both teams but the Saints took a big hit on the season in their last game with Carr going down. Carr is going to miss some time now and the Saints had a 17-0 lead against the Packers when he left the game, but the offense wasn't able to stay on the field with Winston running the show and they ended up blowing their 17 point lead to lose. The Saints will be at home for this game where they did win their only home game but their offense wasn't good in that game as they only won by 1 point and that was with Carr. The offense has already been struggling to put up points this season and they are going to struggle more without Carr since the Bucs do have a good defense still. The Bucs offense may have looked bad on Monday night but they will bounce back in this division game and they are more capable of moving the ball to put points up. With both teams having great defenses too, this could be a game that is settled by a couple of points for either team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Buccaneers to cover the spread in this game.

Buccaneers Saints Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 1, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Saints 17 Bucs 16.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1-6 ATS as an underdog. 6-12 ATS in road games. 2-10 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 12-6 UNDER in road games. 20-10 UNDER against conference opponents. 10-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses.

New Orleans Saints: 6-3 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders. 4-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 24-13 UNDER in all games. 17-5 UNDER off 1 or more consecutive unders. 12-3 UNDER in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  J. Dean (CB) day-to-day - Shoulder. S. Dennis (LB) day-to-day - Hamstring. C. Kancey (DL) day-to-day - Calf. C. Davis III (CB) day-to-day - Toe. C. Edmonds (RB) Early Nov - Knee. R. Jensen (C) I-R - Knee. R. Gage (WR) I-R - Knee.

New Orleans Saints:  D. Carr (QB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. C. Ruiz (C) day-to-day - Concussion. P. Adebo (CB) day-to-day - Hamstring. F. Moreau (TE) day-to-day - Ankle. J. Williams (RB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. M. Maye (S) Elig Week 6 - Suspension. A. Kamara (RB) Elig Week 4 - Suspension. P. Turner (DE) Out indefinitely - Toe. T. Smith (WR) Out indefinitely - Groin. J. Haener (QB) Elig Week 7 - Suspension. E. Benjamin (RB) I-R - Achilles. A. Dowell (LB) I-R - Knee. T. Turner (G) I-R - Quadricep.

“We didn’t play a good ballgame. They were a lot to do with that. We can’t mope about it.” - Todd Bowles after his team’s loss against the Eagles in their last game. 

“They’re doing an evaluation. I think it’s X-rays.” - Dennis Allen on the injury to Derek Carr after his team’s loss against the Packers in their last game.

WR EVANS, MIKE 

WR Godwin, Chris 

WR Palmer, Trey

TE Otton, Cade 

QB Mayfield, Baker 

RB White, Rachaad

WR THOMAS, MICHAEL

WR Shaheed, Rashid  

WR Olave, Chris 

TE Johnson, Juwan 

QB Winston, Jameis  

RB Kamara, Alvin 

FB Prentice, Adam

Passing: B. Mayfield (636)

Rushing: R. White (150)

Receiving: M. Evans (297)

Touchdowns: M. Evans (3)

Passing: D. Carr (636)

Rushing: T. Hill (91)

Receiving: C. Olave (302)

Touchdowns: T. Jones Jr. (2)

Coaches:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (2nd season)

New Orleans Saints: Dennis Allen (2nd season)