Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/21/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Sunday, Feb 20, 2022
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Monday, February 21, 2022
Venue:  Walkup Skydome – NAU, Flagstaff, AZ
Where to Watch:  ESPN+

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Southern Utah -5.5, NAU +5.5; Over/Under:  146 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Southern Utah -6.5, NAU +6.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Southern Utah -6.5, NAU +6.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points
 

Season Record

Southern Utah Thunderbirds:  16-9 (3rd place, Big Sky)
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks:  9-17 (8th place, Big Sky)
 
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Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Southern Utah Thunderbirds:  2-3 last 5
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks:  1-4 last 5
 
 
 

Southern Utah Thunderbirds Analysis

Southern Utah is coming into this game with a 16-9 record overall and they are 4-6 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 16th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 10-5 in their conference games this season. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. Their last win was against the Sacramento State Hornets while their 3 losses in that span came against the Montana Grizzlies, the Northern Colorado Bears, and the Montana State Bobcats in their last game. Jason Spurgin led the team in points in that game with 14 while Dre Marin was next on the team with 13 points. John Knight III led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Maizen Fausett led the team in rebounds with 6. They are 46% from the field, 34% from 3-point range, and 71.9% from the free throw line with their shooting this season. Their offense is averaging 79.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 73.9 PPG against them. Southern Utah has an ATS record of 7-16 this season and their O/U record is 15-8.
 
 

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Analysis

NAU is coming into this game with a 9-17 record overall and they are 5-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 16th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 5-10 in their conference games this season. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. Their last win was against the Montana Grizzlies while their 4 losses in that span came against the Northern Colorado Bears twice, the Montana State Bobcats, and the Portland State Vikings in their last game. Jalen Cone led the team in points in that game with 19 while Keith Haymon was next on the team with 13 points. Nik Mains and Jay Green off the bench both led the team in assists in that game with 3 each while Carson Towt led the team in rebounds with 10. They are 42.1% from the field, 37% from 3-point range, and 66.6% from the free throw line with their shots this season. Their offense is averaging 68.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 73.1 PPG against them. NAU has an ATS record of 12-12 this season and their O/U record is 10-12-2.
 

 

Southern Utah vs Northern Arizona Prediction

Southern Utah has not been playing well in their recent games with 3 losses in their last 4 games and they have lost their last 2 straight coming into this one. Both of those losses were very close games though, losing both of them by 5 points they will be hungry to bounce back in this game. They have not been great on the road this season but they are 10-5 against conference opponents and they are going up against a NAU side that is 5-10 against conference opponents and 5-7 at home this season. NAU has also not been playing well with 4 losses in their last 5 games but their last 2 losses have only been by 2 points each and both were on the road. This will be their first game at home after playing 4 straight on the road and they should play much better here at home. Southern Utah is the better team here and should get their bounce back win but only by a few points on the road as NAU has been keeping their recent games very close and will do the same at home here.
 
Southern Utah Northern Arizona Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Monday, February 21, 2022 (8:00 pm ET start time) is SUU 76 NAU 72.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Southern Utah Thunderbirds: 7-15 ATS in all games. 21-27 ATS as a favorite. 15-8 OVER in all games. 
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks: 10-19 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 10-19 ATS in all home games. 12-7 OVER after playing 2 consecutive road games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Southern Utah Thunderbirds:  None.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“What jumps out is the 24 turnovers. We had 16 turnovers in the first half, eight in the second half and that is hard to win any game. They are one of the best teams in the league in forcing turnovers, but I didn’t think we played with poise in the first half and in the second half we had some bad turnovers. That is what is hurting us.” - Shane Burcar on his team’s loss against Portland State.
 
“We need to regroup from this to lose this game by one. We had chances to win the game as poorly as we played. We had a couple of wide-open shots and unfortunately they didn’t fall.” - Shane Burcar after his team’s loss against Portland State.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
M. Fausett 
T. Jones 
J. Knight 
D. Marin 
J. Spurgin
 
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
J. Cone 
K. Haymon 
N. Mains 
E. Richards
C. Towt
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
PPG: T. Jones (15.7)
APG: J. Knight III (4.3)
Reb/G: M. Fausett (8.5)
 
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
PPG: J. Cone (19)
APG: J. Cone (3.8)
Reb/G: C. Towt (8.8)
 
Coaches:
Southern Utah Thunderbirds: Todd Simon (6th season)
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks: Shane Burcar (3rd season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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