St Bonaventure Bonnies vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/22/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, Mar 21, 2022
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 22, 2022
Venue:  John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  St. Bonaventure +3.5, UVA -3.5; Over/Under:  125.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  St. Bonaventure +3.5, UVA -3.5; Over/Under:  125.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  St. Bonaventure +3.5, UVA -3.5; Over/Under:  125.5 points
 

Season Record

St Bonaventure Bonnies:  22-9 (4th place, A10)
Virginia Cavaliers:  21-13 (6th place, ACC)
 
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St Bonaventure Bonnies vs Virginia Cavaliers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
St Bonaventure Bonnies:  3-2 last 5
Virginia Cavaliers:  4-1 last 5
 
 
 

St Bonaventure Bonnies Analysis

St. Bonaventure is coming into this game with a 22-9 record overall and they are 6-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Saint Louis Billikens while their 2 wins since then have come against the Colorado Buffaloes and the Oklahoma Sooners in their last game. Jaren English led the team in points in that game with 23 while Osun Osunniyi was next on the team with 14 points. English and Kyle Lofton both led the team in assists in that game with 3 each while Osunniyi led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 50.9% from the field, 52.6% from 3-point range, and 54.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 70.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.4 PPG against them. St. Bonaventure has an ATS record of 14-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-16.
 
 

Virginia Cavaliers Analysis

UVA is coming into this game with a 21-13 record overall and they are 11-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the North Carolina Tar Heels while their 2 wins since then have come against the Mississippi State Bulldogs and the North Texas Mean Green in their last game. Jayden Gardner and Armaan Franklin both led the team in points in that game with 17 each while Reece Beekman was next on the team with 13 points. Beekman led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Kody Stattmann off the bench led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 48.1% from the field, 52.9% from 3-point range, and 52.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 62.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 60.4 PPG against them. UVA has an ATS record of 17-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 17-17.
 

 

St Bonaventure vs Virginia Prediction

UVA is coming into this game as a 3.5 point favorite with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. UVA has been playing well recently with wins in 4 of their last 5 games but they have also been playing in a lot of close games recently as well. Their last 3 wins have all been within 3 points and they have had 2 very slim wins in this tourney already. They won at home by 3 points in round 1 and they just slipped by with a 2 point win on the road in the last round. They are going up against a St. Bonaventure side that has also been playing well recently with 3 wins in their last 4 and they have been battle tested in their recent games as well. They have won both of their games in this tourney on the road and they are coming off of a very close win by 2 points in the last round. They will be on the road here yet again but UVA has a very good defense and will likely make it very difficult for St. Bonaventure to score here. UVA has played in a lot of games this season that were decided by just a few points and this will likely be another one of those games. UVA will cover the spread here.
 
St Bonaventure Virginia Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, March 22, 2022 (7:00 pm ET start time) is UVA 68 St Bonaventure 64.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
St Bonaventure Bonnies: 8-2 ATS when the total is 120 to 129.5. 43-19 UNDER as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick. 18-11 UNDER in road games.
Virginia Cavaliers: 18-24 ATS as a home favorite or pick. 14-23 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 8-2 UNDER in all tournament games.
 

Key Injuries

 
St Bonaventure Bonnies:  L. Brown (G) out for season - Illness. A. Mellouk (F) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury.
Virginia Cavaliers:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“The NIT didn’t do us any favors, going 1,400 miles to Colorado and playing at, whatever, 5,400-foot altitude (in Boulder), and then us going back to Olean for a couple days and then coming back out here. It hasn’t been easy. But we dealt with adversity and our guys, we have veteran guys that understand that life’s not always fair. But you go to work and keep on at it, and good things will happen.” - Mark Schmidt after his team’s win against Oklahoma in the last round.
 
 
"Everybody casts their judgment right away. It doesn't work like that. Teams get going. They hit their stride." - Tony Bennett on ACC teams getting judged too quickly.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
St Bonaventure Bonnies
Jalen Adaway 
Jaren Holmes 
K. Lofton 
O. Osunniyi 
D. Welch
 
Virginia Cavaliers
R. Beekman 
K. Clark 
A. Franklin 
J. Gardner 
K. Shedrick
 

Statistical Leaders

 
St Bonaventure Bonnies
PPG: J. Adaway (16)
APG: K. Lofton (5.8)
RPG: O. Osunniyi (7.5)
 
Virginia Cavaliers
PPG: J. Gardner (15.2)
APG: R. Beekman (4.9)
Reb/G: J. Gardner (6.9)
 
Coaches:
St Bonaventure Bonnies: Mark Schmidt (15th season)
Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Bennett (13th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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