Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/26/2023

Game Time: 8:15 pm ET, Thursday, October 26, 2023

Venue:  Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY

Where to Watch:  Amazon Prime Video

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Bucs +8.5, Bills -8.5; Over/Under:  42 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Bucs +8.5, Bills -8.5; Over/Under:  42 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Bucs +8.5, Bills -8.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  3-3 (2nd place, NFC South)

Buffalo Bills:  4-3 (2nd place, AFC East)

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  lost their last game at home against the Atlanta Falcons 16-13.

Buffalo Bills:  lost their last game on the road against the New England Patriots 29-25.

The Buccaneers are entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Atlanta Falcons 16-13. Baker Mayfield was the starting QB and he completed 27/42 passes for 275 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Rachaad White led the team in rushing yards with 34. Mike Evans led the receivers with 82 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Jamel Dean led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Shaquil Barrett led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

 

 

 

The Bills are entering this game with a 4-3 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the New England Patriots 29-25. Josh Allen was the starting QB and he completed 27/41 passes for 265 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. James Cook led the team in rushing yards with 56. Dalton Kincaid led the receivers with 75 receiving yards on 8 receptions. Terrel Bernard led the defense in that game with 9 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Jordan Poyer led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.

The current betting odds have the Buccaneers listed as an 8.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Buccaneers just lost a big game at home against the Falcons who are a division rival and they haven't looked as good in their last few games now. The Bills are also coming off a loss to the Patriots in their last game which is a division rival and they haven't really looked any better in their games either. The Bills have been struggling on offense lately as they aren't putting up a ton of points in their games and they are going to struggle here despite being at home since the Bucs have had a really good defense all season. The Bucs have had a similar issue lately as they haven't been able to put up a lot of points in their games but their defense also doesn't give up many points and has been keeping them in their games. Both of these offenses are going to struggle here as they have been lately and both teams have pretty good defenses that won't allow this game to get out of hand. The best way to place a bet here is on the Buccaneers to cover the spread in this game. 

Buccaneers Bills Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Thursday, October 26, 2023 (8:15 pm ET start time) is Bills 24 Bucs 20.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 2-7 ATS as an underdog. 1-5 ATS in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 3-11 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses. 26-17 UNDER in all games. 13-6 UNDER in road games. 6-1 UNDER off a home loss.

Buffalo Bills: 26-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 35-21 ATS after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game. 24-16 UNDER after a road game where both teams scored 24 or more points. 25-16 UNDER as a favorite. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  C. Edmonds (RB) Ques Thurs - Knee. V. Vea (DL) Ques Thurs - Groin. K. Merriweather (S) Ques Thurs - Ankle. M. Feiler (OL) Ques Thurs - Knee. B. Mayfield (QB) Ques Thurs - Knee. C. Godwin (WR) Ques Thurs - Neck. D. Pitts (CB) Ques Thurs - Hamstring. R. Jensen (C) I-R - Knee. R. Gage (WR) I-R - Knee.

Buffalo Bills:  K. Elam (CB) Prob Thurs - Ankle. S. Brown (OT) Prob Thurs - Knee. T. Bernard (LB) Prob Thurs - Knee. J. Allen (QB) Prob Thurs - Shoulder. J. Phillips (DT) Ques Thurs - Back. B. Spector (LB) Ques Thurs - Hamstring. D. Knox (TE) Out indefinitely - Wrist. Q. Morris (TE) Ques Thurs - Ankle. E. Oliver (DT) Ques Thurs - Toe. D. Harris (RB) Out indefinitely - Neck. D. Jones (DT) I-R - Pectoral. M. Milano (LB) I-R - Leg. T. White (CB) I-R - Achilles. J. Shorter (WR) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Doyle (OT) I-R - Knee. Z. Davidson (TE) I-R - Knee. N. Hines (RB) I-R - Knee.

“Anytime you’re constantly hurting yourself, getting behind the chains, you don’t make the job any easier. A lot of pre-snap penalties for us. It’s on me for not being on the same page as everybody. ... We have to eliminate those simple simple mistakes.” - Baker Mayfield after their loss against the Falcons in their last game. 

“Red zone-wise, offensively, we're down there, we've got to get seven. Got to close the game out when it comes down to it.” - Sean McDermott after his team’s loss against the Patriots in their last game. 

WR EVANS, MIKE 

WR Godwin, Chris 

WR Palmer, Trey

TE Otton, Cade 

QB Mayfield, Baker 

RB White, Rachaad

WR Davis, Gabe 

WR Diggs, Stefon 

WR Shakir, Khalil  

TE Knox, Dawson 

QB Allen, Josh 

RB Cook, James 

FB Gilliam, Reggie

Passing: B. Mayfield (1363)

Rushing: R. White (266)

Receiving: M. Evans (468)

Touchdowns: M. Evans (4)

Passing: J. Allen (1841)

Rushing: J. Cook (419)

Receiving: S. Diggs (678)

Touchdowns: S. Diggs (6)

Coaches:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (2nd season)

Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (7th season)