by Rod Pearson
Friday, Jun 16, 2023
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 17, 2023
Venue: Citi Field, Queens, NY
Where to Watch: WPIX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Cardinals +130, Mets -150; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Cardinals +130, Mets -150; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Cardinals +130, Mets -150; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
St Louis Cardinals: 27-42 (5th place, NL Central)
New York Mets: 32-36 (4th place, NL East)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB: 61-47 (+$7.7K) start this season! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
St Louis Cardinals: 2-8 last 10
New York Mets: 2-8 last 10
St Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets Preview and Analysis
The Cardinals are entering this game on a 5 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants in their last series. They enter this game with a 27-42 record overall and have a road record of 14-21. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mets on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .745 OPS. Miles Mikolas is their starting pitcher on Friday while Adam Wainwright is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 2-1 with a 5.79 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 8 hits through 5.2 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.
The Mets are entering this game off of a win in their last game and split their 2-game series against the New York Yankees 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 32-36 record overall and have a home record of 16-13. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Cardinals on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .713 OPS. Tylor Megill is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Kodai Senga is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 6-3 with a 3.34 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 4 BB with 6 strikeouts on 2 hits through 7 innings played against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Cardinals vs Mets Prediction
The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets have been terrible in their games lately as they enter this series on a losing skid but the Cardinals haven't been any better in their games as they are also on a losing skid coming into this series and are right at the bottom of their division at the moment. The Cardinals have Wainwright on the mound here and he hasn't been great in his starts lately as he has been giving up a lot of runs. The Mets haven't had a great offense this season but they will be able to cash in the scoring opportunities that Wainwright will put them in here. The Mets are going with Senga in this game and he has been having a great rookie year but more importantly, he has been an even better starter in his home games. He is a guy who loves to give the home fans something to cheer about with a great performance and a home win so he is going to bring his best performance here to help the Mets beat up on a struggling Cardinals team. The Mets have been struggling lately but the Cardinals have been struggling all year and the Mets are going to use this series to break out of their funk and propel themselves moving forward. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.
Cardinals Mets Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 17, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 4 Cardinals 1.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today. And if you enjoyed this St Louis Cardinals New York Mets prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.
MLB Betting Trends
St Louis Cardinals: 27-42 (-26.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 20-32 (-19.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 11-5 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 29-19 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.
New York Mets: 52-25 (+16 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -125 to -175. 14-5 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 9 to 9.5. 14-5 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. 18-11 UNDER in home games.
Key Injuries
St Louis Cardinals: R. Helsley (RP) Early July - Forearm. P. Naughton (SP) Late June - Forearm. L. Nootbaar (CF) Out indefinitely - Back. T. O'Neill (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. W. Rodriguez (RP) out for season - Shoulder.
New York Mets: D. Smith (RP) Elig June 26 - Suspension. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. P. Alonso (1B) Early July - Wrist. T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. J. Quintana (SP) Late June - Ribs. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We just don’t execute. This has nothing to do with the coaches, it has to do with the players and as players we don’t execute.” - Nolan Arenado after their loss against the Giants in their game on Wednesday.
“Those were things we were able to overcome. You’d like to see them not happen but I think sometimes guys are trying so hard to find a way to contribute that sometimes mistakes are made.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s win against the Yankees in their game on Wednesday.
Starting Lineups
St Louis Cardinals
Brendan Donovan (L) 2B
Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B
Nolan Gorman (L) 3B
Nolan Arenado (R) DH
Jordan Walker (R) LF
Dylan Carlson (S) RF
Paul DeJong (R) SS
Andrew Knizner (R) C
Tommy Edman (S) CF
New York Mets
Brandon Nimmo (L) CF
Starling Marte (R) RF
Jeff McNeil (L) 2B
Francisco Lindor (S) SS
Francisco Alvarez (R) C
Brett Baty (L) DH
Tommy Pham (R) LF
Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B
Mark Vientos (R) 1B
Statistical Leaders
St Louis Cardinals
Batting Average: Oscar Mercado (.310)
Hits: Paul Goldschmidt (75)
Home Runs: Nolan Gorman (15)
RBI: Nolan Gorman (46)
Stolen Bases: Tommy Edman (10)
Wins: Miles Mikolas (4)
Saves: Giovanny Gallegos (8)
ERA: Packy Naughton (0.00)
New York Mets
Batting Average: Michael Perez (.571)
Hits: Brandon Nimmo (74)
Home Runs: Pete Alonso (22)
RBI: Pete Alonso (49)
Stolen Bases: Starling Marte (19)
Wins: Kodai Senga (6)
Saves: David Robertson (10)
ERA: Edwin Uceta (0.00)
Managers:
St Louis Cardinals: Oliver Marmol (2nd season)
New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
