by Rod Pearson
Monday, Oct 16, 2023
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, October 17, 2023
Venue: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: USM +18, USA -18; Over/Under: 53 points
Bet365: Point Spread: USM +18.5, USA -18.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: USM +18.5, USA -18.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Season Record
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: 1-5 (0-3) (7th place, Sun Belt West)
South Alabama Jaguars: 3-3 (1-1) (4th place, Sun Belt West)
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Southern Miss Golden Eagles: lost their last game at home against the Old Dominion Monarchs 17-13.
South Alabama Jaguars: won their last game on the road against the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks 55-7.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs South Alabama Jaguars Preview and Analysis
Southern Miss is entering this game with a 1-5 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their conference games too. They are 1-3 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against ODU 17-13. Billy Wiles was the starting QB and he completed 8/18 passes for 194 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Kadarius Calloway led the team in rushing yards with 93. Ahmarian Granger led the receivers with 79 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Rasheed Reason led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Jason Henderson and Denzel Lowry each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
South Alabama is entering this game with a 3-3 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against ULM 55-7. Carter Bradley was the starting QB and he completed 20/29 passes for 303 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. La'Damian Webb led the team in rushing yards with 100 and 1 TD. Caulin Lacy led the receivers with 156 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Trey Kiser led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Lamondre Brooks led the defense in sacks with 1. Wesley Miller and Jaden Voisin each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Southern Miss vs South Alabama Prediction
The current betting odds have South Alabama listed as an 18 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. South Alabama hasn't been great this season with their 3-3 record overall but they have been playing a lot better lately as they enter their conference schedule. They are only 1-1 in conference play but coming off a big road win against ULM and now they are coming back home off their bye and looking to beat up on another bad team. Southern Miss has been terrible this season with their 1-5 record overall and their 0-3 record in conference games. They have been terrible in their home games too with a 1-3 record in those and just lost to Old Dominion in their last game there too. Southern Miss has struggled on both sides of the ball and their defense won't be able to stop this South Alabama offense now that it is starting to roll. South Alabama also has a better defense as they held ULM to 7 points in their last game on the road and they are going to shut down USM at home here. The best way to place a bet here is on South Alabama to cover the spread in this game.
Southern Miss South Alabama Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Tuesday, October 17, 2023 (7:30 pm ET start time) is South Alabama 41 Southern Miss 13.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: 8-3 ATS after playing 3 straight conference games. 25-15 ATS after a 2 game home stand. 15-8 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 or less points. 7-2 OVER as a road underdog of 14.5 to 17 points. 8-3 OVER after playing 3 straight conference games. 17-9 OVER off an upset loss as a home favorite.
South Alabama Jaguars: 6-11 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 20-40 ATS after playing 2 straight conference games. 6-15 ATS after a win by 17 or more points. 10-5 OVER as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 11-4 OVER after playing a conference game. 6-0 OVER off a road win.
Key Injuries
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: Z. Wilcke (QB) Out indefinitely - Personal. E. Sabbatini (S) out for season - Knee. B. Toles (CB) out for season - Undisclosed. C. Cavallo (TE) Out indefinitely - Calf.
South Alabama Jaguars: B. McReynolds (RB) Out indefinitely - Collarbone. D. Voisin (WR) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"They do a lot of shifting and motion to get your eyes where they aren't supposed to be. We gotta be really disciplined without eyes this week." - Will Hall on his team’s upcoming game against South Alabama this week.
“I’m excited about a midweek game on national TV, the atmosphere that this creates. We’re a young program, we’re even a younger on-campus stadium. And so to get to have these moments as a fan base and as a university and as students, I think that’s a really special thing to be able to do.” - Kane Wommack on his team’s upcoming game against Southern Mississippi this week.
Starting Lineups
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
WR Caston, Jakarius
WR Mims, Tiaquelin
WR Jones, Latreal
TE Cavallo, Cole
QB Wiles, Billy
RB Gore Jr., Frank
SB Pittman, Chandler
South Alabama Jaguars
WR Pritchett, Jamaal
WR Ivory, Javon
WR Lacy, Caullin
TE Sefcik, Lincoln
TE Crum, Brandon
QB Bradley, Carter
RB Webb, La'Damian
Statistical Leaders
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Passing: B. Wiles (1254)
Rushing: F. Gore Jr. (397)
Receiving: J. Caston (334)
Touchdowns: F. Gore Jr. (5)
South Alabama Jaguars
Passing: C. Bradley (1456)
Rushing: L. Webb (476)
Receiving: C. Lacy (723)
Touchdowns: L. Webb (8)
Coaches:
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: Will Hall (3rd season)
South Alabama Jaguars: Kane Wommack (3rd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
