by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Dec 14, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, December 17, 2023
Venue: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Bucs +3.5, Packers -3.5; Over/Under: 42 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Bucs +3.5, Packers -3.5; Over/Under: 42 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Bucs +3.5, Packers -3.5; Over/Under: 41.5 points
Season Record
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 6-7 (1st place, NFC South)
Green Bay Packers: 6-7 (3rd place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: won their last game on the road against the Atlanta Falcons 29-25.
Green Bay Packers: lost their last game on the road against the New York Giants 24-22.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers Preview and Analysis
The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 6-7 record overall and they have a 3-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-3 in their home games, 3-4 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 29-25. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 14/29 passes for 144 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Rachaad White led the team in rushing yards with 102. Chris Godwin led the receivers with 53 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Zyon McCollum led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Antoine Winfield Jr., Calijah Kancey, and Greg Gaines each led the defense in sacks with 1. Carlton Davis III came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Packers are entering this game with a 6-7 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 2-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the New York Giants 24-22. Jordan Love was the starting QB and he completed 25/39 passes for 218 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. AJ Dillon led the team in rushing yards with 53. Tucker Kraft led the receivers with 64 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Darnell Savage Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Buccaneers vs Packers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Packers listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Packers haven't looked great this season with their 6-7 record overall but they are still in the Wild Card race with the strength of the NFC this season. They have looked a lot better in their home games all season with their 4-2 home record and they will be looking to bounce back at home after losing on Monday night to the Giants. The Packers will be looking to get the bad taste out of their mouth from that embarrassing loss but they also can't afford to take another loss if they want to make the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers have also looked really up and down this season with their 6-7 record overall but because of the strength of the NFC South, they are leading the division with this record and they are in the driver seat for the rest of the year. The Bucs will be motivated to win this game as they have a chance to win their division right now but they haven't looked as good in their road games with their 3-4 road record and they have been too inconsistent from game to game too. The Packers have looked a lot better over the last month and after stumbling in prime time on Monday night, they will get their bounce back win at home here since they have looked a lot better in home games all season. The best way to place a bet here is on the Packers to cover the spread in this game.
Buccaneers Packers Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, December 17, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Packers 31 Buccaneers 21.
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NFL Betting Trends
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 5-10 ATS off a division game. 6-12 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 3-9 ATS after 2 straight wins by 6 or less points. 10-4 UNDER after playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. 12-7 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs.
Green Bay Packers: 15-8 ATS in home games. 8-4 ATS off a road loss. 48-26 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 9-3 UNDER off a road loss. 7-2 UNDER after a loss by 6 or less points. 12-6 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive losses.
Key Injuries
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: R. Neal (S) Ques Sun - Leg. C. Davis III (CB) Ques Sun - Groin. V. Vea (NT) Ques Sun - Toe. D. White (LB) Ques Sun - Foot. J. Dean (CB) Ques Sun - Foot. R. Jarrett (WR) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. M. Greene (DL) Out indefinitely - Calf. R. Jensen (C) I-R - Knee. R. Gage (WR) I-R - Knee.
Green Bay Packers: E. Stokes (CB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. A. Jones (RB) Ques Sun - Knee. C. Watson (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. Q. Walker (LB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. J. Alexander (CB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. E. Wilson (RB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. L. Musgrave (TE) Out indefinitely - Kidney. D. Bakhtiari (OT) I-R - Knee. L. Tenuta (OT) Out indefinitely - Ankle. T. Davis (TE) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We knew down there in the red zone, they were going to take Mike and Chris away. So Cade had a one-on-one." - Baker Mayfield after their win against the Falcons in their last game.
“It’s definitely disappointing. Just look at what we got in front of us but we have to take it one week at a time. We had plenty of opportunities to win that game. We didn’t execute good enough. It’s disappointing for sure." - Jordan Love after their loss against the Giants in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
WR Evans, Mike
WR Godwin, Chris
WR Palmer, Trey
TE Otton, Cade
QB Mayfield, Baker
RB White, Rachaad
Green Bay Packers
WR Watson, Christian
WR Doubs, Romeo
WR Reed, Jayden
TE Kraft, Tucker
QB Love, Jordan
RB Jones, Aaron
FB Deguara, Josiah
Statistical Leaders
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Passing: B. Mayfield (2934)
Rushing: R. White (745)
Receiving: M. Evans (1020)
Touchdowns: M. Evans (10)
Green Bay Packers
Passing: J. Love (3084)
Rushing: A. Dillon (574)
Receiving: J. Reed (540)
Touchdowns: R. Doubs (7)
Coaches:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (2nd season)
Green Bay Packers: Matt LaFleur (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
