Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Saturday, September 9, 2023
Venue: Doak S. Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
Where to Watch: ACC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: USM +29.5, FSU -29.5; Over/Under: 52 points
Bet365: Point Spread: USM +29.5, FSU -29.5; Over/Under: 52 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: USM +29.5, FSU -29.5; Over/Under: 51.5 points
Season Record
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: 1-0 (0-0) (3rd place, Sun Belt West)
Florida State Seminoles: 1-0 (0-0) (1st place, ACC)
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Southern Miss Golden Eagles: won their last game at home against the Alcorn State Braves 40-14.
Florida State Seminoles: won their last game at a neutral site against the LSU Tigers 45-24.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles vs Florida State Seminoles Preview and Analysis
Southern Mississippi is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Alcorn State 40-14. Billy Wiles was the starting QB and he completed 21/28 passes for 267 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Rodrigues Clark led the team in rushing yards with 54. Jakarius Caston led the receivers with 104 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 1 TD. Hayes Puckett led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one. Jay Stanley came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that game.
Florida State is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 0-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against LSU 45-24. Jordan Travis was the starting QB and he completed 23/31 passes for 342 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Trey Benson led the team in rushing yards with 47. Keon Coleman led the receivers with 122 receiving yards on 9 receptions and 3 TDs. Jarrian Jones led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackles while DJ Lundy, Joshua Farmer, and Dennis Briggs, Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Renardo Green came away with the only interception for them in that game.
Southern Miss vs Florida State Prediction
The current betting odds have Florida State listed as a 29.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Florida State came into the season as the number 8 team in the country and they proved it in their 1st game of the season as they beat the number 5 ranked team LSU. They didn't just beat LSU, they throttled them, specifically in the 2nd half, and now that they have shown they are here and are a real threat this season, they won't be looking to take their foot off the gas in any of their games. Now they are going to be at home for their home opener against Southern Miss and as much as Southern Miss has improved this season, they don't have the talent to keep up with a team that looks like one of the best in the country right now. This is also the 1st cupcake game of the season for Florida State after winning a huge ranked matchup so they are going to run up the score at home in this game and show they can follow up that LSU win with consistency. The best way to place a bet here is on Florida State to cover the spread in this game.
Southern Miss Florida State Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 9, 2023 (8:30 pm ET start time) is FSU 56 USM 10.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: 9-3 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 7-3 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 58-34 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 54-32 UNDER after playing a non-conference game.
Florida State Seminoles: 6-11 ATS off an upset win as an underdog. 20-32 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 8-4 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 12-5 UNDER when playing with 6 or less days rest.
Key Injuries
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: Z. Wilcke (QB) Ques Sat - Personal. C. Cavallo (TE) Ques Sat - Calf.
Florida State Seminoles: J. Douglas (WR) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. D. Jackson Jr. (DL) out for season - Eligibility.
Notable Quotes
“We can coach offense here and we can play offense here.” - Will Hall after his team’s win against Alcorn State in their last game.
"You all know I'm emotional! But everything has to be under control. We gave too much tonight. Ultimately, I am so proud of you. I'm so proud of you. Offense: I told you we'd score every time we got the ball in the second half." - Mike Norvell after his team’s win against LSU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
WR Caston, Jakarius
WR Mims, Tiaquelin
WR Hayes, Brandon
TE Cavallo, Cole
QB Wiles, Billy
RB Gore Jr., Frank
SB Pittman, Chandler
Florida State Seminoles
WR Wilson, Johnny
WR Coleman, Keon
WR Wright Jr., Winston
TE Bell, Jaheim
QB Travis, Jordan
RB Benson, Trey
Statistical Leaders
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Passing: B. Wiles (267)
Rushing: R. Clark (54)
Receiving: J. Caston (104)
Touchdowns: F. Gore Jr. (1)
Florida State Seminoles
Passing: J. Travis (342)
Rushing: T. Benson (47)
Receiving: K. Coleman (122)
Touchdowns: K. Coleman (3)
Coaches:
Southern Miss Golden Eagles: Will Hall (3rd season)
Florida State Seminoles: Mike Norvell (4th season)