Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs Fresno State Bulldogs Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/28/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Monday, March 28, 2022
Venue:  Save Mart Center, Fresno, CA
Where to Watch:  ESPN+

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  SUU +7.5, Fresno -7.5; Over/Under:  135.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  SUU +7.5, Fresno -7.5; Over/Under:  135.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  SUU +7.5, Fresno -7.5; Over/Under:  135.5 points
 

Season Record

Southern Utah Thunderbirds:  23-11 (2nd place, Big Sky)
Fresno State Bulldogs:  21-13 (6th place, MWC)
 
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Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs Fresno State Bulldogs Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Southern Utah Thunderbirds:  4-1 last 5
Fresno State Bulldogs:  3-2 last 5
 
 
 

Southern Utah Thunderbirds Analysis

Southern Utah is coming into this game with a 23-11 record overall and they are 8-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Portland State Vikings while their 5 wins in that span came against the Idaho State Bengals, the Weber State Wildcats, the Kent State Golden Flashes, the UTEP Miners, and the Portland Pilots in their last game. John Knight III led the team in points in that game with 20 while Marquis Moore off the bench was next on the team with 15 points. Harrison Butler led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jason Spurgin led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 53.7% from the field, 38.5% from 3-point range, and 81.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 72.7 PPG against them. Southern Utah has an ATS record of 14-18 this season and their O/U record is 19-13.
 
 

Fresno State Bulldogs Analysis

Fresno State is coming into this game with a 21-13 record overall and they are 13-4 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They have won 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the San Diego State Aztecs while their 3 wins in that span came against the San Jose State Spartans, the Eastern Washington Eagles, and the Youngstown State Penguins in their last game. Orlando Robinson led the team in points in that game with 16 while Destin Whitaker and Braxton Meah off the bench were both next on the team with 14 points each. Isaiah Hill and Jordan Campbell both led the team in assists in that game with 5 each while Robinson led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 50% from the field, 32.1% from 3-point range, and 60.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 65.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 59.3 PPG against them. Fresno State has an ATS record of 17-15-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-18.
 

 

Southern Utah vs Fresno State Prediction

SUU is coming into this game as a 7.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. SUU has been playing well in their recent games winning 3 straight and they are coming off of a win by double digits in their last game. They have won their last 2 games by double digits and one of those wins even came on the road. They are going up against a Fresno State team that has won their last 2 straight and they have won both of those games by 9 points. They have only won 3 of their last 4 games but they were struggling in their games near the end of the season and they are only playing better now because they have been playing teams from weaker conferences recently. SUU was one of the best teams from their conference this season and they were very close to being the team that went to the NCAA tourney this season. This will be the toughest test for Fresno State in this tourney yet and SUU has already had to go on the road and win some tough games. SUU may not get the win here but they will keep this game close and cover the spread here.
 
Southern Utah Fresno State Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Monday, March 28, 2022 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Fresno 71 SUU 68.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Southern Utah Thunderbirds: 5-1 ATS after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3 point shots. 19-13 OVER in all games. 25-13 OVER in road games.
Fresno State Bulldogs: 16-22 ATS in all home games. 2-8 ATS after scoring 80 points or more. 21-14 OVER after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds.
 

Key Injuries

 
Southern Utah Thunderbirds:  T. Jones (G) out for season - Wrist injury.
Fresno State Bulldogs:  A. Holland (G) Ques Mon - Hamstring injury. J. Ballard (G) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury. J. Baker (G) out for season - Knee injury.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“I’m very proud of our guys’ effort against a very good Portland team. The squad executed well, and we were able to hold the lead for the entire 40 minutes.” - Todd Simon after his team’s win against Portland in the last round.
 
 
“I knew we were going to have some guys play more minutes, and I told them we were confident in what we can do.” - Justin Hutson on his team’s win against Youngstown State in the last round.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
M. Fausett 
T. Jones 
J. Knight 
D. Marin 
J. Spurgin
 
Fresno State Bulldogs
J. Campbell 
L. Colimerio 
I. Hill 
A. Holland 
O. Robinson
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
PPG: T. Jones (14.6)
APG: J. Knight III (4.2)
Reb/G: M. Fausett (8.2)
 
Fresno State Bulldogs
PPG: O. Robinson (19.2)
APG: I. Hill (3.1)
Reb/G: O. Robinson (8.2)
 
Coaches:
Southern Utah Thunderbirds: Todd Simon (6th season)
Fresno State Bulldogs: Justin Hutson (4th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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