Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/10/2023

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 10, 2023

Venue:  U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucs +6, Vikings -6; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucs +6, Vikings -6; Over/Under:  45.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucs +6, Vikings -6; Over/Under:  45.5 points

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  0-0 (NFC South)

Minnesota Vikings:  0-0 (NFC North)

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  N/A

Minnesota Vikings:  N/A

The Buccaneers finished last season with an 8-9 record overall and they were 4-2 in their division games too. They had a 5-4 record in their home games and had a 3-5 record in their road games where they will be in this game. Last season, their offense was averaging 18.4 points per game and their defense was allowing an average of 21.1 points per game. Their offense was also averaging 346.7 yards per game and their defense was allowing an average of 324.3 yards per game. Tom Brady led the team in passing yards with 4694, Leonard Fournette led the team in rushing yards with 668, and Mike Evans led the team in receiving yards with 1124.

The Vikings finished last season with a 13-4 record overall and they were 4-2 in their division games too. They had an 8-1 record in their home games and had a 5-3 record in their road games where they will be in this game. Last season, their offense was averaging 24.9 points per game and their defense was allowing an average of 25.1 points per game. Their offense was also averaging 361.5 yards per game and their defense was allowing an average of 388.7 yards per game. Kirk Cousins led the team in passing yards with 4547, Dalvin Cook led the team in rushing yards with 1173, and Justin Jefferson led the team in receiving yards with 1809.

The current betting odds have the Buccaneers listed as a 6 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucs won the division last season but finished with a losing 8-9 record overall and that was with Tom Brady still running the show. Now Brady has retired and they have picked up QB Baker Mayfield to replace him. Brady really took charge of this offense over the last few years but last season was a different story as it was clear that he didn't have much left in the tank and a new starting QB with all of those weapons still there will be good for this Tampa Bay offense. The Vikings had a really good year last season with their 13-4 record overall but they fizzled out in the playoffs as they usually do and now the offense is left with less talent than they had last year. They lost their running back Dalvin Cook and they also lost some pieces in their receiving corps. Their offense is going to struggle a lot more this season with a much weaker run game and this was a team that led the league in games decided by 1 score last year with more talent around. Now the team has gotten weaker around Kirk Cousins and the Bucs still have a really good defense led by Todd Bowles that is going to give the Vikings offense fits here. The Bucs are not expected to do much this season but they still have a lot of talent around a new QB who will be playing with a chip on his shoulder as he has something to prove to the league and the desire to win games will be there for this Bucs team like Brady never left. The best way to place a bet here is on the Buccaneers to cover the spread in this game. 

Buccaneers Vikings Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 10, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Vikings 24 Buccaneers 20.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 14-22 ATS in all games. 5-12 ATS in road games. 7-12 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 0-5 ATS as an underdog. 4-1 OVER as an underdog. 

Minnesota Vikings: 40-26 ATS in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points. 23-12 OVER in all games. 10-3 OVER as a home favorite. 9-2 OVER as a home favorite of 7 points or less. 11-3 OVER in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  R. Jensen (C) I-R - Knee. M. Evans (WR) Ques Week 1 - Groin. R. Gage (WR) I-R - Knee. C. Kancey (DL) Ques Week 1 - Calf.

Minnesota Vikings:  A. Mattison (RB) Ques Week 1 - Undisclosed. J. Lynch (DL) I-R - Knee. C. Reed (G) Out indefinitely - Leg.

“Hopefully that continues through the season. We know they didn’t have their first guys out there, but it was good to see them get going and getting on the right guy and having some continuity from that standpoint and we can build on it. Any time something is not working the year before, you try to fix it and get it better. Last night was a positive sign.” - Todd Bowles on his team’s running game coming into this new NFL season.

“I think we got one of the better safety rooms in the National Football League and that’s our starters, that’s these guys that have really made out the versatility for Flo (Brian Flores) to play three, four safeties in a grouping and we’ve got Lew (Lewis Cine), and we’ve got (Josh) Metellus to go along with (Camryn) Bynum and Harry (Harrison Smith) and Theo Jackson and Jay Ward probably, if you were ranking training camps that guys have had, those two guys would be on the top tier of some of those rankings because of the production.” - Kevin O’Connell on his team’s safeties coming into the season.

WR EVANS, MIKE 

WR Palmer, Trey 

WR Godwin, Chris 

TE Otton, Cade 

QB Mayfield, Baker 

RB White, Rachaad 

WR Jefferson, Justin 

WR Addison, Jordan 

WR Osborn, K.J. 

TE Hockenson, T.J. 

QB COUSINS, KIRK 

RB Mattison, Alexander 

FB HAM, C.J. 

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Coaches:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (2nd season)

Minnesota Vikings: Kevin O'Connell (2nd season)