by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Aug 24, 2022
Game Time: 2:20 pm ET, Thursday, August 25, 2022
Venue: Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Where to Watch: MLB Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Cardinals -135, Cubs +115; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Cardinals -135, Cubs +115; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Cardinals -135, Cubs +115; Over/Under: 9.5 runs
Season Record
St Louis Cardinals: 71-52 (1st place, NL Central)
Chicago Cubs: 53-70 (4th place, NL Central)
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Recent Form
St Louis Cardinals: 9-1 last 10
Chicago Cubs: 6-4 last 10
St Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Preview and Analysis
The Cardinals won 9 of their last 10 games and enter this game off of a win. They won their last series against the Arizona Diamondbacks 3-0 completing the sweep in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 71-52 record overall and have a road record of 31-31. This is the series finale of a 5-game series with the Cubs on Thursday with the 4th game still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .755 OPS. Miles Mikolas is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Dakota Hudson is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 6-6 with a 4.33 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HRs, and 3 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 4.1 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
The Cubs lost 3 of their last 4 games and enter this game off of a loss. They won their last series against the Milwaukee Brewers 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 53-70 record overall and have a home record of 27-37. This is the 5th game of a 5-game series with the Cardinals on Thursday with the 4th game still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 14th in the MLB with a .705 OPS. Luke Farrell is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Marcus Stroman is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 3-5 with a 3.83 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 4 BB with 5 Ks on 2 hits through 7.2 IP against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction
The current betting odds have the Cubs listed as a slight underdog in this game. The Cubs were playing very well before coming into this series with the Cardinals. Both teams were on big win streaks and winning a lot of games before running into each other but, the Cardinals have won 2 of the 3 games so far with 2 of those games being very close. There was already a 1-0 and 2-0 game in the first two games of this series as the pitching for both teams has been great recently and that will likely continue here. The Cubs have the advantage with Stroman though as he has been a lot better than Hudson has been this season and Stroman is coming off of another great start in his last. Hudson allowed a lot of runs in his last start and he has been doing that all season, likely doing that again in this game. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cubs to win this game at home.
Cardinals Cubs Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Thursday, August 25, 2022 (2:20 pm ET start time) is Cubs 4 Cardinals 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
St Louis Cardinals: 71-52 (+13.7 Units) ML in all games. 92-83 (+17.6 Units) ML in road games. 26-19 UNDER on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5.
Chicago Cubs: 53-70 (-11.4 Units) ML in all games. 27-37 (-11.3 Units) ML in home games. 27-19 UNDER after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals.
Key Injuries
St Louis Cardinals: D. VerHagen (RP) out for season - Hip. S. Matz (SP) Out indefinitely - Knee. J. Flaherty (SP) Late Sept - Shoulder.
Chicago Cubs: M. Hermosillo (CF) Out indefinitely - Quadricep. J. Heyward (RF) out for season - Knee. K. Hendricks (SP) out for season - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
"We've been coming through with the big hits quite often for the past couple of weeks and guys have been cashing in. But today we got good pitches to hit and were just missing them." - Oliver Marmol after his team’s loss against the Cubs in game 1 of their double-header on Tuesday.
"Phenomenal job by the whole pitching staff, obviously, holding these guys to no runs." - David Ross after his team’s win against the Cardinals in game 1 of their double-header on Tuesday.
Starting Lineups
St Louis Cardinals
Lars Nootbaar (L) RF
Brendan Donovan (L) 3B
Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B
Nolan Arenado (R) DH
Nolan Gorman (L) 2B
Tyler O'Neill (R) CF
Corey Dickerson (L) LF
Andrew Knizner (R) C
Tommy Edman (S) SS
Chicago Cubs
Nick Madrigal (R) 2B
Ian Happ (S) LF
Seiya Suzuki (R) RF
Franmil Reyes (R) DH
Nico Hoerner (R) SS
Patrick Wisdom (R) 1B
P.J. Higgins (R) C
Nelson Velazquez (R) CF
Christopher Morel (R) 3B
Statistical Leaders
St Louis Cardinals
Batting Average: Paul Goldschmidt (.335)
Hits: Paul Goldschmidt (148)
Home Runs: Paul Goldschmidt (31)
RBI: Paul Goldschmidt (100)
Stolen Bases: Tommy Edman (24)
Wins: Miles Mikolas (10)
Saves: Giovanny Gallegos (12)
ERA: James Naile (0.00)
Chicago Cubs
Batting Average: Franmil Reyes (.304)
Hits: Ian Happ (119)
Home Runs: Patrick Wisdom (22)
RBI: Patrick Wisdom (58)
Stolen Bases: Nico Hoerner (14)
Wins: Keegan Thompson (9)
Saves: David Robertson (14)
ERA: Conner Menez (0.00)
Managers:
St Louis Cardinals: Oliver Marmol (1st season)
Chicago Cubs: David Ross (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
