by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Monday, Nov 15, 2021
Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, November 19, 2021
Venue: Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston, LA
Where to Watch: CBS Sports
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: USM +16.5, LT -16.5; Over/Under: 51 points
Bet365: Point Spread: USM +17, LT -17; Over/Under: 51.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: USM +17.5, LT -17.5; Over/Under: 51 points
Season Record
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: 1-9 (7th place, C-USA West)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: 3-7 (5th place, C-USA West)
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Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: lost on the road on Nov. 13 against the UTSA Roadrunners 27-17.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: won at home on Nov. 13 against the Charlotte 49ers 42-32.
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles Analysis
USM is coming into this game with a 1-9 record overall and they are 0-5 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 7th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 0-6 in their conference games this season. They only have 1 win all season and are coming into this one on an 8 game losing streak after another loss in their last game. Their passing game was awful in that one as Antavious Willis completed 2/4 passes for 19 yards and 1 interception in their last game. Running back Frank Gore Jr. threw for more as he completed 2/3 passes for 33 yards. Gore Jr. also had a nice day on the ground in that one as he led the team in rushing with 123 yards and 1 touchdown on 20 carries. Jason Brownlee led the receivers with 51 yards on 3 receptions in what was a very quiet day for the receiving corps. Hayes Maples led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Dominic Quewon recorded the only sack in that game for them while Natrone Brooks and Eric Scott each came away with 1 interception each in that one. They have scored 140 points in their 10 games this season averaging 14 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 299 points against them allowing 29.9 PPG. Their offense is averaging 245.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 366.2 YPG.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Analysis
LT is coming into this game with a 3-7 record overall and they are 3-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 7th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 2-4 in their conference games this season. They have lost 4 of their last 5 games but are coming into this one off of a win in their last game which snapped a 4 game losing streak that they were on. Aaron Allen played alright in their last game as he completed 21/27 passes for 324 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception. Marcus Williams Jr. had a very nice day on the ground as he led the team in rushing with 131 yards and 4 touchdowns on 29 carries. Smoke Harris led the receivers with 98 yards and 1 touchdown on 8 receptions while Tre Harris was right behind him with 91 yards on 5 receptions. Isaiah Graham caught the other touchdown pass in that one. Trey Baldwin led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. Mykol Clark and Deshon Hall recorded the only sacks in that game with 1 each while Khalil Ladler came away with the only interception for them in that one. They have scored 286 points in their 10 games this season averaging 28.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 338 points against them allowing 33.8 PPG. Their offense is averaging 393.2 YPG while their defense is allowing 448.7 YPG.
Southern Mississippi vs Louisiana Tech Prediction
USM is coming into this game as a 16.5 point underdog with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. LT is coming off of a win in their last game but they have not been playing well recently as that is just 1 win in their last 5 games and the losses were stacking up prior to that win. USM has not been playing well all season with just 1 win all year but they have been playing much better in recent weeks and really played well against the undefeated UTSA last week only losing by 10 points and they even kept a lead in the first half of that game. The best bet to place in this game is on USM to cover the spread here as they have been playing better and will keep this a close game.
Southern Mississippi Louisiana Tech Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, November 19, 2021 (8:00 pm ET start time) is LT 27 USM 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: 112-133 O/U in all games. 33-55 O/U when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 59-61 O/U as an underdog. 40-42 O/U as a road underdog. 58-64 O/U in road games.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: 25-21 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 147-140 ATS in all games. 74-67 ATS as a favorite. 40-39 ATS as a home favorite. 59-53 ATS in home games. 91-83 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: T. Keyes (QB) Out indefinitely - Lower Body injury. C. Pittman (WR) out for season - Lower Body injury. T. Lowe (QB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed injury. D. Maberry (RB) out for season - Undisclosed injury.
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: L. Anthony (QB) Out Indefinitely - Ankle injury.
Notable Quotes
“We made a decision as a football program to milk the clock and try to reduce the game. We told our kids we will be in the game in the fourth quarter, don’t let it catch you off guard and our kids weren’t caught off guard. We made one less play or maybe two.” - Will Hall on his team’s loss against UTSA in their last game.
“Everybody knows the chance at a bowl game is over. There’s no championship to play for. But with nothing to play for, I’m extremely proud of the way these guys came out and performed today. This is a team that beat Duke earlier in the year. And our guys came ready to play.” - Skip Holtz on his team’s win against Charlotte in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
WR Brownlee, Jason
WR Jones, Demarcus
WR Caston, Jakarius
TE Gunter, Grayson
QB Lange, Jake
RB Gore Jr., Frank
FB Cavallo, Cole
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
WR Harris, Tre
WR Graham, Isaiah
WR Harris, Smoke
WR Hebert, Griffin
QB Kendall, Austin
RB Williams Jr., Marcus
Statistical Leaders
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles
Passing: J. Lange (843)
Rushing: F. Gore Jr. (731)
Receiving: J. Brownlee (478)
Touchdowns: J. Brownlee (4)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
Passing: A. Kendall (1874)
Rushing: M. Williams Jr. (679)
Receiving: S. Harris (645)
Touchdowns: M. Williams Jr. (8)
Coaches:
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles: Will Hall (1st season)
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: Skip Holtz (9th season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
