Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Houston Texans Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/05/2023

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 5, 2023

Venue:  NRG Stadium, Houston, TX

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucs +2.5, Texans -2.5; Over/Under:  40 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucs +3, Texans -3; Over/Under:  40 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucs +2.5, Texans -2.5; Over/Under:  40 points

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  3-4 (3rd place, NFC South)

Houston Texans:  3-4 (2nd place, AFC South)

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  lost their last game on the road against the Buffalo Bills 24-18.

Houston Texans:  lost their last game on the road against the Carolina Panthers 15-13.

The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 3-4 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Buffalo Bills 24-18. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 25/42 passes for 237 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rachaad White led the team in rushing yards with 39. Rachaad White led the receivers with 70 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Ryan Neal led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Anthony Nelson and YaYa Diaby each led the defense in sacks with 1. William Gholston came away with the only interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Texans are entering this game with a 3-4 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Carolina Panthers 15-13. CJ Stroud was the starting QB and he completed 16/24 passes for 140 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Dameon Pierce led the team in rushing yards with 46. Noah Brown led the receivers with 57 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Shaquill Griffin led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Jonathan Greenard led the defense in sacks with 2.5. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Texans listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Texans are only 3-4 this season but they have looked really good in their games despite their losing record. They just lost a close game on the road against the winless Panthers, giving them their 1st win of the season, but they will be looking to bounce back now that they are back at home. The Buccaneers haven't looked that great this season with their 3-4 record and they have been starting to lose a lot more games lately after a pretty good start to the season. They do have some extra rest from playing on Thursday night but Baker Mayfield is also dealing with an injury to his knee and even though he is likely to play as he has played through injuries throughout his whole career, he has also struggled more when trying to play through his injuries. The offense has also struggled a lot this season and the Texans do have a decent defense with Ryans really turning things around. The best way to place a bet here is on the Texans to cover the spread in this game. 

Buccaneers Texans Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 5, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Texans 20 Bucs 13.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 6-11 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 6-14 ATS against AFC South division opponents. 1-7 ATS off a road loss. 27-17 UNDER in all games. 14-6 UNDER in road games. 13-3 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses. 

Houston Texans: 50-34 ATS after scoring 14 points or less last game. 4-1 ATS when playing with 6 or less days rest. 24-17 UNDER in all games. 19-12 UNDER after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 3 straight games. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  B. Mayfield (QB) day-to-day - Knee. V. Vea (NT) day-to-day - Groin. K. Merriweather (S) day-to-day - Ankle. M. Feiler (G) day-to-day - Knee. R. Jensen (C) I-R - Knee. R. Gage (WR) I-R - Knee.

Houston Texans:  J. Patterson (C) day-to-day - Ankle. B. Jordan (TE) day-to-day - Foot. S. Rankins (DT) day-to-day - Knee. R. Woods (WR) Late Nov - Foot. E. Murray (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. K. Green (C) I-R - Knee. D. Stingley Jr. (CB) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. J. Scruggs (C) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. K. Green (G) I-R - Shoulder. C. Heck (OT) Out indefinitely - Foot. K. Zierer (OT) I-R - Ankle. T. Hairston (FB) I-R - Back. J. Matthews (WR) I-R - Knee. D. Scaife Jr. (OT) I-R - Leg. S. Quessenberry (C) I-R - Knee.

“I thought everybody fought their tails off tonight. The effort wasn’t our problem. We hung together, we were tough, we clawed, we scratched, we fought our way back in there. We were right there. A few plays here or there, a few penalties here or there. We feel like we can get better from that.” - Todd Bowles after his team’s loss against the Bills in their last game. 

“I think with any quarterback, especially a young quarterback, defenses continue to game plan. You get more film on him and see what guys do well and you switch your game plan accordingly to put the quarterback in difficult spots. He’ll just have to keep growing and keep learning. C.J. will do well with it. He’ll bounce back." - DeMeco Ryans after his team’s loss against the Panthers in their last game. 

WR EVANS, MIKE 

WR Godwin, Chris 

WR Palmer, Trey

TE Otton, Cade 

QB Mayfield, Baker 

RB White, Rachaad

WR Collins, Nico 

WR Dell, Tank  

WR WOODS, ROBERT 

TE Schultz, Dalton 

QB Stroud, C.J. 

RB Pierce, Dameon 

FB Beck, Andrew 

Passing: B. Mayfield (1600)

Rushing: R. White (305)

Receiving: M. Evans (507)

Touchdowns: M. Evans (5)

Passing: C. Stroud (1800)

Rushing: D. Pierce (327)

Receiving: N. Collins (577)

Touchdowns: N. Collins (3)

Coaches:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (2nd season)

Houston Texans: DeMeco Ryans (1st season)