Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 8, 2025
Venue: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: St John’s +1.5, Marquette -1.5; Over/Under: 140.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: St John’s +1.5, Marquette -1.5; Over/Under: 140.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: St John’s +1.5, Marquette -1.5; Over/Under: 140.5 points
Season Record
St John's Red Storm: 26-4 (17-2) (1st place, Big East)
Marquette Golden Eagles: 22-8 (13-6) (3rd place, Big East)
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Recent Form
St John's Red Storm: 5-0 last 5
Marquette Golden Eagles: 3-2 last 5
St John's Red Storm vs Marquette Golden Eagles Preview and Analysis
St John’s is entering this game with a 26-4 record overall, a 17-2 record in conference games, and they are 7-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Seton Hall Pirates in their last game. RJ Luis Jr. led the team in points in that game with 21 while Zuby Ejiofor was next on the team with 17. Kadary Richmond led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Zuby Ejiofor led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 43.4% from the field, 30.8% from 3-point range, and 63.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 65.7 PPG against them. St John’s has an ATS record of 17-11-2 this season and their O/U record is 13-17.
Marquette is entering this game with a 22-8 record overall, a 13-6 conference record, and they are 14-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the UConn Huskies in their last game. David Joplin led the team in points in that game with 23 while Kameron Jones was next on the team with 21. Chase Ross led the team in assists with 3 in that game while David Joplin and Stevie Mitchell each led the team in rebounds with 5. They were 43.9% from the field, 13.6% from 3-point range, and 81.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 76.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67 PPG against them. Marquette has an ATS record of 14-15-1 this season and their O/U record is 11-17-2.
St John's vs Marquette Prediction
The current betting odds have St John's listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. St John's has looked really good in their games this season with their 26-4 record overall and their 17-2 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big East. They have been a good road team too with their 7-2 road record this season. Meanwhile, Marquette has looked good in their games this season with their 22-8 record overall and their 13-6 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big East. They have also looked great on their home court this year with their 14-2 home record. Marquette is ranked inside the top 25 at the moment, but they haven't been at their best lately. They are 3-2 in their last 5 games and they are coming off a loss to UConn in their last one. They have been rolling over a lot of bad teams in their conference, but they have also dropped some bad games too and did lose to St John's earlier this season. St John's has been rolling in their games lately though, winning 5 games in a row now, and they have shown no signs of slowing down. They have already clinched the Big East Title for the regular season, but they will be looking to carry this momentum into the Big East Tournament. St John's only has 4 losses all season, but 2 of their losses were by 1 point while the other 2 losses were both by 3 points or less. St John's is going to continue rolling in this last game of the regular season, but even if they do lose, there is a good chance it is only by 1 point. The best way to place a bet here is on St John's to cover the spread in this game.
St John's Marquette Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 8, 2025 (12:00 pm ET start time) is St John’s 76 Marquette 75.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
St John's Red Storm: 15-5 ATS off a home win against a conference rival. 24-13 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 7-3 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season. 23-14 OVER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 6-3 OVER versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game. 18-11 OVER as an underdog.
Marquette Golden Eagles: 3-6 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders. 4-11 1H ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 1-7 1H ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games. 10-5 OVER revenging a road loss vs opponent. 3-0 OVER in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5. 7-1 1H OVER after 3 or more consecutive unders.
Key Injuries
St John's Red Storm: D. Smith (G) Out - Shoulder. A. Scott (G) Questionable - Knee. J. Glover (G) Out - Wrist. B. Dunlap (F) Out - Hand.
Marquette Golden Eagles: A. Amadou (F) Out - Redshirt. S. Jones (G) Out - Redshirt.
Notable Quotes
"I came here to challenge myself and try to take my game to the next level and obviously try to win at the highest level, which Coach Pitino knows how to do really well and trying to learn from him. I think it's just a surreal feeling." - RJ Luis Jr. on winning the Big East Title for the regular season.
"Our guys did a phenomenal job for the most part in this game defeating screens. Way better than last time. When we played UConn at home, we were out to lunch. We were running into each other. Much better tonight chasing them off of screens. We weren't perfect." - Shaka Smart after his team’s loss against UConn in their last game.
Starting Lineups
St John's Red Storm
Z. Ejiofor
R. Luis
K. Richmond
A. Scott
S. Wilcher
Marquette Golden Eagles
B. Gold
K. Jones
D. Joplin
S. Mitchell
C. Ross
Statistical Leaders
St John's Red Storm
PPG: R. Luis (17.8)
APG: K. Richmond (5.1)
Reb/G: Z. Ejiofor (8)
Marquette Golden Eagles
PPG: K. Jones (18.5)
APG: K. Jones (6)
Reb/G: D. Joplin (5.3)
Coaches:
St John's Red Storm: Rick Pitino (2nd season)
Marquette Golden Eagles: Shaka Smart (4th season)