St Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/23/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Jul 22, 2023
Game Time: 2:20 pm ET, Sunday, July 23, 2023
Venue:  Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL
Where to Watch:  MARQ


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals -145, Cubs +125; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals -145, Cubs +125; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Cardinals -145, Cubs +125; Over/Under:  9 runs

Season Record

St Louis Cardinals:  44-54 (4th place, NL Central)
Chicago Cubs:  46-51 (3rd place, NL Central)

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Recent Form
St Louis Cardinals:  8-2 last 10
Chicago Cubs:  5-5 last 10



St Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs Preview and Analysis


The Cardinals are entering this series on a 5 game winning streak and completed the sweep 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Miami Marlins in their last series. They enter this game with a 44-54 record overall and have a road record of 22-28. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Cubs on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also won the series opener of this series on Thursday but lost the 2nd game on Friday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .762 OPS. Miles Mikolas is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Jordan Montgomery is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 6-7 with a 3.14 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 5 Ks on 6 hits through 6 IP against the Miami Marlins.

The Cubs are entering this series on a 2 game winning streak and won their 3-game series against the Washington Nationals 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 46-51 record overall and have a home record of 25-26. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Cardinals on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. They also lost the 1st game of this series on Thursday but won the 2nd game on Friday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .733 OPS. Michael Fulmer is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Jameson Taillon is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 3-6 with a 6.05 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 4 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5.2 innings played against the Washington Nationals.


Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction

The current betting odds have the Cardinals listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cardinals have been terrible all season but their offense has managed to stay one of the top 10 offenses in the MLB and they have been playing a lot better in their games lately too. The Cubs have been a really up and down team in their games lately as they have been hovering right under .500 all season, but the Cardinals have the better pitching matchup here and will be able to take advantage of it since they have been getting hot now. Taillon is on the mound for the Cubs and he has been terrible in his starts all season, giving up a ton of runs in a majority of them. The Cardinals offense has been consistent all year and they are going to put up runs in this game with the way Taillon has been pitching lately. The Cardinals also have Montgomery on the mound here and he has been pitching well in his starts lately since he hasn't been giving up a ton of runs. The Cardinals usually get hot in the 2nd half of the season and even though they still have a big mountain to climb to make the playoffs this season, they have been playing really well lately and will continue rolling here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cardinals to win this game.

Cardinals Cubs Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, July 23, 2023 (2:20 pm ET start time) is Cardinals 6 Cubs 4.
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MLB Betting Trends


St Louis Cardinals: 44-54 (-22.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 34-40 (-14.3 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. JORDAN MONTGOMERY is 6-2 OVER after giving up 2 earned runs or less in his last 2 outings.

Chicago Cubs: 17-13 (+4.2 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 15-8 OVER against division opponents. 12-4 OVER in July games. JAMESON TAILLON is 7-1 OVER in home games. 

Key Injuries


St Louis Cardinals:  B. Donovan (2B) Early Aug - Arm. D. VerHagen (RP) Early Aug - Hip. A. Wainwright (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Edman (SS) Late July - Wrist. J. Woodford (RP) Late July - Shoulder. R. Helsley (RP) Late July - Forearm. P. Naughton (SP) out for season - Forearm. W. Rodriguez (RP) out for season - Shoulder.

Chicago Cubs:  N. Madrigal (2B) Late July - Hamstring. D. Swanson (SS) Late July - Heel. B. Boxberger (RP) Late July - Forearm. B. Hughes (RP) out for season - Knee. A. Sampson (SP) Late July - Knee. C. Heuer (RP) out for season - Elbow. N. Burdi (RP) Late July - Appendix. E. Roberts (RP) out for season - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“When you have to expand the zone and put something in play that's off the plate, that's where you tend to be on the ground and less productive. Unfortunately that's the way it worked out.” - Oliver Marmol after his team’s loss against the Cubs in their game on Friday.


“He's the total package for sure, especially when he's playing like that." - David Ross on Cody Bellinger after his team’s win against the Cardinals in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


St Louis Cardinals
Dylan Carlson (S) CF
Paul Goldschmidt (R) 1B
Nolan Arenado (R) 3B
Willson Contreras (R) DH
Tyler O'Neill (R) LF
Jordan Walker (R) RF
Paul DeJong (R) SS
Andrew Knizner (R) C
Jose Fermin (R) 2B

Chicago Cubs
Mike Tauchman (L) CF
Nico Hoerner (R) SS
Ian Happ (S) LF
Cody Bellinger (L) 1B
Seiya Suzuki (R) RF
Christopher Morel (R) 2B
Yan Gomes (R) DH
Miles Mastrobuoni (L) 3B
Miguel Amaya (R) C

Statistical Leaders


St Louis Cardinals
Batting Average:  Ivan Herrera (.389)
Hits:  Paul Goldschmidt (106)
Home Runs:  Nolan Arenado (21)
RBI:  Nolan Arenado (76)
Stolen Bases:  Tommy Edman (14)
Wins:  Jack Flaherty (7)
Saves:  Giovanny Gallegos (8)
ERA:  Packy Naughton (0.00)

Chicago Cubs
Batting Average:  Cody Bellinger (.317)
Hits:  Nico Hoerner (101)
Home Runs:  Patrick Wisdom (17)
RBI:  Nico Hoerner (54)
Stolen Bases:  Nico Hoerner (21)
Wins:  Marcus Stroman (10)
Saves:  Adbert Alzolay (8)
ERA:  Anthony Kay (1.13)

Managers:
St Louis Cardinals: Oliver Marmol (2nd season)
Chicago Cubs: David Ross (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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