Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Cleveland Browns: Prediction, Preview, Picks & Odds - 11/26/2022

by Chuck Sommers

Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Where to watch: FOX

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks


DraftKings: Bucs -3
FanDuel: Bucs -3.5
BetMGM: Bucs -3.5
Caesars: Bucs -3.5

Season record
Bucs: 5-5 (1st place, NFC South)
Browns: 3-7 (3rd place, AFC North)

Happy Thanksgiving to you and yours! You know what's going to be a good way of giving thanks? Letting our champion handicappers lead you to victory for a hefty plate of games that are sure to cause some ire for the books. We're nearing the final quarter of the regular season with a lot of divisional matchups and playoff-implication games still to be played. Which way are you leaning with this? Sean Murphy has strung together a 21-11-1 string of games over the last 30 days, while Hollywood Sports has also been on a nice run of 19-13-0 over the last month. Do you want to feel this strong winning hitting your wallet just in time for the Christmas season? Make sure you're following bigal.com and getting all the best plays from our champion handicappers to find out more!

Bucs - Browns preview, analysis and prediction


Last week
Bucs: Bye (won 21-16 vs. Seahawks at Germany last game)
Browns: lost 31-23 vs. Bills (in Detroit)

Just when you thought the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were going to go quietly into the night, Tom Brady decides that he is not ready to go off into the sunset. When in the world is this guy going to do it? He's already been divorced he's probably lost his house, and now the only thing that will probably fill the void left in his crazy heart of playing until he's 75 years old is winning another Super Bowl.

Well, I guess the good news for Buccaneers fans because suddenly, Tampa Bay is now 5-5 and is in first place in the NFC S, which means we are destined for a playoff game in Tampa Bay at some point. The Buccaneers will try and continue this little run they're on right now of winning when they visit the Cleveland Browns on Sunday and normally I would feel pretty good about Tampa Bay in this one because why not?

This is a team that just went to Germany two weeks ago and beat the Seattle Seahawks, at the time I thought the hottest team in the NFL, and suddenly we are in a position right now where Tampa Bay might be getting their stride back. Brady completed 22 of 29 passes and threw for two touchdowns last week in Germany to beat the Seahawks, and somehow this offense has found a way to score some points while the defense continues to be stingy as hell.

I don't know what more we can think of with this Tampa Bay team because there's so much that needs to be done in order for any of us to believe that they will run through the NFC and get back to the Super bowl. For one thing, health at the receiver position is key period that would include Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Julio Jones all at the same time. If those three, or if anyone of them, are out of the lineup it will create a large ripple effect for Brady and the bucks because there is no reason why he should be able to struggle as much as he has this year.

I have no idea why Tom Brady has thrown for just 12 touchdowns to only two interceptions this year and quite frankly it is one of the more astonishing situations I've ever seen. When Bruce Arians retired as head coach I didn't think that there was gonna be this much of a drop-off going to Todd Bowles. But how in the world could this possibly happen to where one of the greatest, the greatest quarterback of all time has now been relegated to throwing 12 touchdowns halfway through the season to just two interceptions?

None of this makes sense and I don't wanna believe Tampa Bay anytime soon because I know at some point they're going to let me down. But they're going up against the Cleveland Browns. This is the same Cleveland Browns team that we thought was on the right track after they shellacked Cincinnati on Monday night on Halloween. Then they play an impromptu road game in Detroit against the Buffalo Bills, play a very strong game in the first half and then let Buffalo just run wild in the second half. The Browns are one game away from bringing back Deshaun Watson at quarterback and everything is supposed to be okay when it comes to this.

The Browns are still going to suck. They don't have any receivers that Watson will be able to throw the ball to because Jacoby Brissett has been able to somehow fly under the radar and not get chastised for leading a 3-7 football team. I don't know where this rant was going but at the end of the day I feel like the Buccaneers are just way too better of a team and should cruise to a division title the rest of the way.

Prediction


it's just hilarious when you look at the standings and you notice just how far Tampa Bay has come from earlier in the season, but the Buccaneers are only a half game ahead of the Atlanta Falcons. There's is far from over and anyone who tells you otherwise needs to stop. Atlanta is probably going to crumble down the stretch but until that happens, Tampa Bay is where it needs to be. Tampa Bay by 17

Betting trends


Bucs are 71-47 ATS in November games since 1992.

Bucs are 66-44 ATS in Weeks 10-13 since 1992.

Browns are 24-41 ATS at home after losing 2 of 3 since 1992.

Statistical leaders


Bucs:
Passing: Tom Brady -- 2,805 yards, 12 TD, 2 INT
Rushing: Leonard Fournette -- 462 yards, 3 TD
Receiving: Mike Evans -- 671 yards, 3 TD
Defense: Vita Vea -- 6.5 sacks

Browns:
Passing: Jacoby Brissett -- 2,398 yards, 11 TD, 5 INT
Rushing: Nick Chubb -- 923 yards, 11 TD
Receiving: Amari Cooper -- 698 yards, 7 TD
Defense: Myles Garrett -- 8.5 sacks

Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Cleveland Browns prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily NFL projections and previews.

Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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