St Louis Cardinals vs New York Mets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/16/2023

Game Time: 7:10 pm ET, Friday, June 16, 2023

Venue:  Citi Field, Queens, NY

Where to Watch:  SNY

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals -110, Mets -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals -110, Mets -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals -110, Mets -110; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

St Louis Cardinals:  27-42 (5th place, NL Central)

New York Mets:  32-36 (4th place, NL East)

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St Louis Cardinals:  2-8 last 10

New York Mets:  2-8 last 10

The Cardinals are entering this game on a 5 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the San Francisco Giants in their last series. They enter this game with a 27-42 record overall and have a road record of 14-21. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Mets on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .745 OPS. Jordan Montgomery was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Miles Mikolas is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-3 with a 4.02 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 7 hits through 6 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.

The Mets are entering this game off of a win in their last game and split their 2-game series against the New York Yankees 1-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 32-36 record overall and have a home record of 16-13. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Cardinals on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .713 OPS. Justin Verlander was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Tylor Megill is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 5-4 with a 5.14 ERA this season. His team lost their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 7 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 BB with 1 strikeout on 8 hits through 3.2 innings played against the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The current betting odds have the Mets listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mets have been terrible in their games lately as they are in a massive slump but the Cardinals are also entering this series on a losing skid and have been just as bad over the last week. The Cardinals are continuing to lose games though while the Mets came away with a win against the Yankees in their last game and they will be able to build on that in this home series and try to get themselves back on track now. They have Megill on the mound here and he hasn't been great this season, giving up 7 runs in his last start, but he will also be eager to bounce back at home here with a much better performance. Mikolas is starting for the Cardinals here and he hasn't been great in his starts this season, but the Cardinals bullpen hasn't been good either and that could be the spark the Mets need here at home to start a big run now. The Mets will have some more confidence in this series with that win over the Yankees and they will use that to try and take advantage of the slumping Cardinals here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mets to win this game.

Cardinals Mets Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 16, 2023 (7:10 pm ET start time) is Mets 7 Cardinals 4.

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St Louis Cardinals: 27-42 (-26.4 units) on the moneyline in all games. 20-32 (-19.6 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 11-5 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher. 29-19 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.

New York Mets: 50-28 (+14.2 units) on the moneyline at home with a money line of -100 to -150. 14-5 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline at home when the total is 9 to 9.5. 14-5 UNDER when the total is 9 to 9.5. 9-1 UNDER at home when the money line is +125 to -125. 

St Louis Cardinals:  R. Helsley (RP) Early July - Forearm. P. Naughton (SP) Late June - Forearm. L. Nootbaar (CF) Out indefinitely - Back. T. O'Neill (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. W. Rodriguez (RP) out for season - Shoulder.

New York Mets:  D. Smith (RP) Elig June 26 - Suspension. E. Uceta (RP) Mid Aug - Knee. P. Alonso (1B) Early July - Wrist. T. Locastro (CF) Mid July - Thumb. J. Quintana (SP) Late June - Ribs. S. Coonrod (RP) Mid July - Back. E. Hernandez (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. S. Ridings (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Montes de Oca (SP) out for season - Elbow. E. Diaz (RP) out for season - Knee.

“We just don’t execute. This has nothing to do with the coaches, it has to do with the players and as players we don’t execute.” - Nolan Arenado after their loss against the Giants in their game on Wednesday.

“Those were things we were able to overcome. You’d like to see them not happen but I think sometimes guys are trying so hard to find a way to contribute that sometimes mistakes are made.” - Buck Showalter after his team’s win against the Yankees in their game on Wednesday.

Brendan Donovan (L) 2B

Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B

Nolan Gorman (L) 3B

Nolan Arenado (R) DH

Jordan Walker (R) LF

Dylan Carlson (S) RF

Paul DeJong (R) SS

Andrew Knizner (R) C

Tommy Edman (S) CF

Brandon Nimmo (L) CF

Starling Marte (R) RF

Jeff McNeil (L) 2B

Francisco Lindor (S) SS

Francisco Alvarez (R) C

Brett Baty (L) DH

Tommy Pham (R) LF

Eduardo Escobar (S) 3B

Mark Vientos (R) 1B

Batting Average:  Oscar Mercado (.310)

Hits:  Paul Goldschmidt (75)

Home Runs:  Nolan Gorman (15)

RBI:  Nolan Gorman (46)

Stolen Bases:  Tommy Edman (10)

Wins:  Miles Mikolas (4)

Saves:  Giovanny Gallegos (8)

ERA:  Packy Naughton (0.00)

Batting Average:  Michael Perez (.571)

Hits:  Brandon Nimmo (74)

Home Runs:  Pete Alonso (22)

RBI:  Pete Alonso (49)

Stolen Bases:  Starling Marte (19)

Wins:  Kodai Senga (6)

Saves:  David Robertson (10)

ERA:  Edwin Uceta (0.00)

Managers:

St Louis Cardinals: Oliver Marmol (2nd season)

New York Mets: Buck Showalter (2nd season)