Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 30, 2021
Venue: Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: USM +13.5, MTSU -13.5; Over/Under: 47 points
Bet365: Point Spread: USM +13, MTSU -13; Over/Under: 47.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: USM +13.5, MTSU -13.5; Over/Under: 47 points
Season Record
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: 1-6 (7th place, C-USA West)
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 3-4 (5th place, C-USA East)
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Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: lost at home on Oct. 16 against the UAB Blazers 34-0.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: won on the road on Oct. 22 against the Connecticut Huskies 44-13.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles Analysis
USM is coming into this game with a 1-6 record overall and they are 0-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 4th conference matchup of the year and they are in a big hole right now with a 0-3 record in their conference games this season. Their 3 losses came against the Rice Owls, the UTEP Miners, and against UAB in their last game. They were dominated from start to finish in their last game against UAB as they were shut out 34-0 in that one. Their passing game was garbage in that game and none of their 3 quarterbacks could get anything done. Jake Lange completed 3/10 passes for 18 yards, Tee Webb completed 2/5 passes for 5 yards and 1 interceptions, and Chandler Pittman completed 1/1 pass for 9 yards. Frank Gore Jr. led the team in rushing with 40 yards on 13 carries but they really had nothing going for them in the run game and on offense in general. Jason Brownlee led the receivers with 14 yards on 1 reception in what was a very quiet day for the receiving corps. Malik Shorts led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 7 assisted ones. Eriq Kitchen recorded the only sack for the defense in that game while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them. They have scored 99 points in their 7 games this season averaging 14.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 199 points against them allowing 28.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 258 YPG while their defense is allowing 352.6 YPG.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Analysis
MTSU is coming into this game with a 3-4 record overall and they are 2-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 4th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are in a bad position right now with a 1-2 record in their conference games this season. Their 2 losses came against the UTSA Roadrunners and the Charlotte 49ers while their 1 win came against the Marshall Thundering Herd. They played their last game against UConn and they smashed them 44-13 in a game that they pretty much controlled from the start leading the whole time. Chase Cunningham had a great game as he completed 25/36 passes for 297 yards and 4 touchdowns. Martell Pettaway led the team in rushing with 63 yards and 1 touchdown on 12 carries. Yusuf Ali Led the receivers with 80 yards on 5 receptions while Jimmy Marshall had 61 yards and 2 touchdowns on 4 receptions. Izaiah Gathings and Jarrin Pierce both caught the other touchdown passes with 1 each. They have scored 207 points in their 7 games this season averaging 29.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 201 points against them allowing 28.7 PPG. Their offense is averaging 349.4 YPG while their defense is allowing 418.1 YPG.
Southern Miss vs Middle Tennessee Prediction
MTSU is coming into this game as a 13.5 point favorite with the total set at 47 points with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. USM has been awful this season with just the 1 win all year and they are coming off of a game where they did not score a single point. MTSU has not been that great this season but they are a lot better than USM and will be able to shut down USM's offense. The best bet to place in this game is on the under as it will be a low scoring game due to USM's inability to score a lot of points.
Southern Miss Middle Tennessee Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 30, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is MTSU 27 USM 3.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: 26-37 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 73-80 ATS as an underdog. 53-57 ATS as a road underdog. 89-107 ATS after playing a conference game.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 24-16 ATS as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 130-127 ATS in all games. 22-17 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 67-59 ATS as a favorite. 42-38 ATS as a home favorite. 56-52 ATS in home games. 81-76 ATS against conference opponents.
Key Injuries
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: T. Keyes (QB) Ques Sat - Lower Body injury. J. Lange (QB) Ques Sat - Ankle injury. C. Pittman (WR) out for season - Lower Body injury.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: None.
Notable Quotes
“Our mindset is to get better every day. We want to put the best foot forward we can, we want to improve every day and we want to finish this season on a high note.” - Will Hall on his team coming into this game.
“I’m really proud of our guys. I thought it was great team effort, thought we played complimentary football with each other throughout the game. It’s hard to win on the road - it’s tough. I’m really proud of how we fought and competed tonight.” - Rick Stockstill after their win against UConn.
Starting Lineups
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
WR Brownlee, Jason
WR Dennis, Brad
WR Jones, Demarcus
TE Gunter, Grayson
QB Lange, Jake
RB Gore Jr., Frank
FB Cavallo, Cole
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
WR Windham, CJ
WR Lane, Jaylin
WR Pierce, Jarrin
TE Marshall, Jimmy
QB Cunningham, Chase
RB Mobley, Chaton
Statistical Leaders
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Passing: J. Lange (561)
Rushing: F. Gore Jr. (443)
Receiving: J. Brownlee (254)
Touchdowns: C. Pittman (2)
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Passing: C. Cunningham (1270)
Rushing: C. Mobley (232)
Receiving: J. Marshall (390)
Touchdowns: J. Marshall (5)
Coaches:
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: Will Hall (1st season)
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: Rick Stockstill (16th season)