St Louis Blues vs Washington Capitals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 11/05/2025

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Nov 04, 2025
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Wednesday, November 5, 2025
Venue:  Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
Where to Watch:  TNT, truTV, HBO MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Blues +130, Capitals -155; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Blues +125, Capitals -150; Over/Under:  6 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Blues +125, Capitals -150; Over/Under:  6 goals

Season Record

St Louis Blues:  4-7-2 (8th place, Central Division)
Washington Capitals:  6-5-1 (7th place, Metropolitan Division)

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Recent Form
St Louis Blues:  2-6-2 last 10
Washington Capitals:  5-4-1 last 10



St Louis Blues vs Washington Capitals Preview and Analysis


The Blues are entering this game with 10 points, a 4-7-2 record overall, and they are 2-3-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Edmonton Oilers in their last game, winning that one at home 3-2. Robert Thomas, Dalibor Dvorský, and Pius Suter each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Robert Thomas, Brayden Schenn, Colton Parayko, Jimmy Snuggerud, Justin Faulk, and Philip Broberg each led the team in assists with 1 while Robert Thomas led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jordan Binnington was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 26 shots with 24 saves and a .923 save percentage. Their offense has scored 37 goals this season averaging 2.8 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 53 goals against them allowing 4.1 goals per game.


The Capitals are entering this game with 13 points, a 6-5-1 record overall, and they are 3-4-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Buffalo Sabres in their last game, losing that one on the road 4-3 in a shootout. Aliaksei Protas, Dylan Strome, and Sonny Milano each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Connor McMichael, Martin Fehérváry, Matt Roy, Ryan Leonard, and Tom Wilson each led the team in assists with 1 while Dylan Strome led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Charlie Lindgren was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 3 goals on 24 shots with 21 saves and a .875 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 31 goals this season averaging 2.6 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 29 goals against them allowing 2.4 goals per game.


Blues vs Capitals Prediction

The current betting odds have the Capitals listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Capitals haven't looked great in their games this season with their 6-5-1 record overall which has them right near the bottom of their division in the East. They haven't looked that great on home ice either with their 3-4-0 home record this year. Meanwhile, the Blues have looked terrible in their games this season with their 4-7-2 record overall which has them right near the bottom of their division in the West. They haven't been a great road team so far either with their 2-3-0 road record this season. The Blues are off a 3-2 win over the Oilers in their last one and that was a much needed win with the slump they have been in, but they have not been a good team at all. They have been getting blown out in a lot of their games lately and they have one of the worst defenses in the NHL too. The Capitals were one of the best teams in the NHL last season and even though they haven't looked good lately, they did get off to a hot start this year. They have come down from that hot start, but they are off a tight loss to the Sabres in their last one and they are going to be desperate to get back in the winning column here at home. The Capitals need a win and they can take advantage of one of the worst teams in the NHL here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Capitals to win this game. 

Blues Capitals Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, November 5, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Capitals 4 Blues 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


St Louis Blues: 24-36 (-4.9 units) on the moneyline in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 44-49 (-4.1 units) on the moneyline off a win in their previous game. 6-16 (-7.3 units) on the moneyline against good defensive teams - allowing 2.55 goals/game or less. 34-20 UNDER in a road game where the total is 6 or more.

Washington Capitals: 102-88 (+13.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 40-22 (+6.7 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -200 or less. 64-45 (+10.6 units) on the moneyline against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game. 39-25 UNDER in a home game where the total is 6 or more.

Key Injuries


St Louis Blues:  J. Neighbours (LW) Out - Leg.

Washington Capitals:  P. Dubois (LW) Out - Lower Body. E. Frank (C) Out - Upper-Body. R. Sandin (D) Out - Upper-body.


Notable Quotes


“We needed it. But I think we’re a process-oriented team. Game management was really good tonight, and belief leads to good results. For me, this was the third good hockey game in a row that we’ve played, and if we keep playing like this, we’re going to win a lot of hockey games.” - Jim Montgomery after his team’s win against the Oilers in their game on Monday.


“I still think we’re trying to find ourselves a little bit. I know the record was what it was early on, but I’m not fooled by that. We’re still trying to find our identity; some guys are trying to get into a rhythm with their seasons. It’s not a secret, we have a lot of guys that are struggling right now, but they’re trying to fight their way through it, so that’s what I take from this game. You’re going to have to find a way to grind out points and take steps in the right direction. I thought tonight was one.” - Spencer Carbery after his team’s loss against the Sabres in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


St Louis Blues
LW Pavel Buchnevich
C Robert Thomas
RW Jimmy Snuggerud
LD Philip Broberg
RD Colton Parayko
G Jordan Binnington

Washington Capitals
LW Alex Ovechkin
C Dylan Strome
RW Anthony Beauvillier
LD Martin Fehervary
RD John Carlson
G Logan Thompson

Statistical Leaders


St Louis Blues
Points: Jordan Kyrou (8)
Goals: Jake Neighbours (6)
Assists: Robert Thomas (6)
GAA: Jordan Binnington (3.08)

Washington Capitals
Points: Tom Wilson (13)
Goals: Tom Wilson (6)
Assists: Dylan Strome (8)
GAA: Logan Thompson (1.51)

Coaches:
St Louis Blues: Jim Montgomery (2nd season)
Washington Capitals: Spencer Carbery (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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